Afternoon Update on the 3 games on the list. We do have changes in unit amounts due to line movement and betting changes
Texas (1 unit) - sharp indicator
Oregon (3 units) - big reduction in units as sharp indicators outweigh over/under squeeze
Baylor-Auburn (No Bet) - The late move under a touchdown is actually reverse movement as the public is on the Tigers. Thus, Auburn's advantage is erased to a balance between the reverse movement and sharp indicators
Obviously I am following Oregon State and Houston iand it is TIGHT. Cougars need just a little more but it seems possible so we could be going down to the wire here.
4
@HooAlum
Afternoon Update on the 3 games on the list. We do have changes in unit amounts due to line movement and betting changes
Texas (1 unit) - sharp indicator
Oregon (3 units) - big reduction in units as sharp indicators outweigh over/under squeeze
Baylor-Auburn (No Bet) - The late move under a touchdown is actually reverse movement as the public is on the Tigers. Thus, Auburn's advantage is erased to a balance between the reverse movement and sharp indicators
Obviously I am following Oregon State and Houston iand it is TIGHT. Cougars need just a little more but it seems possible so we could be going down to the wire here.
Weigman's fourth quarter pick at OSUs goal line took the wind outta this one. Hard to cap coaching decisions like calling the pass play there and then also the int.
1
@HooAlum
Weigman's fourth quarter pick at OSUs goal line took the wind outta this one. Hard to cap coaching decisions like calling the pass play there and then also the int.
obviously the Beaver cover was painful so once again 2-1 does not mean a lot if the big play goes wanting. Sorry guys. I am hoping to update Clemson-LSU again before kickoff, but I may not be able to do so and a big development occurred. Reverse movement is now cutting against the Lane tiffin Tigers and helping the Dabo ones. Sharps have immediately seized on that reversing their earlier preference. Things are volatile but wanted to report.
obviously the Beaver cover was painful so once again 2-1 does not mean a lot if the big play goes wanting. Sorry guys. I am hoping to update Clemson-LSU again before kickoff, but I may not be able to do so and a big development occurred. Reverse movement is now cutting against the Lane tiffin Tigers and helping the Dabo ones. Sharps have immediately seized on that reversing their earlier preference. Things are volatile but wanted to report.
Tonight's remaining games are off the board as line movement and sharp indicators balance out in Cal-UCLA and low handle dog balances out sharp indicators in Hawaii-UNLV
3
@HooAlum
Tonight's remaining games are off the board as line movement and sharp indicators balance out in Cal-UCLA and low handle dog balances out sharp indicators in Hawaii-UNLV
well, the good news is that I told people to pull back on the earlier Cal and Oregon picks (from 6 to 3 units) but let's not sugar coat what was a bad day. 4-4 is not a killer but it is when your one really big play falls short. Heck, the only sizable winner was the one I was most nervous about but Alabama calmed those nerves very early on. Still, the state of Oregon is not on my Christmas card list at present. Two live games today. I will be on the road the 3 hours before kickoff so these might be my last updates on it.
Notre Dame (2 units) - line movement and sharp action outweighs over/under squeeze
Louisville (2 units) - reverse movement (pretty textbook reverse movement as a note)
4
@HooAlum
well, the good news is that I told people to pull back on the earlier Cal and Oregon picks (from 6 to 3 units) but let's not sugar coat what was a bad day. 4-4 is not a killer but it is when your one really big play falls short. Heck, the only sizable winner was the one I was most nervous about but Alabama calmed those nerves very early on. Still, the state of Oregon is not on my Christmas card list at present. Two live games today. I will be on the road the 3 hours before kickoff so these might be my last updates on it.
Notre Dame (2 units) - line movement and sharp action outweighs over/under squeeze
Louisville (2 units) - reverse movement (pretty textbook reverse movement as a note)
Yesterday began the road to recovering after the Oregon State atom bomb destroyed the weekend. Two decent wins yesterday gives us a 6-4 record. too bad the Beavers cover means it is still la losing week. Tonight cannot get back to even but maybe a little closer. Grand the (+3) at Draftkings as consensus is fast settling on +2.5 most everywhere else
Florida State (2 units) - lopsided wagering, low handle home underdog.
6
@HooAlum
Yesterday began the road to recovering after the Oregon State atom bomb destroyed the weekend. Two decent wins yesterday gives us a 6-4 record. too bad the Beavers cover means it is still la losing week. Tonight cannot get back to even but maybe a little closer. Grand the (+3) at Draftkings as consensus is fast settling on +2.5 most everywhere else
Florida State (2 units) - lopsided wagering, low handle home underdog.
When you have a minute can you take a look at Army -3.5 v USF? I can't for the life of me get that number. I'm a huge Black Knights fan but think the talent edge goes to USF and not to mention an Army asst went to USF in the off season so they'll likey be in the Army huddle all day. Curious what the indicators say...
0
@HooAlum
Thanks HOO. Let's roll!
When you have a minute can you take a look at Army -3.5 v USF? I can't for the life of me get that number. I'm a huge Black Knights fan but think the talent edge goes to USF and not to mention an Army asst went to USF in the off season so they'll likey be in the Army huddle all day. Curious what the indicators say...
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