The Calgary Stampeders return home from Kelowna as -122 favorites against the visiting Toronto Argonauts, who are off to a surprising 2-1 start in the CFL odds.
This game will pit the league’s two highest-scoring offences against each other, and I expect Chad Kelly to lead the Argos to a road victory at McMahon Stadium.
Find out more in my Stampeders vs. Argonauts predictions and CFL picks for Thursday, July 2.
Who will win Argonauts vs Roughriders: Argonauts (+105)
Offensive plays per game in the CFL continue to be up about 5% over previous seasons due to the new time clock rules for 2026, and the Toronto Argonauts offence leads the league with 38 points per game. Quarterback Chad Kelly spearheads all quarterbacks with an average of 396 passing yards per game at a torrid pace of 11 yards per pass attempt, and a total of nine passing touchdowns.
Meanwhile, Vernon Adams Jr. and the Calgary Stampeders have been off to a more sluggish start in 2026, with his YPA down almost a full yard from last season’s rate.
Toronto’s rush defence has been much improved this year, allowing just 4.21 yards per carry, and I expect them to be able to outscore the Stampeders in what should be another high-paced affair.
Playable to +100.
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Argonauts vs Stampeders total prediction: Over 60.5 (-110)
Both teams are averaging 69.7 combined points per game through three contests, evidence that the new 35-second play clock is outpacing defenses faster than sportsbooks can price it.
This should result in another Over with the line sitting at just 60.5.
COVERS INTEL: Toronto and Calgary have gone 6-for-6 on the Over — new play-clock rules are inflating pace faster than books can adjust, and Calgary's Over margin (17.8) is even steeper than Toronto's (14.7).Argonauts vs Stampeders same-game parlay
The Argonauts' offence is just too difficult to hold in check with their increased ability to run in 2026 — up a full 1.4 YPC compared to 2025 — and the deep strike ability that former MOP Chad Kelly has brought back to the passing attack.
Argonauts vs Stampeders SGP
- Argonauts +1.5
- Over 60.5
Argonauts vs Stampeders weather
The forecast for game time in Calgary calls for a 30% chance of thunderstorms, with light winds around 10-20 kph, and conditions expected to clear as the evening progresses. There’s nothing here that raises concern.
Argonauts vs Stampeders odds
- Spread: Argonauts +1.5 (-110) | Stampeders -1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Argonauts +105 | Stampeders -125
- Over/Under: Over 60.5 (-110) | Under 60.5 (-110)
Argonauts vs Stampeders key injuries
Argonauts: Alexander Teubner DB (Out), Dakoda Shepley DL (Questionable).
Stampeders: Reggie Begelton WR (Out), Eric Rascoe DL (Out), Jaydon Grant DB (Questionable), Ashton Miller-Melancon LB (Questionable).
Argonauts vs Stampeders trend
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last eight head-to-head matchups against Calgary.
How to watch Argonauts vs Stampeders and game info
| Location | McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB |
| Date | Thursday, July 2, 2026 |
| Kick-off | 9 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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