Two teams that badly need wins to stay in the postseason race will face off tonight as the Dallas Wings host the Washington Mystics.
Washington won the first two meetings between these teams, and my Mystics vs. Wings predictions are expecting them to give Detroit fits again. Find out why in my WNBA picks for September 3.
Mystics vs Wings predictions
My best bet
Mystics +6 (-112 at FanDuel)
My analysis
The Washington Mystics and Dallas Wings have suffered through surprisingly similar seasons in 2024. They have identical records, and each have gone 4-6 in their last 10 as they try to make their respective playoff pushes.
One thing separates these teams, however, and that's the outcome of the two meetings.
The Mystics came out on top in both games, winning both ends of a back-to-back in Washington in June by 28 and eight points, respectively. Playing into Dallas’ defensive weaknesses, the Mystics were able to score over 90 points each game.
What’s worrisome for Dallas is there’s not a single player it needs to stop in order to slow down this onslaught. The Mystics had four players who scored at least 13 points in the first game, followed by five scoring in double figures the next night.
It’s possible oddsmakers think the Mystics will be weakened somewhat tonight without Shakira Austin. The Washington big woman has been out since August 26 after suffering a left ankle injury, the latest injury for the young talent who has struggled to stay on the court as a professional.
Austin's 12.6 points and 7.3 rebounds per game aren't easy to replace. However, she's only played in 11 games this season, and she missed both games Washington played against Dallas — which didn’t seem to slow down the Mystics then.
And it’s not as though the Mystics have been significantly better when Austin has been on the court, as they’ve gone just 2-9 in those 11 games.
Despite Washington’s earlier success against Dallas, bookmakers have installed the Wings as the clear favorites tonight. While Dallas should have a better shot at hanging with the Mystics at home, I can’t see a reason why they should be giving this many points to a team that, at worst, is on equal footing with them, and might just have their number.
Mystics vs Wings same-game parlay (SGP)
While the Over has hit in the first two matchups, sportsbooks have moved the total up significantly, and these teams don’t typically play to scores Over 175 points.
To round out the SGP, let’s place a bet on Ariel Atkins to score Over 14.5 points tonight. Atkins has hit this total in four of his last five games overall and is averaging 15.3 ppg on the year to lead the Mystics.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Mystics vs Wings odds
Mystics vs Wings live odds
Get the latest Mystics vs Wings WNBA odds for tonight.
Mystics vs Wings opening odds
- Spread: Washington +4.5 (-105) | Dallas -4.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Washington +155 | Dallas -190
- Over/Under: Over 172.5 (-105) | Under 172.5 (-115)
Mystics vs Wings spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Mystics have a 20-11-1 record against the spread this year, while the Wings have gone just 11-20 ATS in 2024.
- Washington is 2-0 straight up against Dallas this year and is also 2-0 ATS.
- The Over holds a 19-11-1 advantage when the Wings have played this year. The Mystics have been dead even on the total, with both the Over and the Under going 16-16.
- Dallas is playing to an average total of 174.4 ppg, with Washington averaging a total of 162.3 points.
Mystics vs Wings trend
The Mystics are 4-1 ATS in their last five. Find more WNBA betting trends for Mystics vs. Wings.
Mystics vs Wings game info
Location: | College Park Center, Arlington, TX |
Date: | Tuesday, 9-3-2024 |
Tip-off: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
TV: | Monumental Sports Network, Bally Sports Southwest Extra |
Mystics vs Wings latest injuries
Mystics: Shakira Austin F (Out).
Wings: No injuries to report.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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