Best WNBA Player Props Today: Picks & Predictions: Thursday, Sept. 17

Aisha Quiñones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Aisha Quiñones • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 17, 2026 , 04:56 PM ET • 4 min read

As the WNBA regular season enters its home stretch, high-caliber talent takes center stage for Thursday night's slate highlighted by our experts' top player prop picks.

Alyssa Thomas Phoenix Mercury WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Phoenix Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas (25) dribbles the ball against the LA Sparks in the first half at the Galen Center.

As the WNBA regular season enters its final stretch, tonight's slate offers high-stakes action and marquee matchups across the board.

Our experts break down the top WNBA player props for Thursday night, anchored by high-impact plays on Jessica Shepard, Alyssa Thomas, and A'ja Wilson.

Let's get right to it with our WNBA picks for Sept. 17.

WNBA player props today

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Pick Kalshi
Probability
Wings Jessica Shepard 15+ points 58%
Mercury Alyssa Thomas 9+ assists 55%
Aces A'ja Wilson Over 9.5 rebounds 48%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Sparks vs Wings prop: Jessica Shepard 15+ points

Kalshi probability: 58%

Jessica Shepard has an even bigger runway to take off in the Wings' final regular-season matchups with Fudd sidelined and Smith's return unclear.

Shepard averaged 18.8 PPG in her last four contests prior to the World Cup, and I'm penciling her in for 10+ FGA tonight. She poured in 22 points against the Sparks back in June, and she's shooting almost 60% from the field this year.

With Paige Bueckers pulling the strings, there should be some easy looks for the Dallas Wings veteran.

Check out Tom Oldfield's full Sparks vs. Wings predictions.

Mercury vs Fire prop: Alyssa Thomas 9+ assists

Kalshi probability: 55%

Alyssa Thomas has been one of the best playmakers in the WNBA this season, averaging 8.4 assists per game to go along with 14.2 points and 7.7 rebounds. When the Phoenix Mercury offense is working, it goes through Thomas, who has picked up at least nine assists in five of her last six games.

The last time Thomas faces off against Portland she nearly compiled a triple-double, an effort that included dishing out nine assists. The Portland Fire allow opponents to tally more assists per game (23.0) than any team in the WNBA, and Thomas will take full advantage of that tonight. 

Check out Ed Scimia's full Mercury vs. Fire predictions.

Aces vs Storm prop: A'ja Wilson Over 9.5 rebounds

Kalshi probability: 48%

The Seattle Storm have surrendered the second-most rebounds to opponents (36.4), and they sport the third-worst defensive rebound percentage (66.3).

A'ja Wilson has corralled 10+ rebounds in nearly half of her 37 games (18 times), and she reached that mark in her lone matchup with the Storm.

Ezi Magbegor’s season-ending ACL injury cuts Seattle’s frontcourt depth. Seattle leads the W in pace and FGA across its last 10 games, offering increased rebounding chances for Wilson.

I’ll trade this one to 50%.

Check out Zak Hanshew's full Aces vs. Storm predictions.

How to trade WNBA player props today

Player props allow WNBA fans to trade on a player’s total points, assists, rebounds, 3-pointers made, and a number of individual statistics like combo markets.

Just like standard Over/Under odds, prediction markets like Kalshi will set a projected total number for those stats, and traders can predict whether the player or team will have Over or Under that total.

What is Kalshi?

Kalshi is a federally regulated platform for trading event outcomes on prediction markets. Traders can buy and sell simple, transparent contracts that settle based on the outcome of real-world events. Markets revolve around a yes/no proposition, with prices adjusting dynamically based on traders’ perceived probability that the event will occur. When the event concludes, if you are correct, the contract “honors” at a predetermined price; if you are incorrect, it expires at $0.

WNBA player props FAQs

What are the best WNBA player props today?

  • Jessica Shepard 15+ points
  • Alyssa Thomas 9+ assists
  • A'ja Wilson Over 9.5 rebounds

Where can I trade on WNBA player props?

Kalshi is a regulated prediction market that is federally legal in all 50 states.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

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Aisha Quiñones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Hailing from Harlem, New York, Aisha Quiñones joined Covers in 2024 after an illustrious career with several other major media outlets. A proud Johnnie, after graduating from the Big East basketball powerhouse St. John's University, Quiñones earned her bachelor's degree in sport management and journalism, then obtained her master's degree in media studies from The New School.

Over a span of 12+ years, Quiñones has built her portfolio as a writer, dipped her toe into on-camera work, and also been behind the scenes in producing sports content.

Despite being a New Yorker, Quiñones has always been a lifelong Los Angeles Lakers fan thanks to her mom's joy of watching Kobe Bryant play — so much of a fan to the point that Quiñones named her toy poodle after the late-great legend.

Her hometown roots stay true to her MLB and WNBA choice in teams, as a Yankees and Liberty fan, due to her uncle and grandmother's love for the sports throughout her childhood.

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