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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Trust the Chase - Year Long Thread

    «First Previous 8910 ... 192021 Next Last»
    Amadeus71
    arakias
    gallianno
    Simpleee
    Prof66HBK
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 15342
    Posts: 511
    «First Previous 8910 ... 192021 Next Last»
     
    Amadeus71
    Amadeus71
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2021 - 5:03 PM ET #176

    Let's go brother....we need to win some money tonight an_cheers

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    Let's go brother....we need to win some money tonight an_cheers

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2021 - 6:41 PM ET #177

    Posting from mobile tonight.

    Early plays are 

    Dallas Charlotte OVER.

    Dallas game 1 for 1 unit Charlotte game 2 for 3 units

     

    Bucks/Pistons OVER

    Bucks game 2, Pistons game 2

    total units to wager is 6

     

    nets/knicks OVER

    knicks game 3 total units to wager is 9


    Grizz Twolves OVER

    Twolves game 1 for 1 unit

     

    lakers/thunder OVER

    Lakers game 2, thunder game 1

    total units to risk is 4

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    Posting from mobile tonight.

    Early plays are 

    Dallas Charlotte OVER.

    Dallas game 1 for 1 unit Charlotte game 2 for 3 units

     

    Bucks/Pistons OVER

    Bucks game 2, Pistons game 2

    total units to wager is 6

     

    nets/knicks OVER

    knicks game 3 total units to wager is 9


    Grizz Twolves OVER

    Twolves game 1 for 1 unit

     

    lakers/thunder OVER

    Lakers game 2, thunder game 1

    total units to risk is 4

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2021 - 8:27 PM ET #178

    Trailblazers/Kings OVER

    Trailblazers are a game 2 play for 3 units.

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    Trailblazers/Kings OVER

    Trailblazers are a game 2 play for 3 units.

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 12:49 PM ET #179

    Dallas to game 2, Charlotte to game 3, Bucks and Pistons to game 3.

     

    Knicks complete the chase at game 3 for +4.18 units, Twolves complete the chase at game 1 for +0.91 units, Thunder complete the chase at game 1 for +0.91 units, Lakers and Blazers complete the chase at game 2 for +1.73 units each.

     

    Bankroll now sits at +211.35 units. Total profit YTD is $3,043.44.

     

    Tonight we have our largest wager of the year, our first game 6. It's either going to double our profits for the year, or put us slightly in the red.

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    Dallas to game 2, Charlotte to game 3, Bucks and Pistons to game 3.

     

    Knicks complete the chase at game 3 for +4.18 units, Twolves complete the chase at game 1 for +0.91 units, Thunder complete the chase at game 1 for +0.91 units, Lakers and Blazers complete the chase at game 2 for +1.73 units each.

     

    Bankroll now sits at +211.35 units. Total profit YTD is $3,043.44.

     

    Tonight we have our largest wager of the year, our first game 6. It's either going to double our profits for the year, or put us slightly in the red.

     
    arakias
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 1:01 PM ET #180

    Also have a game 4 tonight.

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    Also have a game 4 tonight.

     
    gallianno
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 1:19 PM ET #181

    @arakias

     I hav my own "chase" system and it involves only 1 step.... 1) Chase u the fuk out of this forum!

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    @arakias

     I hav my own "chase" system and it involves only 1 step.... 1) Chase u the fuk out of this forum!

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 1:34 PM ET #182

    @gallianno

     Hopefully you get banned. No clue why you'd come in here acting like that.

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    @gallianno

     Hopefully you get banned. No clue why you'd come in here acting like that.

     
    Simpleee
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 1:38 PM ET #183

    So whats your play tonight? I dont get it

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    So whats your play tonight? I dont get it

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 1:55 PM ET #184

    @Simpleee

     Highly recommend reading through at least the first few pages of the thread. 

    I'll post them about 30 minutes before the game as usual.

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    @Simpleee

     Highly recommend reading through at least the first few pages of the thread. 

    I'll post them about 30 minutes before the game as usual.

     
    Prof66HBK
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 4:46 PM ET #185

    peace_5Let’s get it tonight! 

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    peace_5Let’s get it tonight! 

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 6:12 PM ET #186

    Whelp, I'm locked in.

    Todays Selection #1

    Miami/Philly UNDER

    Game 6, total units to wager is 243. 

    Total currently sits @ 222.5

     

    Locking it in early because my book is a half point higher than the average consensus across books at the moment... BOL everyone.

    STRAIGHT BET to win $3,181.82

    Placed 01/14/2021 @ 04:11 PM

     

    Risk: $3,500.00 - Win: $3,181.82

     

    TOTAL u223-110 - (Miami Heat vrs Philadelphia 76ers)

    Game Start 01/14/2021 @ 05:15 PM

    Ticket # 480682385

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    Whelp, I'm locked in.

    Todays Selection #1

    Miami/Philly UNDER

    Game 6, total units to wager is 243. 

    Total currently sits @ 222.5

     

    Locking it in early because my book is a half point higher than the average consensus across books at the moment... BOL everyone.

    STRAIGHT BET to win $3,181.82

    Placed 01/14/2021 @ 04:11 PM

     

    Risk: $3,500.00 - Win: $3,181.82

     

    TOTAL u223-110 - (Miami Heat vrs Philadelphia 76ers)

    Game Start 01/14/2021 @ 05:15 PM

    Ticket # 480682385

     
    VeritasAlways
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 6:17 PM ET #187

    Good luck tonight.

    I'll be rooting for you.

    I always wave back at the little Amazon guy. I feel like it's the courteous thing to do.
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    Good luck tonight.

    I'll be rooting for you.

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 6:18 PM ET #188

    @VeritasAlways

     Thanks Veritas. We'll see how it pans out. :)

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    @VeritasAlways

     Thanks Veritas. We'll see how it pans out. :)

     
    HellHook33
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 6:21 PM ET #189

    @arakias

     Is this the 6 play? (biggest of year)

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    @arakias

     Is this the 6 play? (biggest of year)

     
    Contrarian
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 6:25 PM ET #190

     I do believe it says game 6

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     I do believe it says game 6

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 6:25 PM ET #191

    Yes. Please don't tail blindly. Read the thread. Just because it's a game 6 play doesn't mean I feel a certain way about it. Just going strictly off the system.

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    Yes. Please don't tail blindly. Read the thread. Just because it's a game 6 play doesn't mean I feel a certain way about it. Just going strictly off the system.

     
    Amadeus71
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 6:31 PM ET #192

    Good luck brother an_cheers

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    Good luck brother an_cheers

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 6:34 PM ET #193

    @Amadeus71

     Thanks brotha.

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    @Amadeus71

     Thanks brotha.

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 6:59 PM ET #194

    Todays Selection #2

    Hornets/Hawks OVER

    Charlotte is a game 3 play for 9 units, Hawks are a game 2 play for 3 units.

    Total currently sits @ 218.5

     

    Todays Selection #3

    Rockets/Spurs OVER

    Spurs are a game 2 play for 3 units.

    Total currently Sits @ 219

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    Todays Selection #2

    Hornets/Hawks OVER

    Charlotte is a game 3 play for 9 units, Hawks are a game 2 play for 3 units.

    Total currently sits @ 218.5

     

    Todays Selection #3

    Rockets/Spurs OVER

    Spurs are a game 2 play for 3 units.

    Total currently Sits @ 219

     
    Amadeus71
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 7:03 PM ET #195

    Raptors???

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    Raptors???

     
    Bettingtips010
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 7:05 PM ET #196

    @Amadeus71

     where are your player props mate?

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    @Amadeus71

     where are your player props mate?

     
    Amadeus71
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 7:10 PM ET #197

    @Bettingtips010

     Sorry man....busy day at work. I will post couple in  a moment. 

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    @Bettingtips010

     Sorry man....busy day at work. I will post couple in  a moment. 

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 7:11 PM ET #198

    @Amadeus71

     Yes. Raps, sorry.

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    @Amadeus71

     Yes. Raps, sorry.

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 8:16 PM ET #199

    Well dudes, it's likely this is the end of the experiment for me. If you want to keep it up... the 6 game chase starts after a team goes UNDER.

    Follow that up by the 6 game chase using OOOUUU. For an even safer version, you can switch it to an 8 game chase. Wait for under, go OOOUUUOU. This eliminates a LOT of the losses. However, for me to keep my 8th game bet at $3500, I had to make my game 1 bets $1.60 and my game 2 bets $4.80... Boring AF to me... but it did show profitable over a long period of time. I think it was up like... $14k from 2019-2012 if you follow that formula.

    Feel free to go back and check all the data yourselves.

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    Well dudes, it's likely this is the end of the experiment for me. If you want to keep it up... the 6 game chase starts after a team goes UNDER.

    Follow that up by the 6 game chase using OOOUUU. For an even safer version, you can switch it to an 8 game chase. Wait for under, go OOOUUUOU. This eliminates a LOT of the losses. However, for me to keep my 8th game bet at $3500, I had to make my game 1 bets $1.60 and my game 2 bets $4.80... Boring AF to me... but it did show profitable over a long period of time. I think it was up like... $14k from 2019-2012 if you follow that formula.

    Feel free to go back and check all the data yourselves.

     
     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2021 - 8:21 PM ET #200

    Here's the exact number the 8 game chase would be up from 2019-2012: 16,065.27

    It would've had 3 losing seasons, 6 winning seasons. The worst losing season would've been -4768.96.

    The best winning season was 12268.28.

    It's very likely that I'll switch to this system. Boring as it may be, I love how LITTLE the bad seasons lose. In a 6 game chase system, there were years where the system would post 25k losses, 25k wins. I like the safer approach.

     

    This should go without saying... but once you win a chase. You wait for the team to go under again, then start a new chase with their next game.

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    Here's the exact number the 8 game chase would be up from 2019-2012: 16,065.27

    It would've had 3 losing seasons, 6 winning seasons. The worst losing season would've been -4768.96.

    The best winning season was 12268.28.

    It's very likely that I'll switch to this system. Boring as it may be, I love how LITTLE the bad seasons lose. In a 6 game chase system, there were years where the system would post 25k losses, 25k wins. I like the safer approach.

     

    This should go without saying... but once you win a chase. You wait for the team to go under again, then start a new chase with their next game.

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