We're In Business - Brier Lines are up

Fantastic.

The top four in this field, should be head and shoulders above the rest of the competition. Two games jump out at me on the first draw and I am in big early

 

Manitoba 20 units to win 10 vs BC.

New Brunswick  5 units to win 5.5 vs NS.

Also playing NWT/Nfl over 11.5, 2.28 to win 1.8 units

Manitoba -1.5, 2 units to win 2.4.

NFL -1.5, 2.2 units to win 2, vs NWT

Ont -1.5, 2 units to win 2.4, vs Que (Draw 2)

Sask 2.5 units to win 2 and -1.5, 1 unit to win 1.7, vs PEI. (Draw 2)

Parlay Manitoba vs N.O. and Ontario over Que (draw 2) 9 units to win 9.7

I am stunned that New Brunswick is a dog to Nova Scotia. Also, I played the Manitoba moneyline, because I had not noticed that Pinny had lines up, otherwise I would have played it at the -1.5 only. Gratton has some expeirence where the local boy doesn't.

 

In the 09 brier, if all games were 11.5 for totals, there would have been nine more overs, than unders, so that is someing to keep in mind.

There is a lot of first time teams in the Brier, so will need to see if there is a Cinderella in the mix. Based on my bets, I am sure hoping it isn't BC.  Quebec beat Menard to get out, so he must be decent and same with Sask, no always the easiest province to get out of, so will look at them also.

I am out after noon today, until tomorrow, so good luck everyone.

Sorry three more.

Alberta -1.5, vs N.O, 2.28 units to win 2.

Sas/PEI under 11.5, 1.5 units to win 1.9

MB/BC under 11.5, 1.5 units to win 1.9

Manitoba was 3-8 under 11.5 in the 09 Brier, where as NWT was 8-3 to the over and Ontario 7-4 to the over.

Yes and in '08 the over would have gone 48-18 while in '07 it would have gone 47-19. I don't think those 11.5 totals will stick around long...and already they're juiced to hell.

Who do you like today Ang? Do you know of anyone after the top four, that could make a good run?

 

Glad I got Manitoba when I did, up to -257 now.

Anything for the late draw today? Appreciated the Olympic picks!

Sorry Seymour was out at the lake and only got back to get a couple of bets in, before running off to the in-laws. Will be back for the rest of the week starting tomorrow. Had a good opening day, unit wise, 6-5 +8.9 units. See you in the morning.

 

 

no problem...i've done well too...just like to compare my picks with yours and get some discussion on picks

I've been playing favorites and overs...seems to be going well so far but don't have lines up yet and my not be up in time for the first draw tomorrow

if i am up, probably liking NL and AB and overs but have to see the juice first

see you in the morning

Monday A.M. Draw

I can't lay -200, at -1.5 with NFL. They should easily cover this, but sometimes they seem to shoot themselves in the foot a little. I would have no problem laying it with the other three favs. As such, I am going to make what I feel would be similar play at less juice and put 1.8 units to win 1.9 units on the under 12.5. Running with the theory, that they do get up on them and get an early quit out of the hometown boys. Also fits well with my morning under bias.

Also playing BC 1 unit +1.5, 1 to win 1.22 units and 1 unit straight up vs Alb, to win 2.61 units. BC has played very competitively here and perhaps Koe is in a little bit of a let down spot after beating Gushue. Worth the price.

 

I swore I would never play a parlay again, but sure enough I have. I took Ontario and New Foundland to sweep both their games today. 4.5 units to win 7.1 units. Back very shortly for the afternoon games.

Afternoon Draw

PEI/NWT over 12.5, 4.6 units to win 3.5.

NO/Sask over 12.5, 3.9 units to win 3.

Ont -1.5 vs NB, 7.7 units to win 5.

Mb -1.5 vs Que, 5.48 units to win 4.

Mb/Que under 12.5, 1.8 units to win 1.7

Evening Draw Already on BC -1.5 vs Que

yes, i couldn't lay -190 juice for -1.5 for NL either. Played both as overs...haven't really looked at the afternoon draw too much yet.

Nova Scotia is bad bad bad. NFLD -1.5 was a good play IMO...

Good luck guys.

Spoke to a buddy who is at the Brier doing some commentating and he says Quebec is not very good and should have lost to Nova Scotia. That is good enough for me. I loaded up more on Manitoba this afternoon and BC again tonight versus Que. Will update later.

Your buddy is correct. Nova Scotia blew that game but should have won. I love BC tonight.

Excellent call on BC to beat Alberta this morning. I thought about it too but didn't have the stones (get it, "stones"?) to pull the trigger. Also the 6am start out here on the West Coast makes it hard to get my bets in when Pinnacle doesn't have lines up before I go to bed.

Anyways... without being biased BC will be an excellent team to tail the rest of the way. They lost by only 1 to Manitoba and Ontario and now beat another "top 4" team in Alberta. Look for them to have their way to run through their remaining schedule, with the only exception being vs Nfld.

Quebec and Nova Scotia are TERRIBLE. I'll be all over Manitoba for the PM draw and already loaded up big on BC for the evening draw.

Keep up the great picks Beam and Angelus... not usually a big curling better but it's nice to have some action this time of day!

Yes, you're right...have to take into account how bad some of these teams are.

My theory seemed to hold true in the New Foundland game, as I got my early quit but I needed them to score a deuce not a field goal, which pushed it over. Thankfully BC brought us some profit and the favourites keep rolling this afternoon. Almost got the sweep, but Yukon packed in after 7 down 9-3. I expeted Yukon to keep that close, but boy they must be playing bad to lose by 6 to PEI. Updated total heading into tonight is 12-7 +20.03 units.

Tonight already on the following

Parlay noted above first two games are in, need Ontario and NFL to win it.

BC vs Que 6.88 units to win 5, also -1.5 3.5 units to win 4.95

Ont/NS under 12.5, 4 units to win 3.7

PEI/NFL under 12.5, 2 units to win 2.1

Alb/Sask over 12.5, 4.9 units to win 4.5

Alb -1.5 2.36 units to win 2.

If you don't think a dog will win tonight, you could parlay all four favourites right now, for 2-1 odds. I as you can see, am big on BC and an early quit in the Ontario/NS game.

BTW thanks for the kind feedback GMAR. I agree lets keep the banter going with Ang, Seymour and whoever else wants to chime in. Money to be made...... we need to kick some home during the Brier and carry it forward into the Worlds.

Thanks for the picks beamjim

Tough break with the Y/NWT and PEI game. GL with your picks!

Ya, nice going so far.

Glad I got in on BC at -157 this morning as it's up to -288 already. WOW! Took 3 units on that and another 1 on the -1.5 at +130 (now -140).

Laid some big bets also on Ontario, Ont -1.5, Ont/NS Under 12.5, and the Newfies so let's hope these deserving fave's kick some ass.

They have even brought out the -2.5 lines now, with some heavy juice

Not a lot of dogs winning so far...my guess is the books are losing money on these games - although not likely a tonne since their limits are so low. I guess they probably won a little bit with Alberta's loss this morning...

But yeah, I got some great lines earlier today when I placed my best when compared to where they are now. If I have a good night tonight, I may take it easy the next few days as I think the books are going to start seriously inflating their lines.

I got BC at -1.5 +130 and can't believe where it is now, actually can't believe where it was,

some of my lines are lower juice but bigger spread...thinking of taking NL -2.5 at close to even money..5 minutes to ponder

GL tonight

You are right Ang, there is a real advantage to hitting these things early, as some of these lines are escalating a little too much. .