Angels vs Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions: Can Ohtani Fade Road Struggles?

Shohei Ohtani's on the mound, but he's struggled on the road, and his lineup doesn't have a ton of offensive support. Find out if L.A. can overcome the desert heat as we break down our Angels vs. Diamondbacks picks.

Zachary Cohen
Posted: Jun 11, 2021 8:45 AM ET Updated: Jun 11, 2021 6:40 PM ET Est Time: 3 min
Angels vs Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions: Can Ohtani Fade Road Struggles?
Photo By - USA Today Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks will be looking to kick off a three-game series against the Los Angeles Angels with a win on Friday, June 11. The entirety of this one will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona and the opener will start at 9:40 p.m. ET. 

Will Los Angeles take care of business against a lousy Arizona team? Find out in our Angels vs. Diamondbacks picks and predictions. 

Angels vs Diamondbacks game info

Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Date: Friday, June 11, 2021
Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports West, Bally Sports Arizona

Angels vs Diamondbacks odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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MLB Sharp Money and Line Movement Report

By Patrick Everson

Los Angeles opened -135 at TwinSpires Sportsbook and made a pit stop at -143 on the way to -155, where the moneyline rests at 6:45 p.m. ET. Ticket count and money are both in the 3/1 range on the Angels. The total is stable at 9 on two-way action, with 52 percent of bets/55 percent of dollars on the Over.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Angels vs Diamondbacks betting preview

Starting pitchers

Shohei Ohtani (2-1, 2.76 ERA): In Ohtani’s last start, the phenom struck out 10 batters and gave up only two earned runs in 6.0 innings of work. It was Ohtani’s second quality start in a row, and he now looks to keep it rolling against the Diamondbacks. Ohtani has struggled on the road this season, going 2-1 with a 4.00 ERA. He’ll need to be better than that moving forward, but it does help that his task in this game is outdueling a mediocre starter. 

Merrill Kelly (2-6, 5.12 ERA): Kelly has allowed nine earned runs over his last two starts, and the Diamondbacks have lost in each of his last six outings. However, it isn’t all terrible for the righty. On the season, Kelly has a 3.82 ERA at Chase Field, so he does perform a lot better at home. The 32-year-old also happens to be facing a Mike Trout-less Angels team, so this isn’t exactly an untouchable lineup right now. 


Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Angels: OF Mike Trout (out), OF Dexter Fowler (out)
Diamondbacks: OF Kole Calhoun (out)
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last seven interleague games against right-handed starters. Find more MLB betting trends for Angels vs. Diamondbacks.

Moneyline pick

The Angels are sending Ohtani to the mound in this game, and he’s the starter that gives them the best chance to win on any given night. Ohtani’s 2.76 ERA this season is the best in this Los Angeles rotation, and he also has some of the most impressive stuff amongst the group. The only issue here is that the 26-year-old has had some struggles on the away side. Ohtani’s ERA rises to 4.00 when he hits the road, which is a lot different than his 1.85 ERA at home. It wouldn’t be surprising if he gives the Diamondbacks a chance to steal this one. 

For as bad as Arizona has been this season, the team does have quite a few guys that are dangerous against right-handed pitching. One of those players is David Peralta, who is batting .253 with three homers and 20 RBI against righties this season. Meanwhile, Ketel Marte is a monster against everybody, but he is hitting .320 with two homers and seven RBI against righties on the year. There’s also Josh Rojas, who has five homers and 14 RBI in 146 at bats against right-handed starters on the year, and Asdrubal Cabrera, who is hitting .299 with four homers and 17 RBI against righties. Naturally, Ohtani’s movement and velocity will give everybody a bit more trouble, but the point is that these Diamondbacks should be able to make something happen. 

Kelly also is good enough to give his team a chance to win at home. The 32-year-old isn’t going to shut down this Los Angeles lineup, but a quality start is not out of the question at Chase Field. He has given the Diamondbacks three of those in his last five home starts, and he came dangerously close in a fourth, pitching 5.2 innings and allowing only two earned runs. If he can turn in that type of effort, you’d have to love this value on the money line. 

PREDICTION: Diamondbacks ML (+118) 

Over/Under pick

The Angels really need Ohtani to be excellent in this game, but the 26-year-old has given up at least three earned runs in two of his three road starts this season. Ohtani just hasn’t quite looked as in control when not pitching at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. The righty also doesn’t work very deep into games, so there’s a chance he gives up a couple and then leaves the Los Angeles bullpen with a little too much work to do. That would make it a bit more likely that this game goes Over the total. 

And while Kelly is a lot better when pitching at home, he is by no means good at Chase Field. The Angels have plenty of guys that can do some serious damage in this game, especially in a stadium like this. Overall, it’d be surprising if this game turned into anything close to a pitcher’s duel. 

PREDICTION: Over 9.0 (-104) 

Angels vs Diadmondbacks betting card

  • Diamondbacks ML (+118) 
  • Over 9.0 (-104) 

Picks made on 6/11/2021 at 2:05 a.m. ET

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