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MLB system releases...

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Posted: #1526
mojator
 
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Posted: #1527
RalieghDevil, sincere
 
SN
 
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Posted: #1528
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

MLB system releases Wed, 07/29/09 Base_Runs formula...
 
Brewers+105 RL
Phillies+136 RL
Reds+132 RL
Tigers+172 RL
Giants-138 ML
Rockies+142 ML
Dodgers+118 ML
 
TOR/SEA  UNDER 8
KC/BALT  UNDER 9
OAK/BOS  UNDER 9.5

 

I was just about to lay down my bets and noticed some big differences between these lines and the ones on Bet Jamaica.

SF is -151

Philly +100

Colorado +125

LAD -101

I'm not sure what to do about this.

 
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Posted: #1529
His lines are way off, almost every time.
 
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Posted: #1530
 
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Posted: #1531
Quote Originally Posted by RaleighDevil:

 

I was just about to lay down my bets and noticed some big differences between these lines and the ones on Bet Jamaica.

SF is -151

Philly +100

Colorado +125

LAD -101

I'm not sure what to do about this.

different books, different lines, shop around, best regards  SN

 
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Posted: #1532
Quote Originally Posted by K4ngur13:

His lines are way off, almost every time.

All lines are matched and documented, with the best line available at the time of publishing, lines move. so consider your commentary in-correct, check matchmaker or pinnacle, then go to vegasinsider.com for line understanding. When wagering on MLB. having access to only one book puts a capper at a severe dis-advantage, and restricts his involvement in line shopping 

 
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Posted: #1533
35
 
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Posted: #1534
MLB system releases Wed, 07/29/09 Base_Runs formula...
 
Brewers+105 RL
Phillies+136 RL
Reds+132 RL
Tigers+172 RL
Giants-138 ML
Rockies+142 ML
Dodgers+118 ML
 
TOR/SEA  UNDER 8
KC/BALT  UNDER 9
OAK/BOS  UNDER 9.5
 
 
tenPACformulated
projected ratio: 7 /10  70%
 
SN
 
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Posted: #1535
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

strictly on 'value'    SN



You attach units to your picks 30 minutes before gametime, when the lines have moved from the published lines.

These units are attached strictly on value.

Please clarify if the value is in the published lines or the lines 30 minutes bgt. When there is a big move in a line there will be a big move in value of course.
 
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Posted: #1536
i love reading this thread , its my favorite , altho i dont use the formulas and so forth because of time restaints and not being to versed in math lol but i have learned so much from looking into certain things in this thread its amazing ...keep it up sn
 
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Posted: #1537
Detroit +175 ?!?
Who's giving you that line?

 
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Posted: #1538
Pinnacle has the line for Detroit set @ -105
 
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Posted: #1539
It's the RL genius.  

You don't know the first thing about sports betting, and yet you want to stir up trouble? 
 
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Posted: #1540
oh dear...
 
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Posted: #1541
SN - Matchbook took the SF game off the board. Any thoughts on an alternate play?
 
(BTW - tigers +156 on Matchbook -- several hours after posting. )
 
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Posted: #1542
Quote Originally Posted by toft33:

SN - Matchbook took the SF game off the board. Any thoughts on an alternate play?
 
(BTW - tigers +156 on Matchbook -- several hours after posting. )


SF Game is in going on right now mate. Started at 1545 EST.
 
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Posted: #1543
Quote Originally Posted by K4ngur13:

Pinnacle has the line for Detroit set @ -105

That might be the ML. Detroit is a slight favorite. My two books have the RL at 140 and 150.

I'll let you folks go at it. It's time for a five-mile run.

 

 
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Posted: #1544
Hey SN,
kudos and thanks for all your hard work,.
You mentioned cappers are at a disadvantage with only one book.
so I assume you use many.
what are your faves? and do you use locals?
thanks!
 
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Posted: #1545
O boy.  I totally overlooked the signs.  Shame on me.  My apology.
 
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Posted: #1546
Quote Originally Posted by toft33:

SN - Matchbook took the SF game off the board. Any thoughts on an alternate play?
 
(BTW - tigers +156 on Matchbook -- several hours after posting. )

9 points in 8 hrs...thx for the update

 
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Posted: #1547

Quote Originally Posted by 3put:



You attach units to your picks 30 minutes before gametime, when the lines have moved from the published lines.

These units are attached strictly on value.

Please clarify if the value is in the published lines or the lines 30 minutes bgt. When there is a big move in a line there will be a big move in value of course.

30 minutes bgt...SN

 
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Posted: #1548
Quote Originally Posted by angelobruno:

i love reading this thread , its my favorite , altho i dont use the formulas and so forth because of time restaints and not being to versed in math lol but i have learned so much from looking into certain things in this thread its amazing ...keep it up sn

Thx for the kind words,,,you can go to Excel and have the BR/RC formula done for you with supplied Data..

 
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Posted: #1549
DarkHorse21 i hear you
 
 
SN
 
 
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Posted: #1550
[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]
MLB system releases Wed, 07/29/09 Base_Runs formula...
 
Brewers+105 RL...win
Phillies+136 RL...loss
Reds+132 RL...loss
Tigers+172 RL...win
Giants-138 ML...win
Rockies+142 ML...ppd
Dodgers+118 ML...loss
 
TOR/SEA  UNDER 8...win
KC/BALT  UNDER 9...loss
OAK/BOS  UNDER 9.5...loss
 
 
tenPACformulated
projected ratio: 7 /10  70%
 
SN

 

 

FINAL RESULTS:

4-5-ppd

units: +2.38

SN

 

 

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