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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    MLB Playoffs

    123 Next Last»
    LVTruck
    kidd22
    RebelTell2
    Tarheels85
    TheBoogeyman931
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 4308
    Posts: 55
    123 Next Last»
     
    LVTruck
    LVTruck
    Legend
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    Posts: 37421
    Posted: Oct. 2, 2026 - 7:48 PM ET #1

    an_2drinks

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    an_2drinks

     
    kidd22
    kidd22
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2026 - 7:51 PM ET #2

    an_cheers

    Reply

    an_cheers

     
    LVTruck
    LVTruck
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2026 - 7:54 PM ET #3

    We got lucky on a couple in the Wild Card round and we’re 2-0 in the playoffs.

    Tomorrow is a big day. I’ve got some thoughts on a few games, so let’s see if we can grab a bag or two.

    Reply

    We got lucky on a couple in the Wild Card round and we’re 2-0 in the playoffs.

    Tomorrow is a big day. I’ve got some thoughts on a few games, so let’s see if we can grab a bag or two.

     
    kidd22
    kidd22
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2026 - 7:56 PM ET #4

    @LVTruck

     I missed those plays but let’s get it tomorrow 

    do your thang truck clover

    Reply

    @LVTruck

     I missed those plays but let’s get it tomorrow 

    do your thang truck clover

     
    LVTruck
    LVTruck
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2026 - 7:57 PM ET #5

    These are just a few games I’m looking at right now. Nothing is on my short card or finalized yet.

    I’m having a beer, watching some football and seeing if I can find a plan of attack for tomorrow. 

    Reply

    These are just a few games I’m looking at right now. Nothing is on my short card or finalized yet.

    I’m having a beer, watching some football and seeing if I can find a plan of attack for tomorrow. 

     
    LVTruck
    LVTruck
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2026 - 8:03 PM ET #6

    I think the White Sox are a live dog tomorrow.

    These two teams have been basically even all year, Chicago won the season series, and I don’t see a huge gap between them. Cleveland may have the cleaner starting pitching setup, but at plus money I think the Sox have enough bullpen and enough offense to make this a real game.

    Reply

    I think the White Sox are a live dog tomorrow.

    These two teams have been basically even all year, Chicago won the season series, and I don’t see a huge gap between them. Cleveland may have the cleaner starting pitching setup, but at plus money I think the Sox have enough bullpen and enough offense to make this a real game.

     
    LVTruck
    LVTruck
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2026 - 8:10 PM ET #7

    Dodgers Braves

    Atlanta still hasn’t named a starter, so there’s really no reaso so dig deep

    There could be some value in the Dodgers first five depending on who Atlanta throws and where they hang the number. That’s one I’ll have to revisit tomorrow once everything is posted and see if there’s an angle worth attacking.

    Reply

    Dodgers Braves

    Atlanta still hasn’t named a starter, so there’s really no reaso so dig deep

    There could be some value in the Dodgers first five depending on who Atlanta throws and where they hang the number. That’s one I’ll have to revisit tomorrow once everything is posted and see if there’s an angle worth attacking.

     
    LVTruck
    LVTruck
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2026 - 8:13 PM ET #8

    Yankees-Rays

    couple things have my attention here.

    Rasmussen has been really good against this Yankees lineup, Tampa has been strong at home, and Judge’s status is still something to watch. Cole obviously keeps me from getting too aggressive, but the Rays side and possibly the Under are both worth a look.

    Reply

    Yankees-Rays

    couple things have my attention here.

    Rasmussen has been really good against this Yankees lineup, Tampa has been strong at home, and Judge’s status is still something to watch. Cole obviously keeps me from getting too aggressive, but the Rays side and possibly the Under are both worth a look.

     
    LVTruck
    LVTruck
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2026 - 8:18 PM ET #9

    San Diego-Milwaukee is interesting. Misiorowski is obviously a problem, but the Padres have been swinging it really well against right-handed pitching.

     

    The part I’m digging into is Robbie Ray. Milwaukee hasn’t been nearly as good against lefties, and Ray has had some success against this lineup over the years. Add in that San Diego bullpen and there may be an angle with the Padres +1.5 or possibly the Under.

    Reply

    San Diego-Milwaukee is interesting. Misiorowski is obviously a problem, but the Padres have been swinging it really well against right-handed pitching.

     

    The part I’m digging into is Robbie Ray. Milwaukee hasn’t been nearly as good against lefties, and Ray has had some success against this lineup over the years. Add in that San Diego bullpen and there may be an angle with the Padres +1.5 or possibly the Under.

     
    RebelTell2
    RebelTell2
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2026 - 8:43 PM ET #10

    Messick matches up well against the Sox. Girchuk is the only hitter with any success vs. him. Overall, Sox in 2026 have a .198 BA/96 PAs vs Messick. .630 OPS. Another stat to note: Sox' day split BA is .220, 2nd worst in MLB. One the positive side, Cleveland's isn't much better at .241.

    Your money will be on the Chicago BP to keep Cleveland in check. It could happen, but I think the books have spotted Cleveland a 3/2 fav for a reason, and that the supposed value on the Sox is fools gold.

    The G's were real hot with the sticks down the stretch, hitting .315 with a 1.035 OPS the last 7 days of the season. Then again, Sox were hot too down the stretch. I just think that there will be better spots to bet the Sox when they face a righty and have a better matchup than a lefty the quality of Messick.

    BOL,

    RT2

    Reply

    Messick matches up well against the Sox. Girchuk is the only hitter with any success vs. him. Overall, Sox in 2026 have a .198 BA/96 PAs vs Messick. .630 OPS. Another stat to note: Sox' day split BA is .220, 2nd worst in MLB. One the positive side, Cleveland's isn't much better at .241.

    Your money will be on the Chicago BP to keep Cleveland in check. It could happen, but I think the books have spotted Cleveland a 3/2 fav for a reason, and that the supposed value on the Sox is fools gold.

    The G's were real hot with the sticks down the stretch, hitting .315 with a 1.035 OPS the last 7 days of the season. Then again, Sox were hot too down the stretch. I just think that there will be better spots to bet the Sox when they face a righty and have a better matchup than a lefty the quality of Messick.

    BOL,

    RT2

     
    Tarheels85
    Tarheels85
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2026 - 9:19 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by LVTruck:

    I think the White Sox are a live dog tomorrow. These two teams have been basically even all year, Chicago won the season series, and I don’t see a huge gap between them. Cleveland may have the cleaner starting pitching setup, but at plus money I think the Sox have enough bullpen and enough offense to make this a real game.

    On DK they have each team to score 1 run in the F5 innings -135. I have a couple profit boosts as well but would only cover a small portion of the bet if I went big. They also have 2 runs each team F7 innings at +115. Both are tempting. White Sox have been my go to team down the stretch so 2.5 team total is interesting as well. Been debating this shit all day lol. Hoping some Elmer T Lee can take me to the finish line. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by LVTruck:

    I think the White Sox are a live dog tomorrow. These two teams have been basically even all year, Chicago won the season series, and I don’t see a huge gap between them. Cleveland may have the cleaner starting pitching setup, but at plus money I think the Sox have enough bullpen and enough offense to make this a real game.

    On DK they have each team to score 1 run in the F5 innings -135. I have a couple profit boosts as well but would only cover a small portion of the bet if I went big. They also have 2 runs each team F7 innings at +115. Both are tempting. White Sox have been my go to team down the stretch so 2.5 team total is interesting as well. Been debating this shit all day lol. Hoping some Elmer T Lee can take me to the finish line. 

     
    TheBoogeyman931
    TheBoogeyman931
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 10:34 AM ET #12

    RI$E & GRIND.an_cheers

    LET$ CRU$H THEM TODAY BRO.clover cloverpeace

    Reply

    RI$E & GRIND.an_cheers

    LET$ CRU$H THEM TODAY BRO.clover cloverpeace

     
    countrybob
    countrybob
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 11:29 AM ET #13

    @TheBoogeyman931

     BOOGEY!!!!!!!

    Reply

    @TheBoogeyman931

     BOOGEY!!!!!!!

     
    TheBoogeyman931
    TheBoogeyman931
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 11:34 AM ET #14

    @countrybob

     

    We made it to the weekend brother, ENJOY.

    LET$ FKN CRU$H THEM TODAY. an_cheersclovercloverpeace

    Reply

    @countrybob

     

    We made it to the weekend brother, ENJOY.

    LET$ FKN CRU$H THEM TODAY. an_cheersclovercloverpeace

     
    countrybob
    countrybob
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 12:15 PM ET #15

    @TheBoogeyman931

     an_cheers

    Reply

    @TheBoogeyman931

     an_cheers

     
    TheBoogeyman931
    TheBoogeyman931
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 1:17 PM ET #16

    LET$ GO TRUCK.

    CRU$HING THE MLB PLAYOFF$, ONE DAY AT A TIME.

    TODAY$ THE FKN DAY. an_cheerscloverclover

    Reply

    LET$ GO TRUCK.

    CRU$HING THE MLB PLAYOFF$, ONE DAY AT A TIME.

    TODAY$ THE FKN DAY. an_cheerscloverclover

     
    Fuse
    Fuse
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 1:18 PM ET #17

    GL peaceclover

    Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
    Reply

    GL peaceclover

     
    LVTruck
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 3:41 PM ET #18

    I thought the White Sox were a live dog today. Cleveland had the bases loaded with nobody out and still couldn’t cash in. I’m starting to think that Pope blessing is paying some dividends for the Sox.

    Reply

    I thought the White Sox were a live dog today. Cleveland had the bases loaded with nobody out and still couldn’t cash in. I’m starting to think that Pope blessing is paying some dividends for the Sox.

     
    miact
    miact
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 3:49 PM ET #19

    Who you got today truck?  Rays?

    Reply

    Who you got today truck?  Rays?

     
    LVTruck
    LVTruck
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 4:09 PM ET #20

    @miact

     should finish up in a bit 

    Reply

    @miact

     should finish up in a bit 

     
    countrybob
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 4:16 PM ET #21

    Sox cashed for me waiting to get another  bag when LV posts LFG!!!!!!!!!

    Reply

    Sox cashed for me waiting to get another  bag when LV posts LFG!!!!!!!!!

     
    QBUN
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 4:35 PM ET #22

    I smell a TB play coming....bigsmile

    Reply

    I smell a TB play coming....bigsmile

     
    countrybob
    countrybob
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 5:09 PM ET #23

    @QBUN

     an_popcorn

    Reply

    @QBUN

     an_popcorn

     
    LVTruck
    LVTruck
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 5:26 PM ET #24

    The Rasmussen matchup is nasty.

    He finished at 2.67 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 2.81 FIP, with a 26.0% strikeout rate and only 4.8% walks. That 21.2-point K-minus-BB spread is pimp level command. He also allowed only 0.73 HR per nine, and at Tropicana that dropped all the way to 0.53 HR/9

    Reply

    The Rasmussen matchup is nasty.

    He finished at 2.67 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 2.81 FIP, with a 26.0% strikeout rate and only 4.8% walks. That 21.2-point K-minus-BB spread is pimp level command. He also allowed only 0.73 HR per nine, and at Tropicana that dropped all the way to 0.53 HR/9

     
     
    LVTruck
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2026 - 5:28 PM ET #25

    Now comes the sick matchup specific number

     the current Yankees hitters are batting .163 against Rasmussen with a .256 slugging percentage and .217 wOBA across 139 plate appearances. That’s not some random games  there is enough history there

    Rasmussen’s career line against New York is 5-2, 1.81 ERA, 0.86 WHIP

    Reply

    Now comes the sick matchup specific number

     the current Yankees hitters are batting .163 against Rasmussen with a .256 slugging percentage and .217 wOBA across 139 plate appearances. That’s not some random games  there is enough history there

    Rasmussen’s career line against New York is 5-2, 1.81 ERA, 0.86 WHIP

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