i bet you are no older than 21; and you are 15-10; and you bet nfl games; i wouldnt take advice from you on whre to take a dump; and they dont keep threads open for 6 months; i know this may be your first gambling site but i think you are drastically underestimating that anyone takes any advice from you and if they do god help them; i know you are probably hitting refresh over and over to see if anyone responds but when the season is over or once you have a losing record i imagine you will be gone along with your 90% record
mind your own business. I have been tailing slyspy's NBA pick and it has produce good results so far.
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Quote Originally Posted by Handicapper33:
i bet you are no older than 21; and you are 15-10; and you bet nfl games; i wouldnt take advice from you on whre to take a dump; and they dont keep threads open for 6 months; i know this may be your first gambling site but i think you are drastically underestimating that anyone takes any advice from you and if they do god help them; i know you are probably hitting refresh over and over to see if anyone responds but when the season is over or once you have a losing record i imagine you will be gone along with your 90% record
mind your own business. I have been tailing slyspy's NBA pick and it has produce good results so far.
yea its because you are so good; its because its moranic to have one thread for one person over an entire nba season; get real yea its because they dont want the 90% hitters coming in; whats your bankroll now $500 till you lose it and then you go back to $20 10 team parlays be honest
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yea its because you are so good; its because its moranic to have one thread for one person over an entire nba season; get real yea its because they dont want the 90% hitters coming in; whats your bankroll now $500 till you lose it and then you go back to $20 10 team parlays be honest
great its the new guy with 3 posts i wonder who that is could it be the same guys that started this thread; only has 3 posts all in this thread; call me crazy
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great its the new guy with 3 posts i wonder who that is could it be the same guys that started this thread; only has 3 posts all in this thread; call me crazy
yea its because you are so good; its because its moranic to have one thread for one person over an entire nba season; get real yea its because they dont want the 90% hitters coming in; whats your bankroll now $500 till you lose it and then you go back to $20 10 team parlays be honest
I dont do Parlays. I only started betting on the Season when it was 5 games in for most teams so i can see how they flow. Im up closer to 1000 but im not holding my breathe and relaxing. Im actually working on this stuff. They are not simple guesses.
I do actually suck at NFL though but I dont always bet on it - maybe for fun if its on TV.
Anyway - later. I gotta go.
Will post some plays tomorrow. Feel free to constructively let me know what you think.
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Quote Originally Posted by Handicapper33:
yea its because you are so good; its because its moranic to have one thread for one person over an entire nba season; get real yea its because they dont want the 90% hitters coming in; whats your bankroll now $500 till you lose it and then you go back to $20 10 team parlays be honest
I dont do Parlays. I only started betting on the Season when it was 5 games in for most teams so i can see how they flow. Im up closer to 1000 but im not holding my breathe and relaxing. Im actually working on this stuff. They are not simple guesses.
I do actually suck at NFL though but I dont always bet on it - maybe for fun if its on TV.
Anyway - later. I gotta go.
Will post some plays tomorrow. Feel free to constructively let me know what you think.
Love your picks sly... I've been doing well with them lately. It's obvious you know your stuff on basketball. Keep up the good work. Personally I think you sometimes give advice on too many games some nights. I would like you to rate your picks on your conifidence level... 1-5 stars or something... Then you can throw out stats like your 90% on 5 star picks, and it gives us followers a chance to decide which games and how much to bet on as I personally only bet on one game a night.
Thanks again and keep it up!
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Love your picks sly... I've been doing well with them lately. It's obvious you know your stuff on basketball. Keep up the good work. Personally I think you sometimes give advice on too many games some nights. I would like you to rate your picks on your conifidence level... 1-5 stars or something... Then you can throw out stats like your 90% on 5 star picks, and it gives us followers a chance to decide which games and how much to bet on as I personally only bet on one game a night.
11/23/2009 SAN ANTONIO v MILWAUKEE Total: 192 (Previously 193)
Not too many Games or too many markets released. You do with what you got.
Milwaukee isn't a bad team at all. They are one of the higher 3 point attempting teams and land a good percentage of them. Their Defense is sound and concede 88 ppg when they are playing away although 2 teams they played were Chicago and New Jersey where scoring can be scarce and they have only played 4 Games away.
The Spurs have been conceding 96 ppg when at home. Opponents have scored 94 (Sac), 124 (Tor), 83 (Dal), 101 (OKC), 90 (Utah) and 84 (Was).
That score of 84 by Washington included 28/84 shooting by the Wizards - pathetic by NBA standards. You can see that all in all, the Spurs are not the great defensive team they were in the past 5 years.
Opponents are coming to the AT+T Centre and getting some shots off. I suppose the personnel have changed at the Spurs and although they will play the traditional low scoring affairs against the traditional rivals, the Spurs are different in many ways. Addition of a player like Richard Jefferson allows an additional scoring option whether as a 3 point threat or someone who can slice and dice to the rim and draw fouls.
Mason, Bonner and Hill also offer scoring options. Duncan will get his easy layups and Parker will be a danger although he does take too running an offense at times.
This could well be a nicely paced and easy on the eye game if the Spurs just move the ball. They are not undermanned as they were in a few of the low scoring games they played which were against Dallas and Utah.
I am expecting the Bucks to throw up the shots and the Spurs to counter.
Play: Over 192
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11/23/2009 SAN ANTONIO v MILWAUKEE Total: 192 (Previously 193)
Not too many Games or too many markets released. You do with what you got.
Milwaukee isn't a bad team at all. They are one of the higher 3 point attempting teams and land a good percentage of them. Their Defense is sound and concede 88 ppg when they are playing away although 2 teams they played were Chicago and New Jersey where scoring can be scarce and they have only played 4 Games away.
The Spurs have been conceding 96 ppg when at home. Opponents have scored 94 (Sac), 124 (Tor), 83 (Dal), 101 (OKC), 90 (Utah) and 84 (Was).
That score of 84 by Washington included 28/84 shooting by the Wizards - pathetic by NBA standards. You can see that all in all, the Spurs are not the great defensive team they were in the past 5 years.
Opponents are coming to the AT+T Centre and getting some shots off. I suppose the personnel have changed at the Spurs and although they will play the traditional low scoring affairs against the traditional rivals, the Spurs are different in many ways. Addition of a player like Richard Jefferson allows an additional scoring option whether as a 3 point threat or someone who can slice and dice to the rim and draw fouls.
Mason, Bonner and Hill also offer scoring options. Duncan will get his easy layups and Parker will be a danger although he does take too running an offense at times.
This could well be a nicely paced and easy on the eye game if the Spurs just move the ball. They are not undermanned as they were in a few of the low scoring games they played which were against Dallas and Utah.
I am expecting the Bucks to throw up the shots and the Spurs to counter.
"Mason, Bonner and Hill also offer scoring options. Duncan will get his
easy layups and Parker will be a danger although he does take too
much time running an offense at times."
That's what I mean't to say
@MrChristie - That's a good point on a Rating system. I may base it on my confidence so if that was how I rated, then the Spurs and Bucks game would be around the 60% chance range of it going Over 192. I am betting that the Bucks actually run a good offense.
The +9 start on them is definitely worth a wager as well. They are playing the Spurs away but +9 is alot. I actually do give them a chance of winning myself.
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"Mason, Bonner and Hill also offer scoring options. Duncan will get his
easy layups and Parker will be a danger although he does take too
much time running an offense at times."
That's what I mean't to say
@MrChristie - That's a good point on a Rating system. I may base it on my confidence so if that was how I rated, then the Spurs and Bucks game would be around the 60% chance range of it going Over 192. I am betting that the Bucks actually run a good offense.
The +9 start on them is definitely worth a wager as well. They are playing the Spurs away but +9 is alot. I actually do give them a chance of winning myself.
Sly, look forward to your write-ups..They are well written and fact driven..Even when I don't take your side, your thoughts are appreciated..Keep up the good work.
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Sly, look forward to your write-ups..They are well written and fact driven..Even when I don't take your side, your thoughts are appreciated..Keep up the good work.
There is no hard and fast system that works in betting Totals in NBA. People want one to make things easy for them but believe me no system is full proof as the line on the total adjusts accordingly.
So a team getting Unders 7 in last 10 is not essentially always a 70% chance that they will be under in their following game.
You need to consider so many factors, use a bit of hunch, know a team and put in the work.
I am 6/6 in the totals in past 2 days since I started looking at many things rather than blindly bet on a team to keep being under or over. See my posts at:
I am going to post my plays on this thread and hopefully stay in a high 75% to 90% by season end. I will provide a reasons why the total will stay over or under and in the end I hope to make you some money. Vegas is going down.
you are 9-9 on full game plays buddy I sure hope you woke up from your 90% dream now!!!
GL in the future and hope you learned a lesson kid!!! 50% minus the juice is far from 90%... GL
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Quote Originally Posted by slyspy700:
There is no hard and fast system that works in betting Totals in NBA. People want one to make things easy for them but believe me no system is full proof as the line on the total adjusts accordingly.
So a team getting Unders 7 in last 10 is not essentially always a 70% chance that they will be under in their following game.
You need to consider so many factors, use a bit of hunch, know a team and put in the work.
I am 6/6 in the totals in past 2 days since I started looking at many things rather than blindly bet on a team to keep being under or over. See my posts at:
I am going to post my plays on this thread and hopefully stay in a high 75% to 90% by season end. I will provide a reasons why the total will stay over or under and in the end I hope to make you some money. Vegas is going down.
you are 9-9 on full game plays buddy I sure hope you woke up from your 90% dream now!!!
GL in the future and hope you learned a lesson kid!!! 50% minus the juice is far from 90%... GL
oh yeah can i get any action on you not reaching 70% by season's end because i would be willing to lay more than 20-1 says no freaking way in hell!!!! if your interested you just ley me know!!!
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oh yeah can i get any action on you not reaching 70% by season's end because i would be willing to lay more than 20-1 says no freaking way in hell!!!! if your interested you just ley me know!!!
Systematically, the Pacers are running a good offense to score alot of points. The problem is they don't have the guys to shoot consistently enough. It's not that they are in a funk, just that players like Troy Murphy aren't in the team.
Murphy played against Cleveland and Charlotte and really is being nursed back in. Any Indiana score over 100 will see Murphy scoring 20+ points. At the moment, Granger is the man along with Hibbert, Rush and Jones to offer the scoring.
Murphy will be playing at maximum impact this game and he isn't far from hitting the ground running. He missed a few shots from the trailer plays at the top of the key but I cannot see Toronto being smart enough to guard him and expect he will get more looks than a Covers Babe in a bikini.
The Raptors are all out offense and have scoring threats inside and out. They are one of the leading offensive team in the NBA and average 107 ppg at home. However, in their past 5 matchups, the Raptors have leaked 110 ppg on average with all teams scoring over 100 points against them in those contests. The shots at the hoop have been fairly consistent for Raptor opponents who put the ball up around 80 times a game at 47%.
The fact that teams like Indiana could be shooting at 10 clicks make me lean for the Over. Toronto will also run with them and the fact that both teams have had a break will allow also help with the energy in this Game.
I expect a 120-115 type scoreline and would like to see the Pacers get this baby.
Play: Over 213
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24/11/2009 TORONTO v INDIANA Total: 213
Systematically, the Pacers are running a good offense to score alot of points. The problem is they don't have the guys to shoot consistently enough. It's not that they are in a funk, just that players like Troy Murphy aren't in the team.
Murphy played against Cleveland and Charlotte and really is being nursed back in. Any Indiana score over 100 will see Murphy scoring 20+ points. At the moment, Granger is the man along with Hibbert, Rush and Jones to offer the scoring.
Murphy will be playing at maximum impact this game and he isn't far from hitting the ground running. He missed a few shots from the trailer plays at the top of the key but I cannot see Toronto being smart enough to guard him and expect he will get more looks than a Covers Babe in a bikini.
The Raptors are all out offense and have scoring threats inside and out. They are one of the leading offensive team in the NBA and average 107 ppg at home. However, in their past 5 matchups, the Raptors have leaked 110 ppg on average with all teams scoring over 100 points against them in those contests. The shots at the hoop have been fairly consistent for Raptor opponents who put the ball up around 80 times a game at 47%.
The fact that teams like Indiana could be shooting at 10 clicks make me lean for the Over. Toronto will also run with them and the fact that both teams have had a break will allow also help with the energy in this Game.
I expect a 120-115 type scoreline and would like to see the Pacers get this baby.
I don't want to take anything away from you and I know you said you're in Australia...but every line you post is about 3-4 points off what it actually is. Maybe you should start posting your lines directly from the covers odds page...because the toronto total opened at 214.5 everywhere and is at almost 217 everywhere now...so to say your record is what it is could be deceptive because of the lines you use.
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I don't want to take anything away from you and I know you said you're in Australia...but every line you post is about 3-4 points off what it actually is. Maybe you should start posting your lines directly from the covers odds page...because the toronto total opened at 214.5 everywhere and is at almost 217 everywhere now...so to say your record is what it is could be deceptive because of the lines you use.
There is no hard and fast system that works in betting Totals in NBA. People want one to make things easy for them but believe me no system is full proof as the line on the total adjusts accordingly.
So a team getting Unders 7 in last 10 is not essentially always a 70% chance that they will be under in their following game.
You need to consider so many factors, use a bit of hunch, know a team and put in the work.
I am 6/6 in the totals in past 2 days since I started looking at many things rather than blindly bet on a team to keep being under or over. See my posts at:
I am going to post my plays on this thread and hopefully stay in a high 75% to 90% by season end. I will provide a reasons why the total will stay over or under and in the end I hope to make you some money. Vegas is going down.
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Quote Originally Posted by slyspy700:
There is no hard and fast system that works in betting Totals in NBA. People want one to make things easy for them but believe me no system is full proof as the line on the total adjusts accordingly.
So a team getting Unders 7 in last 10 is not essentially always a 70% chance that they will be under in their following game.
You need to consider so many factors, use a bit of hunch, know a team and put in the work.
I am 6/6 in the totals in past 2 days since I started looking at many things rather than blindly bet on a team to keep being under or over. See my posts at:
I am going to post my plays on this thread and hopefully stay in a high 75% to 90% by season end. I will provide a reasons why the total will stay over or under and in the end I hope to make you some money. Vegas is going down.
I am normally online Thursdays to Saturdays during Game time and some Wednesdays.
The plays that I post may be 3-4 points off but generally it is because I have got the Total/s when released the nite before and took the play/s.
The market in the USA is the same as what we have here as the Bookies tend to just follow Vegas Odds anyway and know squat about the game. When it changes in Vegas, it changes here immediately. They have a link to the market that adjusts the totals automatically.
Well done to those that got the Unders in the Lakers/NY Game. Good call
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Hi
I am normally online Thursdays to Saturdays during Game time and some Wednesdays.
The plays that I post may be 3-4 points off but generally it is because I have got the Total/s when released the nite before and took the play/s.
The market in the USA is the same as what we have here as the Bookies tend to just follow Vegas Odds anyway and know squat about the game. When it changes in Vegas, it changes here immediately. They have a link to the market that adjusts the totals automatically.
Well done to those that got the Unders in the Lakers/NY Game. Good call
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good luck to you , ill check your picks everyday ..
90% dream now!!!
Just what I was thinking,I'm on the under for the NYK/LAL game so hope sly is as well.BOL sly, and thanks for posting your plays.
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