Bowl Money ~ HooTrain Collab

The HOOTRAIN 

JAX CAJUNS UN 29.5 1ST HALF

GEORGIA SOUTHERN -0.5 1ST HALF    ML -140 GM X3   

 

GL Fellas  

@TRAIN69

 Thank u…

Lots of chatter that Marshall stud RB Rasheen Ali will be playing now in the bowl game and cpl only the OL who were thought to be out 

 

that could account for the line drop 

 

still like UTSA the under could be in play also 

Could be....just another crazy part of portalpalooza

Small action add Boise St/UCLA U23 1st H

 

Also added a little more Texas Tech ML (and some parlayed with Troy ML and SJST ML).....

When is the HooTrain leaving the station again? Let’s roll!!!

We both lean ODU at anything under 7.....and smaller lean towards the Under....probably 1st H a better bet....liked ODU much better at -2.5 and the U54.5 obviously...but nothing we would recommend today at -6.5/48ish with the wonky line movement and other unknowns....

 

We will be chatting later today about the week to come.....

Serious question to some of the serious guys I see in this thread...

How can you bet these bowl games anymore?

I get the playoffs, but the bowls?  I tapped out last year.  Not interested in guessing how good WKY 3rd string qb is or if Ga Southerns team was out drinking at 4am the night before.  

Interested in insight.

 

 

Wagering on Bowl games has gotten a lot more risky in the last 10 years

thanks to Coaching changes during bowl season , and ever increasing

opt outs ( those declaring for the NFL draft ) and lately the surge

of players to the Transfer Portal. It's harder to cap and even harder

to know when ALL of the info is in so a bettor has a reasonable idea

of his true risk on the wager. I'm only betting the Playoffs to help

me manage Bowl risk this season and beyond.

This gives me a better idea of who will play in the games , and

I've got a lot less opt out and Transfer Portal risk , and I only

have to analyze 4 teams , and get just one or two right to

make a profit.

Bowl risk will get more pronounced in coming years.

Managing risk will become more difficult.

Good luck  

 

@TRAIN69

 I went in on ODU at -2.5 awhile back and fortunately that was a good time to do it. We’ll see how it plays out. I appreciate your response and look forward to the coming HooTrain picks!

@TRAIN69

 Can I ask here if James Madison @2’ is a play?

Sorry, I mean James Madison 

 

Its definitely tougher than it used to be. All the normal dynamics are in play, but so many other variables have crept in slowly....and yearly over the past decade. Getting ahead of things is a big help. Players sitting out....coaches leaving....etc are well known things, but sometimes people have early info. Example would be having Mizzou +7 on the opener and now you can have Ohio St +2.5.....also, knowing back ground info on backup QBs helps.....guessing motivation isn't a science, but with years of observation it can be a tool. 

Not sure if that ramble helped clear anything up or not.....

 

Van

those not wanting to read 

We have only 2 bowl wagers posted

 

utsa - 9.5

texas st - 4.5

 

tomorrow gets us going, we will have at least 5-7 more

 

happy holidays my peoples, I’m going out on a date so I’ll be around later 

@WahooS

 Hope your date was worth the 30$ In cocktails 

I know the Gophers are kind of a mess, but how do they not cover 3.5 vs Bowling Green? 

@LoveCFB1_

 Bowling Green will win straight out IMHO. The Gophers for one have no QB, secondly they lost defensive coordinator Rossi which is a huge loss, especially in preparation, and thirdly they are a horrible team thanks to the incompetent recruiting of Head Coach Fleck. 

@WahooS

 

@vanzack

 IMHO it's still handicapping. It can't be done by traditional methods, but you still try to find an edge to consider what end of the power rating has changed to give you the best advantage. But you're right. How many points does team a lose  for a starting qb and wr vs team b's 2 starting corners?                                                                                                                                                                     

@Vanzack,

You gotta factor in motivation in these games.  Which teams actually want to play in their respective bowl games vs teams that could give two f*cks.  There's also history, some teams are very good bowl teams, probably has to do with preparation/head coach, etc.  Some teams just suck @ss during bowl season.  Don't get too cute when handicapping bowl games ... just pick the damn winner in the early bowl games, you'll probably do all right ...

@vanzack

 I made a similar post very early in this chat I believe. I will ONLY bet the Semifinals and Finals. 

The Train and Wahoo Bowl information page gives people A LOT of information. They have only posted 2 official plays, so I would think they agree with you and myself as well. They are selective in their plays for Bowl Season. At least so far they have been.

All other posts have been related to answering questions from degenerates who have no clue what to wager on these meaningless games. They’d probably be better off wagering a random NBA Over on the Pacers. 

Alabama ML and Washington +4.5 are the plays. Can’t wait til Semifinals time so I don’t have to read about degenerates betting on the third string QB for a Conference U.S.A. team! My god, do what you want with your money but I couldn’t do that. 

Hoo and Train, looking forward to this, following along on your two plays.

Lets get em!

You guys still like UTSA with the qb rumors?

@Morphine8X

 What rumor is that?

 

utsa is full systems go tonight, runners QB is playing & there is an enormous coaching edge on our side 

good luck whatever side you’re on

 

we hope to start our run with a win tonight 

 

happy holidays Morph