Over/Under: How I am winning

hi sly..how are u today? enjoying your day off .............

great pick on the phi over, dallas under...i will follow on port under as well............any thoughts on den game (i dont know what i just pressed...now the question mark doesnt work)...lol it turns out as ÉÉÉ

 

Hi Sportsgirl, hope you are well .

It's Saturday over here

All I know for Denver game is that they are at least 20 points better than the Clippers. Denver play again tomorrow against Chicago and I expect that they will want to shake the Clips early as the Bulls will be a real test.

Clippers usually will struggle on the Offense and the Defense so the best play is Denver -9. Denver is better than being a -9 look and should win by 15 or more.

Totals wise, I would normally go for Over 207 (previously 208) as this game has that potential. Clippers don't play again for 2-3 days. They have nothing to lose and we really need high octane offense from them to get it up there.

It's possible for Overs but you may need the 2nd Half scoring to get it there.

I am going to look at it at the HT. Anything set at 100-105 for the 2nd Half - take OVER

GL

thank you mate....i am going to be online so i will wait for your 2nd half capping on portland or denver game....

so port under 207 and denver!!!  its friday night over here 10 pm

best of luck to us all..

 

i usually notice that clippers dont score much at home especially against high scoring teams.....ofcourse no question that Denver is a better team and should be able to cover easily..........

Denver normally gets the scoring from the starters but their bench is good with JR Reid and Chris Anderson. But the key is how much time the starters do get and how much they play as Denver will be looking at Chicago as a very long game and they will want to conserve their energy for them. No disrespect to Clippers but that's the reason why the line is set at only -9.

If Denver had no game tomorrow, it would be set at -14.

Although I am not playing this one, I think Under 207 looks to be the bet with the Clippers game.

Clippers don't have too bad a D and altho they give away 100 points at home, Denver will be tighter on D themselves and may make the Clippers struggle.

Scrap the idea I gave re: Overs in 2nd Half

I will review it properly at the Half

ok sly....i was liking the denver under more than the over..so im going with denver and port under....thanks again

Yeah cool. GL with that.

Can you bet during the Game? ie not at the breaks or halves - in play and when the games happening?

unbelievable on the UNDer on the dallas game :((((( it was only few seconds left and it went Over

WTF????

Dallas completely messed up. 71 points in the 4th Qtr. Sacs get a quick bucket and Nowitski had the ball stolen with 7 seconds left and Sacs score a 3 pointer to get the total over! Then score another 3 in the end. No LOL.

There must have been 15 points scored in the last minute.

Crap!!!!

 

im not sure about that....im too new to all this online stuff...sorry cant help

im hoping portland game slows down...they are scoring wayy tooo much already...common boys DEFENSE

I've had this happen in a couple of plays.

Totally believable now how these things go. Dallas just kept Sacramento in the game all game and that was what allowed this to occur. Not sure why Drew Gooden had 16 shots either when he went 4/16.

Sly, I don't post a lot.  Have been following your post and like what you have been doing.  But I can not believe this, I didn't see the end of the game, but I had the under 203 and had 29 points to give going into the last 2 and change.  I check back on the score and thought it was an error.  WTF indeed.  Keep up the good work.

 

Yeah - I think with 18 seconds left the score was 100-92. They scored 14 points in 18 seconds.

Doesn't look like the GSW and Portland going too well either. Need a couple of meltdown Qtrs but the scoring is pretty good and no D played as usual by teams playing GSW.

Clippers up 5.

They are on a 17-0 run as well. When have they ever got on a 17-0 run? Never!

NBA - Where Amazing Happens!

HT Plays

GSW v PORTLAND Under 104
LA CLIPPERS v DENVER Under 103

Both favorites on the road are losing.

1. Portland steps the D, stop playing the stupid running game as they have back2back and go back to basic basketball.

2. Clippers are lousy in the 2nd Halves. Denver need to play D and given they will need to get back into the game, expect some heavy D and pressure on Clip's shooters while Billups starts using the ball and get the ball into the paints.

Lousy Portland - the 1st Qtr by them is going to be costly for Unders backing. Don't mean to gripe but when you are on the road and play the tempo that GSW want to play, you just warm them up and keep them in games early.

Very bad coaching by McMillan allowing this to go for that Qtr. NBA players and teams biggest advantage is to get to play either the tempo they want or run the plays they like.

Portland are not a team designed to run. They are more inside the paint workers with the perimeter shooters to take advantage of the double teaming.

Intersting tomorrow with alot of teams on back to back.

The Denver and Chicago Game is set at 204. This appears too much in my opinion. Will look through this one.

Still some hope left if GSW can just run the clock down and Portland resigns itself to their fate. They are 20 down - they cannot win - and they let the GSW play the style needed to beat them.

McMillan should get his ass kicked for this as this is not Portland's playbook.

GSW I think have won 8 of 9 meetings in Oakland. This will be 9/10. Well done to them in this one.

Hot cash to all Portland UNDERs backers.

2-1 tonite but could have been 3-0.

Dallas huh????? I'm still miffed!!!! 

Record stands at 12-9.

Hmmmmmm

UNDER 207

Well done to You

Talking bout the Denver game that is - hope you got the UNDER 207.

Summary:

Major upsets here - both Clips and GSW winning the late ones. Both teams shot high percentages than normal - Clips especially but they do have their customary fades in the 2nd Halves.

Denver - dunno what's up with them and although I thought that 15 points down in final Qtr they still had a chance, they at least didn't give up but some bad passes in the final 3 minutes was costly.

Clippers are chokers but Denver choked more. Denver have a 2 hour flight back home. I'd like to know what time they are catching that flight.

The game against the Bulls is going to be tough for the Nuggets and I am looking at a rested Bulls line up take it to the Nuggets.

Possibly looking at Bulls +8.5 provided they play D.

The total is set at 204.5. I may be taking the UNDER in the 2nd Half on this one.

Portland as I have stated before played the way the GSW wanted - no D and all O in the 1st Qtr. Scoring 66 points between them in that Qtr. The game settled to a grind in the next 3 Qtrs but the GSW just shot too well (48%) and the scoreboard pressure was too much. Admittedly, Portland just didn't shoot well (42%).

I expect that Portland will be conscious of this and will have to give some lesser teams respect. Nate McMillan needs to address the issue where his players are getting too far ahead of the game. They basically went from 8 up from the 1st Qtr to 14 down. 22 Point turnaround and it was as much as 28 as GSW led by 20 at one stage.

I expect Portland to play better D against Minnesota. The 187 Total set is merely a gift and I am all over this one just from looking at it.

I envisage Portland will win 90-80. Looking at both totals and 1st half unders.

11/21/2009
HOUSTON v SACRAMENTO
Total: 208

2 teams on Back2Backs although the trip to the venue is short for Sacramento but longer for Houston.

Both were losers by 2 points each as well.

Houston lost the 1st meeting in Sacramento 109-100 and difference was in rebounding - a staggering 54-35 to Sacramento. Kings scored alot of points from Offensive rebounds which were dished off to outside players who were open for perimeter 2s or 3s.

It's easy to say it will be a revenge Game and Houston should win. I think they will win. The Sacramento Kings for all their worth are still not a 100 points away from home type team mainly as they have a weak non scoring bench.

They should never have scored 102 against Dallas - they scored some 8 points in the final 18 seconds I believe. Also shot 53% from the field as well.

The bottom line is Houston should know how to address the rebounding issue and play better D inside the paint at home.

1. I would not expect Sacramento to shoot 50% in this one let alone 45%. They only average 96 ppg away.

2. Houston perimeter Guards were bullied by Tyreke Evans in the 1st one and should manage him better here.

3. Houston are at home where they average 105 ppg and their D give up 98 ppg.

4. In 2008/09, Houston on back2backs lost alot of games. The scores also tend to stay under 200 in total.

So unless Sacramento can shoot the lights out again, this game is going to be Under 208. I cannot see Houston looking at a high tempo game in this one. Possibly set the tone early but faze it in the 2nd half.

They will just want to secure the win.

Play: Under 208