All Forums | College Football

*** Freak Pics!!! *** (Week 2)

...
Participants:
Search
Views: 53775
Posts: 320
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2013
Posts: 568
Posted: #101
Jimmy was curious about how you felt about these 2 games that came off key numbers:

Purdue +6 (Instead of your posted +7)
Texas Tech +2.5 (Instead of your posted +3)

Was also curious what ratio you use when you are betting a ML and a spread on the same game or does it vary depending on the game?

I'd just like to say I really appreciate what you do for us here, I missed a couple bets last week but even with the misses I still got on enough winners that with the week you had I got a baby sitter for the kids and I'm taking the wife out to a dinner and movie tonight; have to pay it back to the cool girl that puts up with my football habit.  Anyway thanks for what you do 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2003
Posts: 13951
Posted: #102
Quote Originally Posted by JP13:

What up Freak ! 
I always enjoy it when I see 6 of my weekly picks match yours. Glad to see some one else liking G.-ST. I'm not sure why that AF line keeps going up when they did not even cover against Abilene Christine last week, but we'll take it w/ G-St. 
I like both unders in the Bama game...As we know Saban won't run the score up on an inferior team (sorry USC) and I don't see WK scoring more than 14-17 points(if that's possible). Even with a 42-14/17 outcome, that's still just 56/59 points...the public is all over the over pushing it from 58 to 62....I don't see it. Bama is 0-8 against the spread against non conference foes, BUT has beaten WK by 35 and 36 points the last 2 meetings. I was at the last game in 2012 when we beat them 35-0. I think we may cover but haven't touched it. 
Poor South Al. ...got the biggest win of their team history last week and now the big bad bully is coming to town. G.South usually whoops them  like a red headed step  child, this one probably won't be close. 
On ArkySt. but not sure about them taking the game though....I'll be sure to read your Auby write up and see what you have to say on that game. 
Love the Gamecocks this week, and to me it looks like the wrong side is favored in that T.Tech game. 
Best of luck this weekend, I'm about to do my good deed for the day and take mom to the Dew Drop for some lunch. 

Nice post!

This will be the second triple option attack Georgia State will have faced in their past three games.  In the first of those three games we saw Georgia State completely stifle Georgia Southern's usually potent triple option attack last December.  They held them to 203 total yards, and to 135 yards rushing on 44 carriers (3.1 yards per rush attempt).  So I'll take my chances on the 9 guys that return from that defense to slow down Air Force a bit.  Not to mention their aerial attack is of the sorts that pose AF some trouble defensively.  I'll have to pay to see Air Force win this by three touchdowns.

My confidence in the Alabama UNDER is rooted in my belief that WKU won't score much, if at all.

The score was actually 34-0 and, no, that did not cover the spread.  I'm too lazy to look it up, but the line was at least 38.  That's one reason a line south of 30 actually looks palpable.  Not to mention Alabama's offense is much more explosive now, and the defense is tooled to stop the spread, hurry-up.

Yeah, I think South Alabama will get handled pretty well this weekend when the big, bad triple option rolls into town.

I have been super busy, but I will post something on the Arky St./Auburn matchup.

 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 28
Posted: #103
gl my man
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 3074
Posted: #104
Jim,    Waiting on Sat. morning lines now.   Like your thoughts on Geo. St. +21    Nice if late money boost that past prime numbers.

Stay hard,   Doc
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2016
Posts: 1
Posted: #105
Great Job Jimmy! The spouse and I both appreciate it!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2016
Posts: 393
Posted: #106
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Great info!!!

The game is not up yet on BMer.

 


The game was -40 when I locked in. Now -64

Char sou gonna be BEAT up after this. Will fade them for weeks 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2003
Posts: 13951
Posted: #107

It has come to my attention that Arkansas State football players have been hit hard by the flu all week.  Therefore, I must degrade this play from a "Best Bet" to just a regular bet, and I no longer support a ML play either.

Also, ML wagers are never "Best Bets."  I understand why some of you took it that way, because that's exactly how I posted it.  That was not my intent however.  I corrected it in the updated card below.

Lastly, I already placed my large 3-team parlay for the week.  My exact play is South Florida -14 -130, Arkansas St. +20 -110 & South Carolina +7 -110.  But because of the new revelation regarding Arky St. football players, if you haven't already place that wager and intend to, I recommend replacing Arky St +20 with one of the first half UNDERS (PSU/Pitt, WKU/Alabama, UK/Florida), or (Illinois +7, MTSU +4.5).

Updated Card & Lines:

Saturday Early Games:

Penn State @ Pittsburgh UNDER 24 (1st Half)

Cincinnati @ Purdue +5

Georgia State +21 -120 @ Air Force

Saturday Afternoon Games:

Western Kentucky @ Alabama UNDER 34 (1st Half)

Kentucky @ Florida UNDER 26 (1st Half)

Middle Tennessee State +4 @ Vanderbilt

Saturday Night Games:

Georgia Southern -13.5 @ South Alabama

South Carolina +7.5 @ Mississippi State  ** Best Bet **

South Carolina ML +240 @ Mississippi State

Northern Illinois @ South Florida -15.5  ** Best Bet **

North Carolina @ Illinois +7  ** Best Bet **

North Carolina @ Illinois ML +225

Iowa State @ Iowa UNDER 27 (1st Half)

Arkansas State +21 -120 @ Auburn

Saturday Late Game:

Texas Tech ML -101 @ Arizona State

 

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 5418
Posted: #108
My play of weekend is Vandy.Great seeing you Post.Tailed your Under PennSt except I played full game.Best of luck to you this season.War Eagle my friend.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 55
Posted: #109
Hey Jimmy. Card looks strong! Curious if you think App State has a slight letdown after Tenn?? Old Dominion +21 looks interesting to me. Also leaning toward Uconn U40 and Duke U44. Both of those strike me as low scoring affairs. If you have time, I welcome your thoughts. Thanks for all you do and stay hot!!!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 55
Posted: #110
Hey Jimmy. Card looks strong! Curious if you think App State has a slight letdown after Tenn?? Old Dominion +21 looks interesting to me. Also leaning toward Uconn U40 and Duke U44. Both of those strike me as low scoring affairs. If you have time, I welcome your thoughts. Thanks for all you do and stay hot!!!
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2014
Posts: 6353
Posted: #111
https://www.kfvs12.com/story/33049598/several-a-state-football-players-fall-ill

Here's a little more detail. 14 most starters or role players. Twitter mentioned Colton Jackson and Dee Liner among them. So FYI. 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 6209
Posted: #112
That Auburn/Arky St. game could go either way in my opinion- too tricky to call now but I think if Auburn screws this game up then they will be fade material all year! GL Jimmy!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2016
Posts: 347
Posted: #113
Have a teaser with north carolina +3 and tcu -.5 455-325
whats the best way to hedge this with illinois?
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2014
Posts: 6446
Posted: #114
Good luck bud!
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2014
Posts: 1459
Posted: #115
bol jimmy
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 964
Posted: #116
Gl
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2003
Posts: 13951
Posted: #117

Quote Originally Posted by warcameagle56:

My play of weekend is Vandy.Great seeing you Post.Tailed your Under PennSt except I played full game.Best of luck to you this season.War Eagle my friend.

Good to see you WCE!  I've been wondering where you have been?

Thoughts on Arky St/Auburn, and Auburn in general?

 

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2003
Posts: 13951
Posted: #118
Quote Originally Posted by parlaysonly:

Jimmy,

Any strong feelings or emotions on Oregon and the San Diego St. games? 

No strong feelings about Oregon, but there's not much to like with Virginia's week 1 performance.  I would be inclined to fade Virginia here.

I have a stronger opinion on SDSU.  I think they will dominate in the trenches on both sides of the ball, and win the game.  Will they cover the 7?  Your guess is as good as mine.

 

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2003
Posts: 13951
Posted: #119
Quote Originally Posted by Dbreezyy:

Have a teaser with north carolina +3 and tcu -.5 455-325
whats the best way to hedge this with illinois?

Bet Illinois +7 and hope you middle it.  Of course TCU will still have to do their part.

 

 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2008
Posts: 420
Posted: #120
Arkansas State will be lucky to score against Auburn (even if they were healthy.) 

Don't understand your logic on this one, but I'll put it like this....

Auburn offense isn't going to look like the crappy game plan they brought against Clemson.  And even with that crappy game plan Auburn had a shot at beating one of the better teams in the nation.  In comes an offense that looked pretty bad against ball state. 

Auburn defense will have a field day, and I will predict one defensive score.  Auburn offense will take the opportunities to improve on offense... utilizing Sean White mostly and will hit at least 4 offensive TD's.

IMO, the only way this game doesn't get covered by Auburn is if Auburn shoots themselves in the foot too many times. 

I will predict Auburn 45 - Ark St. 0.  Good luck.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 305
Posted: #121
Lurking and Liking JDF!!! Get it in bro!!!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2014
Posts: 24
Posted: #122
I have owned  a couple Sportscards shops and closed them due to getting hurt in Air Force, I'm now very much so disabled!!! !  I have 20-30 very rare autographed with (COA) and very nice framed etc...Mantle's, Dimaggio, Ali, Rose, Marino,Montana, ...500 Homerun club!  They are all 100% authentic and 100% guaranteed.  I have no idea what they are worth now..I Hate EBAY!  They were all appraised around $90,000, before I got hurt and had to close my shop....I would make an incredible deal on if they wanted to buy them ,,,not a scam...probably around  $10,000-$20,000 if you took  them all  I'm retired and hate keeping them...they are all 100% in Mint condition..in climate controlled storage.  name is Dennis live in AR and will checkback on here to see if anyone is interested!  At one time the 500 club auto's was valued at $15,000  Thanks Will give Phone, references etc   if a serious buyer comes along
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2014
Posts: 24
Posted: #123
By the way..jimmydafreak.I follow you every week and kick azz on my Pick'em leagues   Thanks again big fan
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2015
Posts: 1830
Posted: #124
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Interesting that you mentioned UConn because in trying to whittle my card down to a reasonable number of plays, UConn was my final cut.  My hesitation is that it's a road game.  I do think they knock off the Middies though.  I like the play a lot!

Several have inquired about the Arky St./Auburn game, so I'll cobble something together on it soon.

 

 




Good luck this week bro.  Lets eat!!!


 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 5418
Posted: #125
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Quote Originally Posted by warcameagle56:

My play of weekend is Vandy.Great seeing you Post.Tailed your Under PennSt except I played full game.Best of luck to you this season.War Eagle my friend.

Good to see you WCE!  I've been wondering where you have been?
Thoughts on Arky St/Auburn, and Auburn in general?
I think the next 2 Saturdays will tell the tale for Auburn.BTW,I played BIG 2gpar-Stipe & Fabricio Werdum...If Auburn gets by TxA&M & LSU its a new season for us.If we go 0-2 it might be time to get the checkbook out and if we go 1-1 stay tuned.Defense looked tenacious and the O cant be any worse.I dont care too much for Rhett Lashlee,but Im still behind him.I think Auburn wins both and its a new season my friend.So glad my buddy os back at it.Football aint the same without u bro
.
All Forums | College Football
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 Genius Sports. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.