Couple thoughts

@bigred84

I’m still diving in, but I’ve got a feeling the Yankees are gonna be the first game to fall off this short card.

That one might not survive

Alright Truck fire up that Diesel and let's go on a hello ride brother  I've got my helmet on and ready to go !!!!

TRUST THE PROCESS!!!

@countrybob

early token being used on the brew crew. let us ride

I’m done looking at the Yankees. Cole’s numbers are great, but that lineup can’t fucking hit and I’m not gonna aggravate myself 

CRU$H EM TODAY BRO. 

Let’s get him today 

The lineups are out in the Milwaukee game and this one definitely has my interest.

The first thing I notice is Seattle did not load up with right handed bats against Gasser. Donovan, Canzone, Naylor and Cole Young are all hitting left handed, with Rodden switch-hitting. That matters because Gasser has been considerably tougher on lefties than righties.

Milwaukee is missing William Contreras and I do care about that, but the core is still there with Turang, Chourio, Bauers, Yelich and Ortiz, plus Gary Sanchez gives them another legitimate power bat. This is not some watered lineup.

Seattle’s lineup does not scare me either. Arozarena, Julio and Ward are the main right-handed bats Gasser has to deal with, but he gets several favorable same-side matchups around them.

I believe that was me lol. They are my top play for today. They were good to me at the beginning of the year. Not so much recently. 

What would really be tits today is grabbing Milwaukee, smashing it, then if that Houston lineup comes out and they’re not missing half the fucking team, we double dip tonight and secure some bags.

Anyway, just thinking out loud.

Besides it being a pretty lopsided wager today, can anybody make a fucking case for Seattle?

Seriously, is there anything I’m missing

Kirby was scheduled to pitch Game 1 of this series vs Harrison but got swapped with Miller and then Milwaukee line steamed like it was foregone conclusion that brewers were gonna win game 1. My interpretation of the move was that Mariners didn’t like the matchup with Harrison, so they essentially sacrificed game 1 in order to give themselves every advantage to win game 2 and game 3. Judging by the final score of 22-0 and saving the bullpen, I’d say Mariners have better than market price of winning game 3. Every game for Seattle is a game 7 at this point just to make the playoffs, brewers have already clinched so this is a sunday tee ball game for them. GL

Nope.  Including that Kirby is far better at home than on the road and his one start against Milwaukee lifetime didn't fare well.

But anything is possible as you well know.  

Good luck LV, fuck the ball breakers. 

@LVTruck

 I hope not....

I’ve been breaking this game down all morning and seriously considering Milwaukee, but I’ve also been multitasking and wasn’t staring at the odds screen.

I finally checked my book and Milwaukee is now -150. That’s roughly a 25-cent move from where I first looked this morning.

Normally I’d try to find some value in the first five, but I don’t love that route here because Kirby isn’t some fucking bum. The full game was what interested me. Now the question is whether -150 is just too expensive.

Don’t do it. Line steam is a headfake, I actually know the group who did it. It’s Seattle or nothing. I was on them Huge yesterday and I’m going back to the well today. Just monitoring the line, expect some buyback on Seattle late, should close brewers-125/ Seattle +110 across market. Take the +130 now, won’t be available for long.

If you feel there's an edge I'm down to ride it out with you bro. 

LET$ FKN CRU$H THEM. 

I won’t be taking Seattle regardless. But if Milwaukee drops back to a manageable number…

Right now though, I’m not fucking with that tax.

When sharps bet $1 million+ on a game moving the line 25 cents is roughly about an extra quarter million+ in additional profits. I’m expecting late Seattle buyback steam to happen at 1:40 est or after, that’s when the books allow them to get down the highest limits, 30 minutes before game time.

This is how sick I am. I said fuck it, I’ll work from home, poured a drink at 10 AM, smash Milwaukee, then press Houston first five later.

Then Milwaukee moves 25 cents while I’m multitasking, drinking and fucking looking at the garden.

I am a twisted soul.

Listen Michael, I’ve been in this space for 25 years. One time at a party I finger banged Billy Walters’ daughter, so trust me, I have the hot hand.

Million dollar bettors don’t affect me at all.

I LOVE IT!! NO FEAR!!!