I bet ND based on the 8 unit side, looking great so far
@Ramboner
Yeah, I loaded up on Notre Dame myself. Hope it stays good. Looks like they're going to do some damage. I didn't see the shift change to Stanford
@Ramboner
Yeah, I loaded up on Notre Dame myself. Hope it stays good. Looks like they're going to do some damage. I didn't see the shift change to Stanford
but then he changed it right before game time to 1u Stanford. I don’t understand how his formula works at all.
but then he changed it right before game time to 1u Stanford. I don’t understand how his formula works at all.
Yeah likewise
. Regardless of the Bama outcome maybe time for a break until Hoo can de-bug the system. I have the highest level of confidence that this will happen. Just a really nasty run here...
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Yeah likewise
. Regardless of the Bama outcome maybe time for a break until Hoo can de-bug the system. I have the highest level of confidence that this will happen. Just a really nasty run here...
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All big games this weekend about to go 0-4, unbelievable. The on you initially had right, ND, you flipped to Stanford. You may have lost me have this last month and then today? Wow.
All big games this weekend about to go 0-4, unbelievable. The on you initially had right, ND, you flipped to Stanford. You may have lost me have this last month and then today? Wow.
it’d be nice to be on the right side of one of these for once, disgusting
it’d be nice to be on the right side of one of these for once, disgusting
@HooAlum
A very stinky update. It may be best to fade this thread until the ship its righted, but I will still provide them. One of the weird elements have been how traditional great indicators SKS 59% since 2019 and I would sort of treat as the OG of the system plays was dreadful going 0-3 last week and is 35.3% for the season. In addition, the sharp indicator in the past has been an impressive 57% with well over a 1,000 data points so the margin of error should be pretty good but is an awful 40% including 26% last week. Just head scratching and awful. On the latter part of the problem is that the program was tweaked to lean into the past success, thus unit numbers increased compounding the issue for a bad year. The prior weighting has been reimplemented starting this week. Meanwhile 2 of the most mundane (barely above the vig) tells have been outstanding this year. Line movement (53% history) and bye week return (51.5%) have blown it out this year but were weighted low in their impact. Over/Under squeeze was under .500 last year but above 60% this year. Once again the overall record and weekly record were not bad but the big plays have missed badly, thus the very unimpressive revenue numbers.
WEEKLY RECORD: 5-7
SEASON RECORD: 41-42
WEEKLY REVENUE: 39 units on 57 wagered
SEASON REVENUE: 280.5 units on 312.5 wagered (a loss of 10.24%)
*****************
INDICATOR PERFORMANCE
Bye Week Return: 83.33%
Line Movement 66.67%
Over/Under Squeeze: 65.22%
Lopsided Wagering: 63.64%
Early Body Clock: 57.14%
Reverse Movement: 53.57%
Steam 50%
Blowout Response: 50%
Low Handle Favorite: 44.74%
Low Ticket Favorite: 42.31%
Sharp Indicator: 40%
******
Early Peek at games
Indiana (5 units): lopsided wagering, reverse indicators
Texas (8 units): line movement. low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering
Tennessee (2 units): lopsided handle
Ole Miss (2 units): low ticket favorite
Miami (7 units): low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicators, bye week return
Notre Dame (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite
@HooAlum
A very stinky update. It may be best to fade this thread until the ship its righted, but I will still provide them. One of the weird elements have been how traditional great indicators SKS 59% since 2019 and I would sort of treat as the OG of the system plays was dreadful going 0-3 last week and is 35.3% for the season. In addition, the sharp indicator in the past has been an impressive 57% with well over a 1,000 data points so the margin of error should be pretty good but is an awful 40% including 26% last week. Just head scratching and awful. On the latter part of the problem is that the program was tweaked to lean into the past success, thus unit numbers increased compounding the issue for a bad year. The prior weighting has been reimplemented starting this week. Meanwhile 2 of the most mundane (barely above the vig) tells have been outstanding this year. Line movement (53% history) and bye week return (51.5%) have blown it out this year but were weighted low in their impact. Over/Under squeeze was under .500 last year but above 60% this year. Once again the overall record and weekly record were not bad but the big plays have missed badly, thus the very unimpressive revenue numbers.
WEEKLY RECORD: 5-7
SEASON RECORD: 41-42
WEEKLY REVENUE: 39 units on 57 wagered
SEASON REVENUE: 280.5 units on 312.5 wagered (a loss of 10.24%)
*****************
INDICATOR PERFORMANCE
Bye Week Return: 83.33%
Line Movement 66.67%
Over/Under Squeeze: 65.22%
Lopsided Wagering: 63.64%
Early Body Clock: 57.14%
Reverse Movement: 53.57%
Steam 50%
Blowout Response: 50%
Low Handle Favorite: 44.74%
Low Ticket Favorite: 42.31%
Sharp Indicator: 40%
******
Early Peek at games
Indiana (5 units): lopsided wagering, reverse indicators
Texas (8 units): line movement. low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering
Tennessee (2 units): lopsided handle
Ole Miss (2 units): low ticket favorite
Miami (7 units): low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicators, bye week return
Notre Dame (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite
@HooAlum
Friday night update. Once again, been way off this season so feel free to fade until the ship is righted. You will not offend me and hopefully this system will kick into gear before 2027.
Worth mentioning given the steam, reverse movement and assorted big items if Mississippi St-LSU reaches the necessary handle level it will be the biggest play of the year at 15 units. Just highlighting it because it is worth noting in case it comes online tomorrow morning. I have a feeling it will get there given the Lane Kiffen angle.
Indiana (2 units) - reverse movement
Texas (5 units) - line movement, low ticket and handle favorite
Tennessee (1 unit) - lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicator
Auburn (1 unit) - bye week and over/under squeeze outweighs sharp indicator
Ole miss (4 units) - low ticket favorite, share indicator
Miami (2 units) - sharp indicator, bye week return
Houston (11 units) - a little different than last week - low ticket and hand lfavosite, lopsided wagering, reverse indicator
Notre Dame (5 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicator
Wisconsin (2 units0 - SKS, bye week return outweighs sharp indicator
Oklahoma (7 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering
Colorado (5 units) - line movement, sharp indicator, bye week return
@HooAlum
Friday night update. Once again, been way off this season so feel free to fade until the ship is righted. You will not offend me and hopefully this system will kick into gear before 2027.
Worth mentioning given the steam, reverse movement and assorted big items if Mississippi St-LSU reaches the necessary handle level it will be the biggest play of the year at 15 units. Just highlighting it because it is worth noting in case it comes online tomorrow morning. I have a feeling it will get there given the Lane Kiffen angle.
Indiana (2 units) - reverse movement
Texas (5 units) - line movement, low ticket and handle favorite
Tennessee (1 unit) - lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicator
Auburn (1 unit) - bye week and over/under squeeze outweighs sharp indicator
Ole miss (4 units) - low ticket favorite, share indicator
Miami (2 units) - sharp indicator, bye week return
Houston (11 units) - a little different than last week - low ticket and hand lfavosite, lopsided wagering, reverse indicator
Notre Dame (5 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicator
Wisconsin (2 units0 - SKS, bye week return outweighs sharp indicator
Oklahoma (7 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering
Colorado (5 units) - line movement, sharp indicator, bye week return
I’m not fading.
I consider last week an aberration.
There have also been a fair amount of simply unlucky or awful beats on larger unit plays this season. That’ll even out.
Gearing up for a bounce back today.
I’m not fading.
I consider last week an aberration.
There have also been a fair amount of simply unlucky or awful beats on larger unit plays this season. That’ll even out.
Gearing up for a bounce back today.
@HooAlum
Here is the Saturday Update. Hope for much improvement as a number of high plays.
Indiana (5 units) - line movement, reverse line movement, sharp indicators (grab this before it drops below 3)
Texas (5 units) 0- line movement, low ticket favorite, sharp indicators
SMU (6 units) - line movement, low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, bye week return
Duke (10 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering
Tennessee (2 units) - lopsided wagering
Auburn (2 units) - over/under squeeze, bye week return
Missouri-Ole miss (No bet) - line movement balances low ticket favorite
Florida St-Miami (NO bet) - sharp indicator balanced by bye week return
Houston (10 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, reverse line movement , sharp indicator
Notre Dame (5 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicator
Wisconsin (6 units) - sharp indicators, SKS, bye week return
Oklahoma (10 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators
Colorado (12 units) - lien movement, lopsided wagering, reverse movement, shapr indicators bye week return
California (2 units0 - line movement, bye week return
@HooAlum
Here is the Saturday Update. Hope for much improvement as a number of high plays.
Indiana (5 units) - line movement, reverse line movement, sharp indicators (grab this before it drops below 3)
Texas (5 units) 0- line movement, low ticket favorite, sharp indicators
SMU (6 units) - line movement, low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, bye week return
Duke (10 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering
Tennessee (2 units) - lopsided wagering
Auburn (2 units) - over/under squeeze, bye week return
Missouri-Ole miss (No bet) - line movement balances low ticket favorite
Florida St-Miami (NO bet) - sharp indicator balanced by bye week return
Houston (10 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, reverse line movement , sharp indicator
Notre Dame (5 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicator
Wisconsin (6 units) - sharp indicators, SKS, bye week return
Oklahoma (10 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators
Colorado (12 units) - lien movement, lopsided wagering, reverse movement, shapr indicators bye week return
California (2 units0 - line movement, bye week return
@HooAlum
Afternoon Games (BTW hope folks took a flyer in LSU even if DK did not indicate handle until late morning)
Duke (5 units) - low ticket favorite and handle, sharp indicators
Tennessee (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road ticket
Auburn (3 units) - sharp indicators, over/under squeeze, bye week return
Missouri-Ole Miss (No Bet) - low ticket favorite balanced by line movement
@HooAlum
Afternoon Games (BTW hope folks took a flyer in LSU even if DK did not indicate handle until late morning)
Duke (5 units) - low ticket favorite and handle, sharp indicators
Tennessee (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road ticket
Auburn (3 units) - sharp indicators, over/under squeeze, bye week return
Missouri-Ole Miss (No Bet) - low ticket favorite balanced by line movement
