Roughriders vs Lions Prediction, Picks & Odds for CFL Week 21

Trevor Knapp - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 , 01:20 PM ET • 4 min read

Our Roughriders vs. Lions predictions back Nathan Rourke and BC to continue their late-season surge, make amends for last year's playoff heartbreak, and punch their ticket to the West Final.

cfl

Match starts: 22 hrs
Roughriders vs Lions Predictions for CFL Week 21. Trevor Harris and Nathan Rourke headline Saturday's playoff matchup at BC Place.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Trevor Harris and Nathan Rourke headline Saturday's playoff matchup at BC Place.

With a trip to the West Final on the line, the BC Lions will host the Saskatchewan Roughriders as 6.5-point favorites on Saturday, Oct. 31.

My Roughriders vs. Lions predictions and CFL picks highlight BC's red-hot finish down the stretch, including their recent success against the defending Grey Cup champs.

Kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. ET from BC Place in Vancouver, with the game airing on TSN.

Who will win Roughriders vs Lions: Lions -6.5 (-110)

I'm staying firm at -6.5 to avoid the hook, but the BC Lions are set to avenge last season's soul-crushing playoff loss to the Saskatchewan Roughriders. 

Boasting a league-best 7.7 yards per play on first down, BC has completely flipped the script on a 1-5 start, winning nine of its final 12 games. That stretch included two straight victories over Saskatchewan by 7+ points, with reigning MOP Nathan Rourke sporting a 111.3 passer rating and a 71.8% completion rate across those matchups.

Meanwhile, the Roughriders stumbled down the stretch, losing six of their final 10 games outright and going just 1-5 ATS over their last six.

With the Riders still missing All-Star defensive back Rolan Milligan Jr. and the Leos entering the playoffs without any major absences, I'm backing BC to cover at home and punch its ticket to Edmonton.

Covers COVERS INTEL: BC ranks first in rushing yards allowed per game (71.3), and the Lions haven't lost a home playoff game since 2012. 

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Roughriders vs Lions total prediction: Under 58.5 (-105)

BC's offence has somewhat reinvented itself in 2026, featuring a two-headed monster of Zander Horvath and James Butler in the backfield.

The duo combined for 1,433 rushing yards and 23 touchdowns during the regular season, with Horvath leading the CFL with 18 rushing scores. The Lions finished second in rushing offence, averaging 118.7 yards per game and 5.9 yards per carry.

I expect a more methodical, ground-heavy approach from the Leos, featuring longer, sustained drives that should help keep this game Under the total.

Meanwhile, Riders' QB Trevor Harris has cooled off considerably, throwing eight interceptions over his final nine starts. Saskatchewan will struggle to keep pace with BC, so the Under is playable to 56.5.

Roughriders vs Lions same-game parlay

Pairing the Lions with the Under tells a clear story: BC controls the game with Rourke’s efficiency and a steady ground attack, and Saskatchewan can’t keep pace against a Lions defence clicking at the right time. 

A final in the neighbourhood of 27-17 cashes both legs.

Roughriders vs Lions SGP

  • Lions -6.5
  • Under 58.5

Roughriders vs Lions weather

Dome.

Roughriders vs Lions odds

  • Spread: Roughriders +6.5 (-110) | Lions -6.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Roughriders +240 | Lions -298
  • Over/Under: Over 58.5 (-115) | Under 58.5 (-105)

Roughriders vs Lions key injuries

Roughriders: FB Albert Awachie (Out), WR Dylan Djete (Out), DL Lake Korte-Moore (Out), WR James Letcher Jr. (Out), DB Nelson Lokombo (Out), FB Morgen Runge (Out).
Lions: DL Levi Bell (Out), DL T.J. Burke (Out), WR Nick Cenacle (Out), DL Nathan Cherry (Out), DB Jett Elad (Out), DL David Gusta (Out), K Mark McNamee (Out), DB Patrice Rene (Out), DL Matt Spatny (Out).

Roughriders vs Lions trend

Saskatchewan is 3-7 ATS over the last 10 head-to-head matchups. 

How to watch Roughriders vs Lions and game info

Location BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Date Saturday, Oct. 31, 2026
Kick-off 4:30 p.m. ET
TV TSN

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Betting Analyst

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Indianapolis Colts and Toronto Blue Jays fan.

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