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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Trust the Chase - Year Long Thread

    123 ... 192021 Next Last»
    arakias
    Bsung29
    umgmu
    philschnaars
    Focusdane
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 15342
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    123 ... 192021 Next Last»
     
    arakias
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 1:17 PM ET #1

    So, here's the deal. For the last few days I've been posting about a chase system that would've made you money in the NBA the last 3 years in a row (the only 3 years I've tracked so far). I need to know if people care enough or not for me to post the plays here. I don't want to give out the details, call me superstitious, whatever. I've been looking for a "guaranteed" system for years and I think I've finally found one. I checked it against 2019 MLB and NHL as well, and it would've made money there too. Any sport with a lot of games each year, because you need to be able to recoup the losses over time *IF* you have any losses on a chase (which do happen rarely.. like, 3 a year it seems, total).

    I will not post this information again but will respond to questions. If you don't understand, PM me. I want to keep the thread clean to reporting bankroll improvements and plays.

    This is a 6 game chase system. You need to be ABLE and WILLING to risk 1-3-9-27-81-243 units per game. If a team is on game 6, you MUST be willing to risk 243 units. For me, a unit is $14.40. A game 6 wager is $3500. 

    In 2019, this system would've made a $14.40 per unit bettor $26,918.50 in the NBA. 2018, $12,103.15.

    If there is no interest here, I'll keep this system private and just play it on my own.

    There are a few rules...

    1) Do NOT complain about any losses. Most of your money is made from the many game 3 and 4 hits you'll encounter. Of course 5 and 6 gamers are amazing, but they happen rarely. Many teams will never have a game 5 or 6 win (or a game 6 loss), and just make you a cool $1000 or so at $14.40 a unit.

    2) Read rule #1 again. I'm serious. If you complain, I'll do whatever I can to not share the information with you anymore.

    3) I came up with this system on my own time. I think I've found a gold mine, and I'm not charging anyone for it. Be courteous and respectful in this thread.

    4) Don't ask me what the system is. You can follow it, or not, doesn't matter to me. So far this year the system is +$1295 at $14.40 per unit. That's factoring in current losses for teams that are in the midst of their chase too!

    5) Don't waste your time telling me about how chase systems or martingales suck. I've spent the last few weeks compiling spreadsheets, spending hundreds of hours of my own time doing so. I've checked it across three major sports, and it hasn't shown a single negative year (yet). I plan to do more. Total number of seasons tracked across all three sports is 5. So far, all would've been profitable. Four of them over $20k @ $14.40 per unit.

    6) No one has a gun to your head. No one is MAKING you place bets. DO NOT COMPLAIN WHEN YOU LOSE. DO NOT COMPLAIN IF YOU LOSE A GAME 6. IT HAPPENS.

    There is a LOT of action today, and if I start sharing this info I'll do it from the middle of some chases. Sorry, but it's for people who want to jump in EXACTLY as they would as if they had been doing this from the start of the year.

     

    So, thoughts? Anyone interested and actually willing to put their money up like I am? Everyone wanna tell me to kick rocks and I'll just not do it?

    System Extraordinaire.
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    So, here's the deal. For the last few days I've been posting about a chase system that would've made you money in the NBA the last 3 years in a row (the only 3 years I've tracked so far). I need to know if people care enough or not for me to post the plays here. I don't want to give out the details, call me superstitious, whatever. I've been looking for a "guaranteed" system for years and I think I've finally found one. I checked it against 2019 MLB and NHL as well, and it would've made money there too. Any sport with a lot of games each year, because you need to be able to recoup the losses over time *IF* you have any losses on a chase (which do happen rarely.. like, 3 a year it seems, total).

    I will not post this information again but will respond to questions. If you don't understand, PM me. I want to keep the thread clean to reporting bankroll improvements and plays.

    This is a 6 game chase system. You need to be ABLE and WILLING to risk 1-3-9-27-81-243 units per game. If a team is on game 6, you MUST be willing to risk 243 units. For me, a unit is $14.40. A game 6 wager is $3500. 

    In 2019, this system would've made a $14.40 per unit bettor $26,918.50 in the NBA. 2018, $12,103.15.

    If there is no interest here, I'll keep this system private and just play it on my own.

    There are a few rules...

    1) Do NOT complain about any losses. Most of your money is made from the many game 3 and 4 hits you'll encounter. Of course 5 and 6 gamers are amazing, but they happen rarely. Many teams will never have a game 5 or 6 win (or a game 6 loss), and just make you a cool $1000 or so at $14.40 a unit.

    2) Read rule #1 again. I'm serious. If you complain, I'll do whatever I can to not share the information with you anymore.

    3) I came up with this system on my own time. I think I've found a gold mine, and I'm not charging anyone for it. Be courteous and respectful in this thread.

    4) Don't ask me what the system is. You can follow it, or not, doesn't matter to me. So far this year the system is +$1295 at $14.40 per unit. That's factoring in current losses for teams that are in the midst of their chase too!

    5) Don't waste your time telling me about how chase systems or martingales suck. I've spent the last few weeks compiling spreadsheets, spending hundreds of hours of my own time doing so. I've checked it across three major sports, and it hasn't shown a single negative year (yet). I plan to do more. Total number of seasons tracked across all three sports is 5. So far, all would've been profitable. Four of them over $20k @ $14.40 per unit.

    6) No one has a gun to your head. No one is MAKING you place bets. DO NOT COMPLAIN WHEN YOU LOSE. DO NOT COMPLAIN IF YOU LOSE A GAME 6. IT HAPPENS.

    There is a LOT of action today, and if I start sharing this info I'll do it from the middle of some chases. Sorry, but it's for people who want to jump in EXACTLY as they would as if they had been doing this from the start of the year.

     

    So, thoughts? Anyone interested and actually willing to put their money up like I am? Everyone wanna tell me to kick rocks and I'll just not do it?

     
    Bsung29
    Bsung29
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 1:22 PM ET #2

    Sounds good to me! Been following your picks and you've been great. Thank you for your help

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    Sounds good to me! Been following your picks and you've been great. Thank you for your help

     
    arakias
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 1:25 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by Bsung29:

    Sounds good to me! Been following your picks and you've been great. Thank you for your help
    I appreciate that. People will be skeptical which I understand, but the results will speak for themselves. an_cheers

    System Extraordinaire.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bsung29:

    Sounds good to me! Been following your picks and you've been great. Thank you for your help
    I appreciate that. People will be skeptical which I understand, but the results will speak for themselves. an_cheers

     
    arakias
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 2:30 PM ET #4

    Well, we'll see what happens when people see results! 

    Here's the 1/1/21 update:

    Bankroll sits at +6.18 units now

    7 teams are in the midst of a choice. 

    11 teams will begin the chase on their next game. 

    12 teams are waiting for the right condition to hit to begin the chase.

    There will be action on 10 teams total today in 8 of the 10 games on the slate.

    First action starts at 7PM EST. Plays are announced 30 minutes before tip-off. Our goal is to get a line equal to or better than what Covers shows. Do NOT bet unless you have a line equal to or better than what covers shows. You can buy points at your own discretion, but its not part of the system.

    System Extraordinaire.
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    Well, we'll see what happens when people see results! 

    Here's the 1/1/21 update:

    Bankroll sits at +6.18 units now

    7 teams are in the midst of a choice. 

    11 teams will begin the chase on their next game. 

    12 teams are waiting for the right condition to hit to begin the chase.

    There will be action on 10 teams total today in 8 of the 10 games on the slate.

    First action starts at 7PM EST. Plays are announced 30 minutes before tip-off. Our goal is to get a line equal to or better than what Covers shows. Do NOT bet unless you have a line equal to or better than what covers shows. You can buy points at your own discretion, but its not part of the system.

     
    umgmu
    umgmu
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 2:53 PM ET #5

    go for itan_popcorn

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    go for itan_popcorn

     
    philschnaars
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 3:01 PM ET #6

    Of course we want you to post your fool proof guaranteed lock chase system that can’t lose and will make every bettor on here rich peace_5

    an_popcorn

    Freedom road was a one-way street
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    Of course we want you to post your fool proof guaranteed lock chase system that can’t lose and will make every bettor on here rich peace_5

    an_popcorn

     
    arakias
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 3:04 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by philschnaars:

    Of course we want you to post your fool proof guaranteed lock chase system that can’t lose and will make every bettor on here rich

     

    This is exactly the type of post I'm going to LOVE to look back on in 6 months. Thank you.

    System Extraordinaire.
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    Quote Originally Posted by philschnaars:

    Of course we want you to post your fool proof guaranteed lock chase system that can’t lose and will make every bettor on here rich

     

    This is exactly the type of post I'm going to LOVE to look back on in 6 months. Thank you.

     
    philschnaars
    philschnaars
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 3:07 PM ET #8

    @arakias

     an_popcorn
    wonder how many “Chase” systems pan out.....paint_help

    Freedom road was a one-way street
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    @arakias

     an_popcorn
    wonder how many “Chase” systems pan out.....paint_help

     
    arakias
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 3:21 PM ET #9

    @philschnaars

     Why would I care about past chase systems failures? They weren't mine. I didn't do the research.

    Someone elses failure doesn't influence or impact me. You can take a hike though bud if you're unwilling to be a positive and constructive contributor to the discussion. :)

    System Extraordinaire.
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    @philschnaars

     Why would I care about past chase systems failures? They weren't mine. I didn't do the research.

    Someone elses failure doesn't influence or impact me. You can take a hike though bud if you're unwilling to be a positive and constructive contributor to the discussion. :)

     
    Focusdane
    Focusdane
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 3:23 PM ET #10

    @arakias

     Will patiently wait bro. Lets go!!

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    @arakias

     Will patiently wait bro. Lets go!!

     
    Trinitiyy
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 4:10 PM ET #11

    clover

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    clover

     
    arakias
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 5:27 PM ET #12

    There will be a lot of action on overs at the beginning of the season. Yes it's by design. The system would have hit FOUR game 4 chases already. At $14.40 per unit, a 4 game hit equals $166 profit. That means you'd be up $664 off the four game hits alone. Can't wait to see how many people actually ride with me on this system!

    We only had action on three games last night, and three the night before. Today, we get to wager on EIGHT of them. One thing I love already about this system, is I get to watch the games with a vested interest, but I'm not panicking when they lose on a game or game 2 chase, because the bets are $14.40 and $43.21. It actually makes me happy, because the chase is getting extended, and I make more money the further the chase goes.

    System Extraordinaire.
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    There will be a lot of action on overs at the beginning of the season. Yes it's by design. The system would have hit FOUR game 4 chases already. At $14.40 per unit, a 4 game hit equals $166 profit. That means you'd be up $664 off the four game hits alone. Can't wait to see how many people actually ride with me on this system!

    We only had action on three games last night, and three the night before. Today, we get to wager on EIGHT of them. One thing I love already about this system, is I get to watch the games with a vested interest, but I'm not panicking when they lose on a game or game 2 chase, because the bets are $14.40 and $43.21. It actually makes me happy, because the chase is getting extended, and I make more money the further the chase goes.

     
    arakias
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 6:30 PM ET #13

    I'll be locking in my bet 15 minutes before tip.

     

    Todays Play #1 - Grizzlies/Hornets Over. Total of 9 units wager.

    Charlotte is a game 3 play.

    Currently Over/Under sits at 220.5. 

     

    Todays Play #2 - Celtics/Pistons Over.  Total of 1 unit wager.

    Detroit is a game 1 play,

    Currently Over/Under sits at 213.5. 

     

    Todays Play #3 - Heat/Mavs Over. Total units to wager is 4. 

    Miami is a game 1 play, Dallas is a game 2 play.

    Currently Over/Under sits at 224.5. 

    System Extraordinaire.
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    I'll be locking in my bet 15 minutes before tip.

     

    Todays Play #1 - Grizzlies/Hornets Over. Total of 9 units wager.

    Charlotte is a game 3 play.

    Currently Over/Under sits at 220.5. 

     

    Todays Play #2 - Celtics/Pistons Over.  Total of 1 unit wager.

    Detroit is a game 1 play,

    Currently Over/Under sits at 213.5. 

     

    Todays Play #3 - Heat/Mavs Over. Total units to wager is 4. 

    Miami is a game 1 play, Dallas is a game 2 play.

    Currently Over/Under sits at 224.5. 

     
    philschnaars
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 6:32 PM ET #14

    BOL to you an_cheers

    hope the morons on this site will actually read your rules about proper bankroll cause anyone dumb enough to follow this will be dumb enough to try it without enough money for a game 6 play let alone a game 6 loss

    Freedom road was a one-way street
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    BOL to you an_cheers

    hope the morons on this site will actually read your rules about proper bankroll cause anyone dumb enough to follow this will be dumb enough to try it without enough money for a game 6 play let alone a game 6 loss

     
    arakias
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 6:33 PM ET #15

    @philschnaars

     Hey, I finally agree with you on something. Someone who doesn't have the roll will fail.

    Dumb enough to try it? Let's see what the bankroll sits at the end of the year and talk then.

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    @philschnaars

     Hey, I finally agree with you on something. Someone who doesn't have the roll will fail.

    Dumb enough to try it? Let's see what the bankroll sits at the end of the year and talk then.

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 6:34 PM ET #16

    @philschnaars

     I've been very up front about how I'm doing this. If I hit a 6 game loss, I will deduct the total of all 6 wagers (1, 3, 9, 27, 81 and 243 units totaling 364 units) from the current bankroll.

    Bankroll currently sits at 1006.18 units.

    Here's the net profit for each game win, these numbers factor in the losses. What I mean here, is what you see as a game 2 win, factors in the loss of 1 unit from the loss of game 1, a game 3 win reflects the total amount positive after factoring in game 1 and 2 losses, etc. 

    1 - 0.91                     

    2 - 1.73                     

    3 - 4.18           

    4 - 11.55                   

    5 - 33.64                     

    6 - 99.93

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    @philschnaars

     I've been very up front about how I'm doing this. If I hit a 6 game loss, I will deduct the total of all 6 wagers (1, 3, 9, 27, 81 and 243 units totaling 364 units) from the current bankroll.

    Bankroll currently sits at 1006.18 units.

    Here's the net profit for each game win, these numbers factor in the losses. What I mean here, is what you see as a game 2 win, factors in the loss of 1 unit from the loss of game 1, a game 3 win reflects the total amount positive after factoring in game 1 and 2 losses, etc. 

    1 - 0.91                     

    2 - 1.73                     

    3 - 4.18           

    4 - 11.55                   

    5 - 33.64                     

    6 - 99.93

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 6:39 PM ET #17

    There will be no action on Atlanta and Brooklyn, or Washington and Minnesota.

    Next update will come 30 minutes before tip-off for Bulls and Bucks.

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    There will be no action on Atlanta and Brooklyn, or Washington and Minnesota.

    Next update will come 30 minutes before tip-off for Bulls and Bucks.

     
    philschnaars
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 6:46 PM ET #18

    On a serious note GL with it and thanks for taking the time to share all this work with us

     

    juat can’t be understated that you’re starting with a $15,000 bankroll chasing $14.40 units cause some newbie will come in here and think his $500 is good enough to do this and first time he gets burned (believe you said 2-3 a year) he won’t have the bankroll to continue on the next chase

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    On a serious note GL with it and thanks for taking the time to share all this work with us

     

    juat can’t be understated that you’re starting with a $15,000 bankroll chasing $14.40 units cause some newbie will come in here and think his $500 is good enough to do this and first time he gets burned (believe you said 2-3 a year) he won’t have the bankroll to continue on the next chase

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 6:50 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by philschnaars:

    On a serious note GL with it and thanks for taking the time to share all this work with us   juat can’t be understated that you’re starting with a $15,000 bankroll chasing $14.40 units cause some newbie will come in here and think his $500 is good enough to do this and first time he gets burned (believe you said 2-3 a year) he won’t have the bankroll to continue on the next chase

    I appreciate that... And yeah... you definitely need the roll. Someone with a $1000 roll could be a unit bettor. Their max bet would be $243 on a 6 game chase. Last year they would have made a little under $2k. Not bad for being a "$1 unit" bettor. The year before that they would have only made like $500 all year. But hey... It's a way to build a roll. Let's see how the year plays out. I appreciate you being civil. peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by philschnaars:

    On a serious note GL with it and thanks for taking the time to share all this work with us   juat can’t be understated that you’re starting with a $15,000 bankroll chasing $14.40 units cause some newbie will come in here and think his $500 is good enough to do this and first time he gets burned (believe you said 2-3 a year) he won’t have the bankroll to continue on the next chase

    I appreciate that... And yeah... you definitely need the roll. Someone with a $1000 roll could be a unit bettor. Their max bet would be $243 on a 6 game chase. Last year they would have made a little under $2k. Not bad for being a "$1 unit" bettor. The year before that they would have only made like $500 all year. But hey... It's a way to build a roll. Let's see how the year plays out. I appreciate you being civil. peace_5

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 7:28 PM ET #20

    Todays Play #4 - Spurs/Lakers Over. Total of 12 units wager.

    Spurs are a game 2 play, Lakers are a game 3 play..

    Currently Over/Under sits at 229.5. 

     

    Todays Play #5 - Bulls/Bucks Over.  Total of 1 unit wager.

    Milwaukee is a game 1 play,

    Currently Over/Under sits at 233. 

     

     

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    Todays Play #4 - Spurs/Lakers Over. Total of 12 units wager.

    Spurs are a game 2 play, Lakers are a game 3 play..

    Currently Over/Under sits at 229.5. 

     

    Todays Play #5 - Bulls/Bucks Over.  Total of 1 unit wager.

    Milwaukee is a game 1 play,

    Currently Over/Under sits at 233. 

     

     

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 8:35 PM ET #21

    Todays Play #6 - Suns/Nuggets Over. Total of 1 unit wagered.

    Suns are a game 1 play.

    Currently Over/Under sits at 220.5. 

     

    Todays Play #7 - Clippers/Jazz Over.  Total of 1 unit wager.

    Utah is a game 1 play,

    Currently Over/Under sits at 219.5. 

     

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    Todays Play #6 - Suns/Nuggets Over. Total of 1 unit wagered.

    Suns are a game 1 play.

    Currently Over/Under sits at 220.5. 

     

    Todays Play #7 - Clippers/Jazz Over.  Total of 1 unit wager.

    Utah is a game 1 play,

    Currently Over/Under sits at 219.5. 

     

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 10:00 PM ET #22

    Todays Play #8 - Blazers/Warriors Over.  Total of 1 unit wager.

    Golden State is a game 1 play,

    Currently Over/Under sits at 237.5. 

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    Todays Play #8 - Blazers/Warriors Over.  Total of 1 unit wager.

    Golden State is a game 1 play,

    Currently Over/Under sits at 237.5. 

     
    ballgam
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2021 - 11:38 PM ET #23

    moose

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    moose

     
    zzbynzz
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    Posted: Jan. 2, 2021 - 12:25 AM ET #24

    How do u know a team have right condition to begin the chase ? Can u share how do u select it bro ?

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    How do u know a team have right condition to begin the chase ? Can u share how do u select it bro ?

     
     
    arakias
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    Posted: Jan. 2, 2021 - 12:03 PM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by zzbynzz:

    How do u know a team have right condition to begin the chase ? Can u share how do u select it bro ?

    Already mentioned that I don't want to give out the details. Took me a LONG time to find this.

    Every team moved to their next game yesterday.

     

    Charlotte moves to game 4.

     

    Detroit moves to game 2.

     

    Miami moves to game 2, Dallas moves to game 3.

     

    Spurs moves to game 2, Lakers moves to game 4.

     

    Milwaukee moves to game 2.

     

    Suns moves to game 2.

     

    Utah moves to game 2.

     

    Golden State moves to game 2.

     

    There will be action on 5 of the 6 games today. No action on Kings/Rockets.

    Charlotte will be going for a game 4 and Cleveland a game 3! Could be a big day.

     

    For the first time, we'll have teams on opposite sides of the action too. I haven't been able to think of a way to handle this other than betting both sides knowing one will lose, because the system calls for action on both sides. It is what it is, that's how I'll be handling it. You can do the same if you'd like, or change how you want to manage this particular situation, but I'm sticking to the system 100% for the entire year.

     

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by zzbynzz:

    How do u know a team have right condition to begin the chase ? Can u share how do u select it bro ?

    Already mentioned that I don't want to give out the details. Took me a LONG time to find this.

    Every team moved to their next game yesterday.

     

    Charlotte moves to game 4.

     

    Detroit moves to game 2.

     

    Miami moves to game 2, Dallas moves to game 3.

     

    Spurs moves to game 2, Lakers moves to game 4.

     

    Milwaukee moves to game 2.

     

    Suns moves to game 2.

     

    Utah moves to game 2.

     

    Golden State moves to game 2.

     

    There will be action on 5 of the 6 games today. No action on Kings/Rockets.

    Charlotte will be going for a game 4 and Cleveland a game 3! Could be a big day.

     

    For the first time, we'll have teams on opposite sides of the action too. I haven't been able to think of a way to handle this other than betting both sides knowing one will lose, because the system calls for action on both sides. It is what it is, that's how I'll be handling it. You can do the same if you'd like, or change how you want to manage this particular situation, but I'm sticking to the system 100% for the entire year.

     

     

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