Argonauts vs Roughriders Prediction, Picks & Odds for CFL Week 4

Ben Kramer- Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ben Kramer • Betting Analyst 0+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 25, 2026 , 05:25 PM ET • 4 min read

While the Roughriders may be the team in the better spot, our CFL expert believes Chad Kelly let it fly and rack up the passing yards.

CFL

Match starts: 25 hrs
SSK
46 %
TOR
54 %
Bet Now
Toronto Argonauts quarterback Chad Kelly.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Argonauts quarterback Chad Kelly.

The Saskatchewan Roughriders find themselves in the exceptionally odd situation of playing a road game in Mosaic Stadium versus the visiting Toronto Argonauts on Friday night.

With BMO Field hosting World Cup matches, the Argos are playing their home opener in Regina as 3.5-point underdogs to the visiting Roughriders, who will be playing in their all-white “Prairie Blizzard” uniforms.

I’ll make sure the CFL picks in the Argonauts vs. Roughriders predictions make a bit more sense than this whole situation does.

It looks like a shootout is brewing on the prairies for Friday night.

Who will win Argonauts vs Roughriders: Roughriders (-218)

The Saskatchewan Roughriders have covered -1.5 point spreads in each of their first two games this season, but came away with a last-minute win versus the BC Lions, while needing overtime to beat the Calgary Stampeders.

The Toronto Argonauts are a much better team with Chad Kelly at quarterback now than they were in 2025 with a whole mess of backup quarterbacks under center for the season.

I trust the Roughriders to win this game, but the current 3.5 point spread makes me uncomfortable, so I’m choosing to play the Moneyline instead.

If there were line movement before kickoff, I’d gladly take the Roughriders spread up to -2.5.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Argonauts vs Roughriders best bet: Chad Kelly Over 313.5 pass yards

 (-118 at BET99)

Toronto Argonauts quarterback Chad Kelly’s career average is 10 yards per pass attempt. He has averaged 11.1 yards per attempt through two games this season, while compiling a staggering 869 passing yards in those two contests.

The Saskatchewan Roughriders defence is missing a number of important pieces in the secondary, and Chad Kelly is poised to take advantage of that.

I’d bet Over on his passing yards line up to 328.5 at -115.

Covers COVERS INTEL: My model projects Toronto Argonauts quarterback Chad Kelly for 345.8 yards on 36.5 pass attempts.

Argonauts vs Roughriders same-game parlay

Both of these teams are banged up defensively while averaging a combined 72 points scored per game, so I’m happy to lean into the Over at 57.5 up to 59.5 to go along with the Saskatchewan Roughriders Moneyline I mentioned above.

Both of Saskatchewan’s games this season covered the Over easily, by 5.5 and 26.5 points respectively.

Toronto has covered the Over in both of their two games by 12.5 and 15.5 points, respectively.

My model projects the Roughriders to pass for 9.79 YPA and the Argos for 9.54 YPA in a truly “Defence Optional” shootout.  

Argonauts vs Roughriders SGP

  • Saskatchewan 
  • Over 57.5

Argonauts vs Roughriders weather

The forecast in Regina is for temperatures around 22C with winds from 25-40kph.

Mosaic Stadium is built with the playing surface well below ground level to mitigate the effects of wind on the passing game, but it can still play a significant role in the kicking game.

When winds crack 40kph there, punts and kicks can seemingly hit a wall when they get above ground level.

I’ll be watching to see which team has the wind at their back each quarter to potentially play Quarter Spreads in their favor.

Argonauts vs Roughriders odds

  • Spread: Argonauts +3.5 | Roughriders -3.5
  • Moneyline: Argonauts +180 | Roughriders -218
  • Over/Under: Over 57.5 | Under 57.5

Argonauts vs Roughriders key injuries

Argonauts: DeWayne Hendrix DL (OUT), Ethan John DB (OUT), Robert Priester DB (OUT), Kevin Mital WR (Probable).

Roughriders:
Rolan Milligan Jr. DB (OUT), Jayden Dalke LB (OUT), Juwuane Hughes DB (OUT), Nelson Lokombo DB (OUT), Benoit Marion DL (OUT), Dhel Duncan-Busby WR (OUT), A.J. Ouellette RB (Doubtful), KeeSean Johnson WR (Probable), James Vaughters DL (Probable).

Argonauts vs Roughriders trend

The Saskatchewan Roughriders were 7-3 at Mosaic Stadium in 2025, while the Toronto Argonauts were 2-7 on the road.

How to watch Argonauts vs Roughriders and game info

Location Mosaic Staadium, Regina, SK
Date Friday, June 26, 2026
Kick-off 9 p.m. ET
TV TSN

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Ben Kramer
Betting Analyst

From an early age, Ben had a strong desire to mix his love of sports and making money. His first taste of the action came around age eight while helping his dad try to win his office NHL auction draft. By the time he was in high school, he was running a profitable weekly NFL pool while taking bets from both staff and students at his school. His awards in vocal jazz and competitive physics exams gave him numerous career paths to pursue following high school, so the obvious choices were degrees in philosophy and New Testament theology at Briercrest College and Seminary.

His big opportunity to step into the sports content provider world opened up when DraftKings began offering CFL contests in 2016 and he was the only person in the world who knew what both DFS and the CFL were. He quickly made his way from posting in the forums on DailyRoto.com to writing weekly articles, and shortly thereafter, becoming the provider of statistical projections and fantasy/gaming content on the CFL league website, with weekly shows on the Sportsnet radio network. He spent three years creating CFL and CFB prop projections at Unabated.com and he currently publishes CFL fantasy and props projections on his Substack, Onside CFL Fantasy & Props.

Ben helped many families pay for vacations through betting CFL player props, and spends his days stalking the CFL prop offerings on bet365.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo