Public Indicator Calculations 2026

@HooAlum

 2-0 Friday start but they were the smaller impact games.  3:30 EST will determine the weekend

Saturday Update.  Will update noon games in the 11 o'clock hour

Tennessee-Texas (No bet): low handle favorite balanced by sharp indicator 

Maryland (3.5 units): east coast body clock, reverse indicator

Michigan (9 units): low ticket and handle underdog, sharp indicators, SKS

Florida (11 units): low ticket and handle underdog, lopsided wagering, reverse movement, SKS

Oklahoma (2 units): sharp indicator, over/under squeeze

Utah (3 units): low handle favorite, sharp indicator

Auburn (5 units): low ticket favorite, reverse indicator, sharp indicator

Penn State (1 unit): low handle favorite

Oklahoma St-West Virginia (No Bet): low handle favorite balanced by sharp indicator

Alabama (2 units): reverse indicator, sharp indicator

LSU (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicator outweighs reverse movement

Oregon (3 units): reverse indicator, sharp indicators, SKS outweighs low handle home underdog

Missouri (1 unit): sharp indicator

Noon Games

Tennessee (2 units): low handle home underdog, sharp indicator

Illinois (1 unit): line movement, over/under squeeze outweighs low handle favorite

1:30 Game

Maryland (4.5 units) - east coast body clock, low handle home underdog, sharp indicator

MGM up to 3, might be worth it to shop on such a key number

@HooAlum

 Sending  3:30 early as you can still get Florida for (-3.5) at a few places (MGM,FD) but it is fast going to 4 so wanted to get the call in now to secure the hook.

Michigan (9 units): low ticket and handle underdog, sharp indicators, SKS

Florida (11 units): low ticket and handle underdog, lopsided wagering, reverse movement, SKS, line movement

Oklahoma (2 units): sharp indicator, over/under squeeze

Utah (3 units): low handle favorite

@HooAlum

 Late Afternoon games

Auburn (4 units): low ticket favorite reverse indicator, sharp indicator

Penn State-Wisconsin (No Bet): low handle favorite balanced by over/under squeeze

Who’s that at the back door?

It’s the Volunteers with the cover!

Thank you, @HooAlum!

yep but not maryland

keep it up hoo

thanx for all your hard work

RK

not a lot of changes for the evening except some steam in Missouri-Mississippi St.  This appears to be book buyback fro earlier in the week

Dang Michigan. Karma sucks sometimes.

@Brewmeister

 That was tough beat 

Maryland, WOOF

@HooAlum

 I was going to give a whole diatribe on why you shop for spreads even if the number seems weird like the (-5) for Michigan at Fanatics instead of (-5.5) on DraftKings  . . . that was of course my thought with 11 seconds to go.  . .  . Nevermind.  

The potential 9 unit "push" would have actually brought the system back to positive for the year but that was not to be.  As a result, still down for the year but last week was a nice "grinding out wins" week thanks to a 3-0 start, a 3-1 and a very big Gator win in between top overcome the score in Ann Arbor with units to spare. The week was profitable. (Though as pointed out the Maryland loss was in another zip code for wrongness, I guess a 30 minute body clock doesn't really kill a team like a 2 hour body clock does - with Baylor-Colorado had made the necessary handle level as that would be where that indicator would have come in handy). 

WEEKLY RECORD: 9-5

SEASON RECORD: 29-26 (52.73%)

WEEKLY REVENUE: 62.7 on 52 wagered

SEASON REVENUE: 199.7 on 201 Wagered (loss of 1%)

****************

Season Indicator Performance 

Over/Under Squeeze: 73.33%

Blowout Response: 66.67%

Bye Week Return: 66.67%

Line Movement: 61.1%

Early Body Clock: 57.14%

Lopsided Wagering: 56.25%

Reverse Movement: 55.56%

SKS: 50%

Low Ticket Favorite: 50%

Law Handle Favorite: 50%

Sharp Indicator: 46.48%

Steam: 33.33%

*******

WAY TOO EARLY Projections

Notre Dame (2 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicator outweighs Bye Week return and Over/under squeeze

Alabama (2 units): sharp indicator

Ohio State (1 unit): sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze

Missouri (2 units): lopsided wagering on away favorite

Clemson (2 units): sharp indicators, over/under squeeze outweighs low handle favorite

Can you start A new post this one so long Do U mind or U just gonna run up t this one to 99 numbers  or pages 

@ULLafayettekid

 I bookmarked this thread.  Easier to find when wading through all the riffraff.  I say run it up.  

@HooAlum

 Friday Update.  Likely will update tonight's games later this afternoon and update the rest of the slate tonight late night.  Right now just as Gainesville seemed to be the play, Iowa City seems to be where eyes will go this week.  I would even try to grab the number at (14) at MGM now as everyone else if fast going to (-14.5) and that is a big hook to eat, and I expect the number to only grow as the oddsmakers are clearly playing catchup on this game.

Virginia Tech (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp indicator outweighs line movement

Penn State (2 units): sharp indicator

Notre Dame (4 units): steam, low handle favorite, sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze and bye week return

Minnesota-Michigan (No Bet): no indicators (after getting burned last week I am personally happy to put the Wolverines on the shelf for now this week)

Mississippi St-Alabama (No Bet): no indicators (I have received a ton of wide ranging mixed signals through the numbers all the week on this one so happy to shelve this game as well despite a lot of interest - like MI-MN we will see if that changes as new info comes in)

Auburn (2 units): sharp indicators

Oho State (7 units): steam, low handle favorite, reverse indicator, sharp indicator

Missouri (2 units): lopsided wagering against home underdog

TCU (1 unit): lopsided wagering against home underdog outweighs bye week return

Clemson (1 unit): sharp indicator, over/under squeeze outweighs reverse indicator

Colorado (3 units): reverse movement, sharp indicator

Southern Cal (2 units): sharp indicator

@HooAlum

 May or may not be able to post again in the next few hours so just confirming no change in tonight's 2 games.  Obviously watch line movement and other easy to see tells as that always can change things.

Wow Penn State sucks.

@HooAlum

Northwestern good team 

@HooAlum

 Friday Night update

Notre Dame (4 units) - sharp indicators, low ticket and handle favorite outweighs over/under squeeze and bye week return

Minnesota-Michigan (No Bet) - No indicators

Mississippi State-Alabama (No Bet) - No indicators

Louisville (1 unit) -reverse indicator outweighs line movement

Auburn (2 unit) - line movement, sharp indicator

Ohio St (6 units) - steam, reverse indicator, sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze

Missouri (2 units) - lopsided home underdog

South Carolina (7 units) - SKS, low ticket. and handle favorite, sharp indicator

TCU (3 units) - lopsided wagering home underdog, sharp indicator outweighs bye week return

Clemson-Miami (NO Bet) - line movement, over/under squeeze balanced reverse indicator

Colorado (3 units) - reverse movement, sharp indicator

Washington (1 unit) - line movement 

@HooAlum

Any thoughts on Stanford/Wake being early body clock game.

BOL

Comprehensive morning Update.  While there is highlight in Columbus (and Columbia), that game is teetering and could change in a few hours to be still with the Buckeyes but less in units as just this morning it has toggled between 4 units and 7 units

Notre Dame (1 unit) - sharp indicators, low handle favorite outweighs over/under squeeze and bye week return

Minnesota-Michigan (No Bet) - No indicators

Mississippi State (2 units) - reverse Indicator

Georgia (2 units) - sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze

NC State-Louisville (No Bet)  sharp indicator balanced by line movement

Auburn (1 unit) - line movement

Ohio St (7 units) - steam, reverse movement, sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze

Missouri (4 units) - lopsided home underdog, reverse indicator

South Carolina (7 units) - SKS, low ticket. and handle favorite, sharp indicator

Texas A&M (3 units) - sharp indicator, blowout response

TCU (3 units) - lopsided wagering home underdog, sharp indicator outweighs bye week return

Clemson-Miami (NO Bet) - line movement, over/under squeeze balanced reverse indicator

Colorado (3 units) - reverse movement, sharp indicator

Washington (1 unit) - line movement 

@Sporttiger

 You nailed where I would like to go, it just has not received the requisite handle.  But of course that is a fixed element and I have missed out on 2 early body clock games (Kansas st-Washington St & Colorado-Baylor) due to a lack of handle but that indicator is not as handle dependent as say as a low ticket or handle favorite so it might be worth a run.

@HooAlum

 Noon(ish) games final update has changes on the calls but small plays so you can consider them tossups

North Carolina (1 unit) - over/under squeeze, bye week return outweighs low handle favorite

Michigan (1 unit) - sharp indicator (notice the lie line movement from 5.5 to 6.5 over the last 24 hours try to get at 6 at Fanatics if you wager on this one after all grabbing the hook of (-5) at Fanatics last week worked great . . until the last play)

Mississippi St (4 units) - reverse indicator, sharp indicator (This does have conflicting reports on where sharps are but consensus is the Bulldogs)

Vanderbilt (1 unit) - over/under squeeze

@HooAlum

Midafternoon games.  Slight change as Ohio State continues to toggle and more movement toward the SEC underdogs.  MGM still has Iowa-Ohio St at (-14) if you want to pull there trigger on the game

NC State-Louisville (No Bet)  sharp indicator balanced by line movement

Auburn (4 unit) - line movement, sharp indicator

Ohio St (5 units) - steam, reverse movement, sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze

Missouri (6 units) - lopsided home underdog, reverse indicator, sharp indicator

South Carolina (7 units) - SKS, low ticket. and handle favorite, sharp indicator

Good calls on OSU and Mizzou games!  I thought Gators would have a letdown but not a beat down like this.