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    All Forums | College Football

    Public Indicator Calculations 2026

    «First Previous 123 ... 678 Next Last»
    Brewmeister
    HooAlum
    Ramboner
    incognegro
    LVPrince
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 22560
    Posts: 200
    «First Previous 123 ... 678 Next Last»
     
    Brewmeister
    Brewmeister
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 7:08 PM ET #151

    Auburn wrecked a four legger but nice so far!

    an_cheers

    Reply

    Auburn wrecked a four legger but nice so far!

    an_cheers

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 7:24 PM ET #152

    @HooAlum

     Here are the games for e the evening.  Same as the morning except the steam in Miami-Clemson making it a Tigers pick

    Texas A&M (3 units) - sharp indicator, blowout response

    TCU (3 units) - lopsided wagering home underdog, sharp indicator outweighs bye week return

    Clemson (2 units) - line movement, over/under squeeze steam outweighs reverse indicator

    Colorado (3 units) - reverse movement, sharp indicator

    Washington (1 unit) - line movement 

    Reply

    @HooAlum

     Here are the games for e the evening.  Same as the morning except the steam in Miami-Clemson making it a Tigers pick

    Texas A&M (3 units) - sharp indicator, blowout response

    TCU (3 units) - lopsided wagering home underdog, sharp indicator outweighs bye week return

    Clemson (2 units) - line movement, over/under squeeze steam outweighs reverse indicator

    Colorado (3 units) - reverse movement, sharp indicator

    Washington (1 unit) - line movement 

     
    Ramboner
    Ramboner
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 8:04 PM ET #153

    @HooAlum

     That SC game was wild, just wild lol

    Reply

    @HooAlum

     That SC game was wild, just wild lol

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2026 - 4:26 PM ET #154

    @HooAlum

    South Carolina has now burned the system twice after having HUGE leads both in a game and ATS.  Not a Gamecock fan right now as without them the system would be in positive territory, instead not only losing revenue overall but a losing coming down last week in OT.

    LAST WEEK RECORD: 7-9

    SEASON RECORD: 36-35

    LAST WEEK REVENUE: 41.8 units on 48 wagered (loss of 12.9%)

    SEASON REVENUE: 241.5 units on 250 wagered (loss of 3.4%)

    *******************

    SEASON INDICATOR PERFORMANCE

    Bye Week Return: 80%

    Over/Under Squeeze: 71.43%

    Line Movement: 60.87%

    Blowout Response: 60%

    Reverse Movement: 58.33%

    Early Body Clock: 57.14%

    Lopsided Wagering: 55.56%

    Low Handle Favorite: 46.43%

    SKS: 46.15%

    Low Ticket Favorite: 44.44%

    Sharp Indicator: 44.34%

    Steam: 33.33%

    ********

    WAY TOO EARLY LOOK AT THE WEEKEND

    Nebraska-Indiana (no Bet): No Indicators

    Missouri (2 units): sharp indicators

    Oregon (1 unit): low ticket and handle favorite outweighs sharp indicators

    Oklahoma (2 units): sharp indicators

    Alabama (1 unit): SKS

     

    Reply

    @HooAlum

    South Carolina has now burned the system twice after having HUGE leads both in a game and ATS.  Not a Gamecock fan right now as without them the system would be in positive territory, instead not only losing revenue overall but a losing coming down last week in OT.

    LAST WEEK RECORD: 7-9

    SEASON RECORD: 36-35

    LAST WEEK REVENUE: 41.8 units on 48 wagered (loss of 12.9%)

    SEASON REVENUE: 241.5 units on 250 wagered (loss of 3.4%)

    *******************

    SEASON INDICATOR PERFORMANCE

    Bye Week Return: 80%

    Over/Under Squeeze: 71.43%

    Line Movement: 60.87%

    Blowout Response: 60%

    Reverse Movement: 58.33%

    Early Body Clock: 57.14%

    Lopsided Wagering: 55.56%

    Low Handle Favorite: 46.43%

    SKS: 46.15%

    Low Ticket Favorite: 44.44%

    Sharp Indicator: 44.34%

    Steam: 33.33%

    ********

    WAY TOO EARLY LOOK AT THE WEEKEND

    Nebraska-Indiana (no Bet): No Indicators

    Missouri (2 units): sharp indicators

    Oregon (1 unit): low ticket and handle favorite outweighs sharp indicators

    Oklahoma (2 units): sharp indicators

    Alabama (1 unit): SKS

     

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 2:00 PM ET #155

    @HooAlum

     

    LOT of big plays looming this weekend with the biggest maybe tonight.  I will set the ground rules now.  Many of these plays are there because of an unlikely favroite.  IF the line jumps the fence, do NOT assume the indicators remain.  As a matter of fact I would run away fast.  Even if I do not have time to update just know that the call will be changed (even if it is to the detriment).  In particular, I am calling out Iowa-Washington, Houston-Kansas St, Southern Cal-Penn St, and Georgia-Alabama ahead of time.  All of those games are on a razor's edge so make sure that the indicators remain.  Don't be a doofus and just say "hey, the call was huge for Penn St and now I am even getting points!  What a bargain!!!!"  Don't be obtuse. In our example if the line jumps the fence and the Trojans become the favorite, the Penn State play greatly reduces or (more likely) goes away entirely.  Sorry for the PSA, but I will be out close to game time on a number of these games so do not want folks feeling burned as what happened on a game earlier this year her I was unable to update until the first quarter.

    Lot of new games.  More big bets.  We will see if the road recovery begins this week or we dig deeper into a hole. 

    Washington (13 units): Yes, you read that right.  Low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, reverse indicators, sharp indicators, SKS

    Indiana (1 unit): sharp indicator

    UCF-Oklahoma St (No Bet): sharp indicators balanced by bye week return

    Texas A&M (1 unit): lopsided wagering

    Oregon (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite

    Oklahoma (1 unit): lopsided wagering

    Kansas State (8 units): low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicators, SKS, bye week return

    Stanford-Notre Dame (No Bet) - line movement, sharp indicators balanced by blowout response, bye week return

    Kentucky-LSU (No Bet) - No indicators

    Penn State (11 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators, SKS

    Alabama (6 unit) - low handle favorite, reverse indicator, sharp indicator, SKS

     

     

    Reply

    @HooAlum

     

    LOT of big plays looming this weekend with the biggest maybe tonight.  I will set the ground rules now.  Many of these plays are there because of an unlikely favroite.  IF the line jumps the fence, do NOT assume the indicators remain.  As a matter of fact I would run away fast.  Even if I do not have time to update just know that the call will be changed (even if it is to the detriment).  In particular, I am calling out Iowa-Washington, Houston-Kansas St, Southern Cal-Penn St, and Georgia-Alabama ahead of time.  All of those games are on a razor's edge so make sure that the indicators remain.  Don't be a doofus and just say "hey, the call was huge for Penn St and now I am even getting points!  What a bargain!!!!"  Don't be obtuse. In our example if the line jumps the fence and the Trojans become the favorite, the Penn State play greatly reduces or (more likely) goes away entirely.  Sorry for the PSA, but I will be out close to game time on a number of these games so do not want folks feeling burned as what happened on a game earlier this year her I was unable to update until the first quarter.

    Lot of new games.  More big bets.  We will see if the road recovery begins this week or we dig deeper into a hole. 

    Washington (13 units): Yes, you read that right.  Low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, reverse indicators, sharp indicators, SKS

    Indiana (1 unit): sharp indicator

    UCF-Oklahoma St (No Bet): sharp indicators balanced by bye week return

    Texas A&M (1 unit): lopsided wagering

    Oregon (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite

    Oklahoma (1 unit): lopsided wagering

    Kansas State (8 units): low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicators, SKS, bye week return

    Stanford-Notre Dame (No Bet) - line movement, sharp indicators balanced by blowout response, bye week return

    Kentucky-LSU (No Bet) - No indicators

    Penn State (11 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators, SKS

    Alabama (6 unit) - low handle favorite, reverse indicator, sharp indicator, SKS

     

     

     
    incognegro
    incognegro
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 7:17 PM ET #156

    Update before 9?

    Reply

    Update before 9?

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 8:26 PM ET #157

    @HooAlum

     Still a strong Washington play of 12 units (some lopsided wagering eased up a bit) - low ticket and handle favorite, SKS, reverse movement, sharp indicators.

    There is a chance we may be activating Iowa St-BYU but just waiting a bit first

     

    Reply

    @HooAlum

     Still a strong Washington play of 12 units (some lopsided wagering eased up a bit) - low ticket and handle favorite, SKS, reverse movement, sharp indicators.

    There is a chance we may be activating Iowa St-BYU but just waiting a bit first

     

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 9:06 PM ET #158

    @HooAlum

     I think the ISU-BYU has made the handle requirement so adding it:

    BYU (2 units) - line movement, low handle favorite

     

    Reply

    @HooAlum

     I think the ISU-BYU has made the handle requirement so adding it:

    BYU (2 units) - line movement, low handle favorite

     

     
    LVPrince
    LVPrince
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 9:10 PM ET #159

    I'm witchu. Iowa post OSU. west coast night game. Huskies in desperate mode. I'd feel better with Hawkeyes starting QB in. Backup actually played well in his short stint of garbage time

    Reply

    I'm witchu. Iowa post OSU. west coast night game. Huskies in desperate mode. I'd feel better with Hawkeyes starting QB in. Backup actually played well in his short stint of garbage time

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 9:43 PM ET #160

    Ugh!  I guess sometimes you should just bet on the better team.

    Reply

    Ugh!  I guess sometimes you should just bet on the better team.

     
    RSampsell
    RSampsell
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 9:51 PM ET #161

    Quote Originally Posted by HooAlum:

    Ugh!  I guess sometimes you should just bet on the better team.

     

    Louisville was just down 14-0 .... way too early to give up, Hoo!!  clover

    I just went and bet a 50% profit boost with FD on the Wash ML +495 right after the Iowa TD.  Game isn't over until it's over!  

    Lead, Follow or get the hell out of the way
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by HooAlum:

    Ugh!  I guess sometimes you should just bet on the better team.

     

    Louisville was just down 14-0 .... way too early to give up, Hoo!!  clover

    I just went and bet a 50% profit boost with FD on the Wash ML +495 right after the Iowa TD.  Game isn't over until it's over!  

     
    incognegro
    incognegro
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 9:59 PM ET #162

    Goddamn. 

    Reply

    Goddamn. 

     
    Ramboner
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 10:00 PM ET #163

    I know it's early, but something doesn't look right with Washington tonight

    Reply

    I know it's early, but something doesn't look right with Washington tonight

     
    Brewmeister
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 10:06 PM ET #164

    At least I still have a shot at under 43....

    an_beatup

    Reply

    At least I still have a shot at under 43....

    an_beatup

     
    Brewmeister
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 10:15 PM ET #165

    Quote Originally Posted by Brewmeister:

    At least I still have a shot at under 43....

    Or not....

    an_roll_laugh

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Brewmeister:

    At least I still have a shot at under 43....

    Or not....

    an_roll_laugh

     
    TBLbolts
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 10:16 PM ET #166

    @Ramboner

     NO, not at all!  I'm guessing everyone watched UW give SC a game last week; problem there, it was SC.  I'm guesing not many of you have watched a minute of husky football(outside of last week)?  Vegas having a good nite

    Reply

    @Ramboner

     NO, not at all!  I'm guessing everyone watched UW give SC a game last week; problem there, it was SC.  I'm guesing not many of you have watched a minute of husky football(outside of last week)?  Vegas having a good nite

     
    Brewmeister
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 10:17 PM ET #167

    Quote Originally Posted by HooAlum:

    Ugh!  I guess sometimes you should just bet on the better team.

    All good Hoo. Rough start this season but we'll get 'em soon.

    an_cheers 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by HooAlum:

    Ugh!  I guess sometimes you should just bet on the better team.

    All good Hoo. Rough start this season but we'll get 'em soon.

    an_cheers 

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 10:21 PM ET #168

    Wow....Washington???

     

    Do your hunches on bet action account for proper line setting or SETUPS by Vegas because frankly, I saw Iowa and Washington as a pickem and maybe -1 Iowa but I decided to layoff because Washington is a strange team to read and have a prodigious home field advantage in most years 

     

    GL ...I watch this system and my interest is in, can you make enough UNITS profit by pressing on the right number which I am all for come end of season and bowl/Playoff games

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Wow....Washington???

     

    Do your hunches on bet action account for proper line setting or SETUPS by Vegas because frankly, I saw Iowa and Washington as a pickem and maybe -1 Iowa but I decided to layoff because Washington is a strange team to read and have a prodigious home field advantage in most years 

     

    GL ...I watch this system and my interest is in, can you make enough UNITS profit by pressing on the right number which I am all for come end of season and bowl/Playoff games

     
    LVPrince
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2026 - 10:55 PM ET #169

    Happens. I made this pick on my own. Tell the truth. I'd rather get blown out than to lose a game that your team dominated but turnovers and a last minute flag beat you by the hook

    Reply

    Happens. I made this pick on my own. Tell the truth. I'd rather get blown out than to lose a game that your team dominated but turnovers and a last minute flag beat you by the hook

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2021
    Posts: 951
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2026 - 9:11 AM ET #170

    @HooAlum

     After a 1-1 night that felt like an 2-12 night (because it was in revenue terms) let's try to crawl out of the hole.  This is the morning update.  I likely will not be able top update as frequently and will likely post an afternoon and evening update together.

    Nebraska-Indiana (No Bet) - No Indicators

    Oklahoma St (4 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, bye week return

    Texas A&M-Missouri (No Bet) - No indicators

    South Carolina-Florida (No Bet) - No indicators

    Oregon (2 units) - low ticket and handle favorite outweighs line movement

    Texas (2 units) - low ticket favorite

    Vanderbilt (1 unit) - reverse indicator, sharp indicator outweighs low ticket favorite,  bye week return

    Kansas State (8 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicators, SKS

    Notre Dame (8 units) - line movement, low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators outweighs over/under squeeze, blowout response

    Kentucky-LSU (No Bet) - No indicators

    Penn State (9 units) - low ticket favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators, SKS

    Alabama (10 units) - line movement, low ticket and handle favorite, reverse indicator, sharp indicator, SKS

    Fresno State (2 units) - lopsided wagering

     

    Reply

    @HooAlum

     After a 1-1 night that felt like an 2-12 night (because it was in revenue terms) let's try to crawl out of the hole.  This is the morning update.  I likely will not be able top update as frequently and will likely post an afternoon and evening update together.

    Nebraska-Indiana (No Bet) - No Indicators

    Oklahoma St (4 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, bye week return

    Texas A&M-Missouri (No Bet) - No indicators

    South Carolina-Florida (No Bet) - No indicators

    Oregon (2 units) - low ticket and handle favorite outweighs line movement

    Texas (2 units) - low ticket favorite

    Vanderbilt (1 unit) - reverse indicator, sharp indicator outweighs low ticket favorite,  bye week return

    Kansas State (8 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicators, SKS

    Notre Dame (8 units) - line movement, low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators outweighs over/under squeeze, blowout response

    Kentucky-LSU (No Bet) - No indicators

    Penn State (9 units) - low ticket favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators, SKS

    Alabama (10 units) - line movement, low ticket and handle favorite, reverse indicator, sharp indicator, SKS

    Fresno State (2 units) - lopsided wagering

     

     
    banksy1989
    banksy1989
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2012
    Posts: 356
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2026 - 9:37 AM ET #171

    @HooAlum

     

     

    [Quote] LOT of big plays looming this weekend with the biggest maybe tonight.  I will set the ground rules now.  Many of these plays are there because of an unlikely favroite.  IF the line jumps the fence, do NOT assume the indicators remain.  As a matter of fact I would run away fast. [/Quote]

    Thanks for posting as always. Are we to assume if any of these lines move in our favor before gametime it’s a no bet?

    Reply

    @HooAlum

     

     

    [Quote] LOT of big plays looming this weekend with the biggest maybe tonight.  I will set the ground rules now.  Many of these plays are there because of an unlikely favroite.  IF the line jumps the fence, do NOT assume the indicators remain.  As a matter of fact I would run away fast. [/Quote]

    Thanks for posting as always. Are we to assume if any of these lines move in our favor before gametime it’s a no bet?

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2021
    Posts: 951
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2026 - 11:20 AM ET #172

    @HooAlum

     Here is the noon game update with a note on Notre Dame-Stanford whose line is jumping even higher thus changing the earlier play.  Since it was such a high call I feel I have to update it

    Nebraska-Indiana (No Bet) - No Indicators

    Pittsburgh (2 units) - low handle and sharp indicator outweighs line movement

    Oklahoma St (4 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, bye week return

    Texas A&M-Missouri (No Bet) - No indicators

    South Carolina-Florida (No Bet) - No indicators

    CHANGE: Stanford (1 unit) - blowout response, over/under squeeze outweighs line movement

    Reply

    @HooAlum

     Here is the noon game update with a note on Notre Dame-Stanford whose line is jumping even higher thus changing the earlier play.  Since it was such a high call I feel I have to update it

    Nebraska-Indiana (No Bet) - No Indicators

    Pittsburgh (2 units) - low handle and sharp indicator outweighs line movement

    Oklahoma St (4 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, bye week return

    Texas A&M-Missouri (No Bet) - No indicators

    South Carolina-Florida (No Bet) - No indicators

    CHANGE: Stanford (1 unit) - blowout response, over/under squeeze outweighs line movement

     
    incognegro
    incognegro
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2009
    Posts: 909
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2026 - 11:29 AM ET #173

    Quote Originally Posted by HooAlum:

    @HooAlum  Here is the noon game update with a note on Notre Dame-Stanford whose line is jumping even higher thus changing the earlier play.  Since it was such a high call I feel I have to update it Nebraska-Indiana (No Bet) - No Indicators Pittsburgh (2 units) - low handle and sharp indicator outweighs line movement Oklahoma St (4 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, bye week return Texas A&M-Missouri (No Bet) - No indicators South Carolina-Florida (No Bet) - No indicators CHANGE: Stanford (1 unit) - blowout response, over/under squeeze outweighs line movement

     

    I don’t understand how a 8u play can shift 9u in the span of an hour or so?  From ND 8 to Stan 1u. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by HooAlum:

    @HooAlum  Here is the noon game update with a note on Notre Dame-Stanford whose line is jumping even higher thus changing the earlier play.  Since it was such a high call I feel I have to update it Nebraska-Indiana (No Bet) - No Indicators Pittsburgh (2 units) - low handle and sharp indicator outweighs line movement Oklahoma St (4 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, bye week return Texas A&M-Missouri (No Bet) - No indicators South Carolina-Florida (No Bet) - No indicators CHANGE: Stanford (1 unit) - blowout response, over/under squeeze outweighs line movement

     

    I don’t understand how a 8u play can shift 9u in the span of an hour or so?  From ND 8 to Stan 1u. 

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2021
    Posts: 951
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2026 - 2:02 PM ET #174

    @HooAlum

     

     

    This may be the last update.  Once again, an alert.  if the spread changes things could change particularly if the spread jumps the fence so watch that aspect.

    Oregon (2 units) - low ticket and handle favorite outweighs line movement

    Texas (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite

    Vanderbilt (1 unit) - reverse indicator, sharp indicator outweighs low ticket favorite,  bye week return

    Kansas State (8 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicators, SKS

    Stanford (1 unit) - over/under squeeze, blowout response outweighs line movement 

    Kentucky-LSU (No Bet) - No indicators

    Penn State (7 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicators, SKS (line slipped to -1 at some outlets - both a warning if it flips but also grab if it stays a PSU favorite)

    Alabama (10 units) - line movement, low ticket and handle favorite, reverse indicator, sharp indicator, SKS

     

     

    Fresno State (4 units) - lopsided wagering, sharp indicators

    Reply

    @HooAlum

     

     

    This may be the last update.  Once again, an alert.  if the spread changes things could change particularly if the spread jumps the fence so watch that aspect.

    Oregon (2 units) - low ticket and handle favorite outweighs line movement

    Texas (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite

    Vanderbilt (1 unit) - reverse indicator, sharp indicator outweighs low ticket favorite,  bye week return

    Kansas State (8 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicators, SKS

    Stanford (1 unit) - over/under squeeze, blowout response outweighs line movement 

    Kentucky-LSU (No Bet) - No indicators

    Penn State (7 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicators, SKS (line slipped to -1 at some outlets - both a warning if it flips but also grab if it stays a PSU favorite)

    Alabama (10 units) - line movement, low ticket and handle favorite, reverse indicator, sharp indicator, SKS

     

     

    Fresno State (4 units) - lopsided wagering, sharp indicators

     
     
    CaseyMcGehee
    CaseyMcGehee
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2019
    Posts: 3538
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2026 - 3:55 PM ET #175

    K state got a terrible break to start. Houston punched it in on 5th down. an_brick

    Reply

    K state got a terrible break to start. Houston punched it in on 5th down. an_brick

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