Public Indicator Calculations 2026

@HooAlum

Afternoon Update on the 3 games on the list.  We do have changes in unit amounts due to line movement and betting changes

Texas (1 unit) - sharp indicator

Oregon (3 units) - big reduction in units as sharp indicators outweigh over/under squeeze

Baylor-Auburn (No Bet) - The late move under a touchdown is actually reverse movement as the public is on the Tigers. Thus, Auburn's advantage is erased to a balance between the reverse movement and sharp indicators 

Obviously I am following Oregon State and Houston iand it is TIGHT.   Cougars need just a little more but it seems possible so we could be going down to the wire here.

@HooAlum

Weigman's fourth quarter pick at OSUs goal line took the wind outta this one. Hard to cap coaching decisions like calling the pass play there and then also the int. 

@HooAlum

 obviously the Beaver cover was painful so once again 2-1 does not mean a lot if the big play goes wanting.  Sorry guys.  I am hoping to update Clemson-LSU again before kickoff, but I may not be able to do so and a big development occurred.  Reverse movement is now cutting against the Lane tiffin Tigers and helping the Dabo ones.  Sharps have immediately seized on that reversing their earlier preference.  Things are volatile but wanted to report.

Clemson (1 unit) - reverse movement, sharp indicators outweighs low ticket favorite

that fumble and interception did them in, besides that it looked alright

the steam on Baylor was pretty crazy. Glad you got off that game.

@HooAlum

 Tonight's remaining games are off the board as line movement and sharp indicators balance out in Cal-UCLA and low handle dog balances out sharp indicators in Hawaii-UNLV

@HooAlum

 well, the good news is that I told people to pull back on the earlier Cal and Oregon picks (from 6 to 3 units) but let's not sugar coat what was a bad day.  4-4 is not a killer but it is when your one really big play falls short.  Heck, the only sizable winner was the one I was most nervous about but Alabama calmed those nerves very early on.  Still, the state of Oregon is not on my Christmas card list at present.  Two live games today.  I will be on the road the 3 hours before kickoff so these might be my last updates on it.

Notre Dame (2 units) - line movement and sharp action outweighs over/under squeeze

Louisville (2 units) - reverse movement (pretty textbook reverse movement as a note)

@HooAlum

Thanks Hoo. Let's get 'em today...

Excellent twin-killing last night, @HooAlum!

Any indicators for tonight’s SMU -2.5 @ Florida State game?

@HooAlum

 Yesterday began the road to recovering after the Oregon State atom bomb destroyed the weekend.  Two decent wins yesterday gives us a 6-4 record.  too bad the Beavers cover means it is still la losing week.  Tonight cannot get back to even but maybe a little closer.  Grand the (+3) at Draftkings as consensus is fast settling on +2.5 most everywhere else

Florida State (2 units) - lopsided wagering, low handle home underdog.

@HooAlum

 Here is the weekly update followed by early pick at the next round of games after the push Monday:

SEASON RECORD: 8-5

SEASON REVENUE: 31.5 units on 35 wagered (Profit/loss = 10% loss) - Oregon State loss is the story

I'll start giving indicator performance stats next week when we have at least a little more of a sample size

********

Kansas (2 units): sharp indicators and low handle underdog

Oklahoma State (2 units): body clock early start outweighs line movement and sharp indicators

Oklahoma (1 unit): sharp indicators outweighs lopsided wagering

Arizona-BYU (No Bet): No indicators

Memphis-Boise State (No Bet): No indicators

Iowa (2 units): low handle favorite, sharp indicators outweigh over/Under squeeze

Texas (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite, SKS outweighs sharp indicators

@HooAlum

Thanks HOO. Let's roll!

When you have a minute can you take a look at Army -3.5 v USF? I can't for the life of me get that number. I'm a huge Black Knights fan but think the talent edge goes to USF and not to mention an Army asst went to USF in the off season so they'll likey be in the Army huddle all day. Curious what the indicators say...

@HooAlum

 Pick for toingiht is Rock-Chalk (5 units): line movement, sharp indicators, home underdog low handle, reverse movement.  

hoo

Everything ok Alum haven't seen any updates from you?

@HooAlum

I understand after the bad start on big games if you want to fade.  Hopefully, things turn around.  Today will be ab ig test on the all-time best indicator but the one that burned everyone last week (early body clock which hits at 70%+ in its history0 Here are today's games with updates closer to game times for the games about to start:

Oklahoma St (2 units): early body clock outweighs sharp indicators and line movement

Michigan (1 unit): lopsided wagering

Penn State (1 unit): low ticket favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators outweighs low handle home dog, over/under squeeze

Texas A&M (6 units): line movement, low handle favorite, early body clock outweighs sharp indicators

Arizona-BYU (NO Bet): No indicators

Minnesota (2 units): low handle home dog, lopsided wagering

Kentucky (5 units): low handle home dog, lopsided wagering, lopsided wagering against home dog, sharp indicators

Boise State (1 unit): low handle favorite

Georgia Tech (1 unit): low handle home dog

Iowa (2 units): low handle favorite, sharp indicators outweigh over/under squeeze

Texas (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite, SKS outweighs sharp indicators 

@HooAlum

 Here. are updates for the noon games.  Some big plays popped.  FanDuel has not adjusted on Penn St-Temple yet and still lis under 24.

Oklahoma St (2 units): early body clock outweighs sharp indicators and line movement

Michigan (4 units): lopsided wagering, sharp indicators

NEW GAME: Wake Forest (1 unit): low handle favorite

BIG CHANGE: Penn State (8 units): line movement, low ticket favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators outweigh low handle home dog, over/under squeeze

Texas A&M (6 units): low handle favorite, early body clock

@HooAlum

 also, while it is not on the board for low handle (so technically will not count).  I have to note the big play for Kansas State over Washington St.  If active it would be 11 units but once again, low handle so volatile and less trustworthy

@HooAlum

 Thanks!  We got this!

@HooAlum

 Backdoor in Philly, not pleasing, hopefully other morning calls come in better.  Midday

Arizona (2 units): sharp indicators

Minnesota (7 units): the jumping the fence was huge and could lead to more.  Low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators

Kentucky (11 units): this game has popped due to steam, line movement, low handle home underdog, lopsided ticket against the home underdog, sharp indicators.

Sigh Penn St.  Can't catch a break this year.

Love that Kentucky pick! Appreciate all you do.

@HooAlum

 as a note the line in Minnesota-Mississippi St (as those watching would no) jumped the fence BACK.  Appropriately we have indicators canceling each other out with lopsided wagering still in Minnesota's favor but sharp indicators flip and all that low favroite stuff goes away.  Thus, no bet.  

@HooAlum

 Dude, this bit of info is way too late to make a change for a 3:40 kick time. You posted this well after the kickoff.