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Over/Under: How I am winning

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Posted: #151

hi sly....silly me took a parlay on den under, den win and port under instead of playing single........so lost a bit yesterday.....oh well i will try to make it back today but overall in the week up a bit...

yes from what i have been observing, most of clippers games at home are Under the total when they play a high scoring team, but yesterday i was not sure because of the total 207 i usually see the line at 193 or less....

 
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Posted: #152
the houston/kings line opened at 203 everywhere...where are you getting it at 208?
 
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Posted: #153
Quote Originally Posted by anthonymartin:

the houston/kings line opened at 203 everywhere...where are you getting it at 208?


Hi

I got 208 yesterday when it opened (I'm in Australia). It dipped to 207 and now to 203.

GL
 
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Posted: #154
I haven't had the time to write up. But here are my plays:

Houston Game: Under 208 (now around 203.5)
Denver/Chicago: Under 207
San Antonio/Wizards: Under 194
 
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Posted: #155

bol

 
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Posted: #156

any lean on cavs/phila 2h??

 

 
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Posted: #157
2-1 again on the plays.

Appears that Sacramento are the weak link in my plays. Their Games hit over against Dallas and over against Houston. The only 2 losses in the past 2 days.

Record is at 14 - 10.



 
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Posted: #158
11/22/2009
 
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Posted: #159
11/22/2009
CHARLOTTE v INDIANA
Total: 185.5

This is a game which I believe Charlotte could run an offense while at the same time defend well enough to win. Indiana is a massive fade in 2nd halves and their woes continued against Cleveland when they only managed 34 points in that Half while scoring 61 in the first.

How massive is that??? They are the team to back in 1st Halves and fade in totals for 2nd Halves. Why is this you ask? Well there is nothing on the Indiana bench! The scoring potential of Indiana lies with the starters and once they start tiring, they don't score and teams like Charlotte can certainly beat them.

Enter Troy Murphy. He is off the injury roster now and may play. If he does, Indiana is a chance to win as well as get that scoring up.

Let's hope Larry Brown addresses his issues - he is trying to mold Charlotte into the "Bad Boys" of Detroit of the 80s/90s where D was the key and scoring was kept to a minimum.

I would tell Larry, "When something is broke - Effing fix up!!!!". Stop hiding behind you calm exterior and watch a franchise continue playing mediocre basketball otherwise come and play that mediocre shit here in Australia where the coaching is crap and the players are lazier and crappier.

Only in Australia do u not get benched for playing lazy D and fouling by reaching in from behind. FFS!!!! Or throwing the ball away and double dribbling or running the shit clock down and not knowing it. Charlotte does the same old crap. It is time to STOP!

Play: Over 185.5


 
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Posted: #160
Re: CHARLOTTE v INDIANA

In the past 10 games - only 1 score has gone under the Total of 185. It has mainly been a decent scoring game between these 2 franchises in the past. For Overs backers like me, lets hope for the same.
 
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Posted: #161
how about the night games?
 
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Posted: #162
Quote Originally Posted by slyspy700:

11/22/2009
CHARLOTTE v INDIANA
Total: 185.5

This is a game which I believe Charlotte could run an offense while at the same time defend well enough to win. Indiana is a massive fade in 2nd halves and their woes continued against Cleveland when they only managed 34 points in that Half while scoring 61 in the first.

How massive is that??? They are the team to back in 1st Halves and fade in totals for 2nd Halves. Why is this you ask? Well there is nothing on the Indiana bench! The scoring potential of Indiana lies with the starters and once they start tiring, they don't score and teams like Charlotte can certainly beat them.

Enter Troy Murphy. He is off the injury roster now and may play. If he does, Indiana is a chance to win as well as get that scoring up.

Let's hope Larry Brown addresses his issues - he is trying to mold Charlotte into the "Bad Boys" of Detroit of the 80s/90s where D was the key and scoring was kept to a minimum.

I would tell Larry, "When something is broke - Effing fix up!!!!". Stop hiding behind you calm exterior and watch a franchise continue playing mediocre basketball otherwise come and play that mediocre shit here in Australia where the coaching is crap and the players are lazier and crappier.

Only in Australia do u not get benched for playing lazy D and fouling by reaching in from behind. FFS!!!! Or throwing the ball away and double dribbling or running the shit clock down and not knowing it. Charlotte does the same old crap. It is time to STOP!

Play: Over 185.5




on the other side! Also took 1st half under 95,5 GL!
 
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Posted: #163
Sorry. I forgot to say that I took under 188 for the game
 
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Posted: #164
Nice hit slyspy 
 
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Posted: #165
CHARLOTTE v DETROIT

This game has been all about missed Indiana shots. They have come in cold and alot of misses have hit the front of the rim. So their timing has been off and also committed far too many turnovers to even be in the Game.

So it goes Over thanks to some late buckets.

Sorry no late games for me. I haven't had a chance to look at them. Phoenix and Detroit is tough as it depends on what tempo Detroit brings as they played the nite before and lost in OT.

Phoenix obviously will run and fresh legs on them. Detroit can keep this game close early but hard to see them winning unless Phoenix have a bad nite shooting.

Detroit don't really concede too many points themselves because they don't allow teams totoo many basket attempts on average. My view is it could be UNDER 208.






 
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Posted: #166
Quote Originally Posted by frippar22:

Sorry. I forgot to say that I took under 188 for the game


Bad Luck bud. They scored alot of junk baskets in the last 70 seconds. I guess if the game was closer it would have stayed under.

@Cisco - Thanks. Hope you won a sum!
 
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Posted: #167
first of all its suns pistons and its tipoff in 1 minute so if you post after that you are FULL OF $&%%; and it sound like you post thing where if it hits you count it a winner but if you dont officially call it a play you are off the hook; and when does this 90% come in; I have been gambling for 15 years and never seen anyone hit over 70% for an extended period. lets see what you say after the game is over
 
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Posted: #168
I will be taking Da Bears in the NFL

Money Line, +3 Start and Under 46 appeal to me.

Bears are a winning team against Philly traditionally. I think Cutler can get it done this time and stop with the picks in the Red Zone.

You know Philly are only 5-4 vs Bears 4-5.

There isn't much to like bout Philly - overated!


 
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Posted: #169
Quote Originally Posted by Handicapper33:

first of all its suns pistons and its tipoff in 1 minute so if you post after that you are FULL OF $&%%; and it sound like you post thing where if it hits you count it a winner but if you dont officially call it a play you are off the hook; and when does this 90% come in; I have been gambling for 15 years and never seen anyone hit over 70% for an extended period. lets see what you say after the game is over


Well tip off has just happened so I dont get what u mean???

I posted my projection of Under 208 but I haven't betted. I only record what I bet including Half Time plays.

Record is 15-10 atm since I posted.
 
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Posted: #170
Quote Originally Posted by slyspy700:

CHARLOTTE v DETROIT

This game has been all about missed Indiana shots. They have come in cold and alot of misses have hit the front of the rim. So their timing has been off and also committed far too many turnovers to even be in the Game.

So it goes Over thanks to some late buckets.

Sorry no late games for me. I haven't had a chance to look at them. Phoenix and Detroit is tough as it depends on what tempo Detroit brings as they played the nite before and lost in OT.

Phoenix obviously will run and fresh legs on them. Detroit can keep this game close early but hard to see them winning unless Phoenix have a bad nite shooting.

Detroit don't really concede too many points themselves because they don't allow teams totoo many basket attempts on average. My view is it could be UNDER 208.








Sorry - I mean't CHARLOTTE v INDIANA
 
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Posted: #171

so you are about close to even with juice; you bet like $50 a game

i just see alot of people put their projections into their records

good luck in the nfl i have never ever seen ANYONE win in the nfl long term i refuse to even bet on them unless you do a 3 team 10 pt teaser; normally i dont even like those put this year is different when there are so many good teams and so many bad teams like today; you pick the vikings saints and patriots at a pick but even with those teasers its not a long term betting solution good luck with cutler without marshall and chicago defense non existent; philly with his trio of 21,22,24 macklin, jackson and tom seleck it should be a good game

 
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Posted: #172

 

 

 

 

also they are going to shut this thread down do you really expect to keep a thread gonig the entire NBA season; do you need people to read your stuff that bad; just start a new thread its obvious you want people to watch you; it you pick over 70% they will but you are not even close yet

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #173
Quote Originally Posted by Handicapper33:

 

 

 

 

also they are going to shut this thread down do you really expect to keep a thread gonig the entire NBA season; do you need people to read your stuff that bad; just start a new thread its obvious you want people to watch you; it you pick over 70% they will but you are not even close yet

 

 

 



Why do they shut threads down or shut this one???

All I'm doing is help people win or be in the game if they are on a bad roll. I also like to keep track of my record too.

My whole purpose for the insights is that it lets me analyse the game and also I enjoy stats and projections. The NBA is great to bet if you know players, teams and the structure of their playbook.
 
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Posted: #174
Oh I see - if I am doing well they shut me down! So whats new.

I bet minimum $100 on Totals. Sometimes will stake more but I haven't this year. If I get my bankroll up, I will be placing more - maybe $150-200.

 
 
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Posted: #175
i bet you are no older than 21; and you are 15-10; and you bet nfl games; i wouldnt take advice from you on whre to take a dump; and they dont keep threads open for 6 months; i know this may be your first gambling site but i think you are drastically underestimating that anyone takes any advice from you and if they do god help them; i know you are probably hitting refresh over and over to see if anyone responds but  when the season is over or once you have a losing record i imagine you will be gone along with your 90% record
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