Is Braves ML -105 as safe of an even money lock possible in sports?

Don’t see how this loses with Braves ace Sale on the mound, Braves at home, Dodgers offense anemic

Dodgers just lost a Braves bullpen game with one of Dodgers aces Snell on the mound at Dodgers home 

and now you’re going to give me even money for Braves super ace Sale at Braves home?

Very very few spots in all of sports this year you will get EV money for a stone cold lock but this is one of them 

Never can count that lineup out it's full of veterans with bigtime playoff experience  but with that being said i lean Braves as well 

@MDizzle23

The Dodgers are 3-15 since July 31st vs. teams that made the playoffs, and that includes an 0-6 record in road games as they were swept on the north side of Chicago and in.......Atlanta.

After Game 4 tomorrow night, the Dodgers will fly back to L.A., but I don't expect they'll be hauling the Braves along with them.

Braves take next two?

@MrBator

 Thanks MrBator for sharing this excellent information with us, I appreciate all you do to help us beat the books.

Go Braves.

@Interstellar 

Yes, that's what MrBator is saying.

@MrBator

 Dodger pitcher no stooge.....

@bigred84

 Yams or Sale 

I’m taking it….

and I’m not gonna go back and look, but if I’m not mistaken, Since the All-Star break not only did the Braves sweep them,  Zona did and the freaking  Colorado Rockies I believe.  

The winners of tonights game 3's will win the series, even if its the padres. Id like to see padres/rays or braves/rays in ws

.... thought braves and padres were undervalued and built for a run, and rays was my only AL choice to make WS. I just couldnt see any team in the AL challenging them. Wouldnt be surprised if they didnt lose a game til ws

I know. I respect Yoshinobu Yamamoto more than any current pitcher, but the team around him is the weakest 100-win team I've ever seen. Because of that, on August 27th I found the courage to bet against Yamamoto for the only time this season when I took Chris Sale and the Braves -115. Yamamoto was excellent as usual, but he gave up a home run on the first pitch he threw and that was all the Braves needed. They won 1-0.

No. Since the All-Star break the Dodgers have been swept by the Red Sox, Cubs, and Braves. The Dodgers barely won 1 out of 3 in Arizona vs. a team that finished with 86 wins and wasn't eliminated from playoff contention until the final day of the season.

By the way, I think the Dodgers are going to lose Game 3, but I'm hoping they won't because I want them to advance to the NLCS where I can bet a monstrous amount on the Brewers to eliminate them. I don't expect to get that chance, which is why I'm considering betting on the Braves +150 to win this NLDS.

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Yamamoto is having a stellar 0.55 ERA against the Braves. I think Dodgers has more value here than the Braves

@MDizzle23

 The better way to look at it is to ask why ATL is not -125 or -130 and not stop say that they are a lock basically an evenly set game.

Sale may be an ace but he is only one pitcher and tis is a playoff game against an elite playoff experienced LAD lineup.

Snell only allowed 1 run and walked five.  The exact thing could happen with Sale.  That is still very different than Sale vs Yamamoto matchup.

The market knows Sale is pitching so there is no 'hidden' value there.

Just because ATL won a bullpen game does not mean the LAD offense is suddenly bad.

ATL may have an edge in the situation because of the reasons you list.

But I would not say it is a double digit edge or anything remotely resembling a 'lock'.

But BOL to you if you take them. 

The Dodgers offense isn't suddenly bad. For the last two months it's been bad vs. teams with quality pitching.

@MrBator

 Do you think experience comes into play? They are back to back champions.

Plenty of vets up and down the ATL order. $ale will compete. It's not him coming in with ATL trying to avoid getting swept, they know what this game means. All season they've made sure to give $ale plenty of rest specifically for this moment. On top of that Tyler Mahle has been nails since joining ATL at the trade deadline.

#BravesIn4. 

They are back-to-back champions on their last legs. They can't seem to win a series vs. a good team. The last time they did was eleven weeks ago.

I also think tonight is the night ATL cuts the last string with Freddie Freeman.. I don't except as many well wishes for him tonight it's hard to believe it's been 5 years since he joined LA.

Tonight is WAR.

Are you all nuts..

The only way Braves arent going back to LA is if they are swept in ATL

And Brewers are winning series against LA, and im no Dodger fan. 

Dodgers are Delta Braves and Brewers are Seals

This is very key to me as the playoffs approached and folks got healthy, etc.:

The Dodgers' offense really did struggle in July/August. Their second-half wRC+ was 93 as of mid-August, and August was particularly bad at 90 wRC+.

But they turned it around in September. They posted the second-highest wRC+ in MLB and went 18–7.

Don't be too impressed. They mopped up against some awful pitchers. The Dodgers went 15-1 in September vs. the crumbling Nationals, the dreadful Reds, and the towel-tossing Giants (who went 0-6 vs. the Dodgers over the final 9 days of the season).

If you want to take the Braves take them f5 -0.5 at +128. That is the sharpest possible value I could think of for this game aside from Dodgers ML. The moment Sale gets off the mound, the Braves’ advantage is gone.