The Las Vegas Aces travel to Climate Pledge Arena to take on the Seattle Storm as the teams start the first of a two-game series that will shift to Las Vegas on Sunday.
A’ja Wilson has dominated as a scorer on the road, and my free WNBA picks & Aces vs. Storm prediction call for another strong performance.
Read on to see why I’m taking Wilson to cruise past lowly point and rebound lines while she guides the Aces to a double-digit road win on Thursday, Sept. 17.
TOP PICK
Aces vs Storm prediction: A’ja Wilson Over 24.5 points (64%)
WNBA leading scorer A’ja Wilson averages 24.7 ppg at home compared to 27.2 on the road, and she’s gone for 25+ in 12 of 19 away from Michelob Ultra Arena. She leads all players averaging 25+ mpg in Usage Rate (31.8).
The reigning MVP has scored 25+ in four of her last five overall and five of her last seven on the road.
Across her last 15, Wilson has averaged 26.7 ppg and hit the Over 11 times. She provided 34 points against the Seattle Storm at home on June 8.
Trade to 60%.
COVERS INTEL: Wilson has scored at least 25 points in 21 of 37 games thanks in large part to her elite efficiency on high-volume shooting. She leads the W in FGA on the road (17.8), but despite the high volume, her 54.1 FG% is the most efficient among 23 players taking at least 12 shots per game.
Aces vs Storm combo
The Las Vegas Aces have been one of the best road teams in the W this season, ranking Top 6 in Offensive and Defensive Ratings, TS%, EFG% and fewest turnovers.
Seattle has been a Top-5 defense but a Bottom-3 offense at home. Key injuries and poor offensive play give Las Vegas the edge to win this one comfortably.
Both teams have played in low-scoring affairs as of late thanks to effective defensive play. Seattle has hit the Under in four straight home games, and LV has done so in six of its last seven overall.
Play to 173.5.
Aces vs Storm combo
- A’ja Wilson Over 24.5 points
- Aces -9.5
- Under 175.5
Want more basketball combos? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
- Top picks: 30-37, -9.61 units
- Combos: 7-60, -23 units
Aces vs Storm odds
- Spread: Aces -9.5 (57%) | Storm +9.5 (48%)
- Moneyline: Aces 81% | Storm 19%
- Over/Under: Over 174.5 (54%) | Under 174.5 (51%)
Aces vs Storm trend
The Las Vegas Aces have won 7 out of the last 10 head-to-head matchups against the Seattle Storm. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Aces vs Storm
| Location | Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, Wash. |
| Date | Thursday, Sept. 17, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | KMCC, KUNS |
Aces vs Storm latest injuries
Aces: No injuries to report.
Storm: Jordan Horston (Questionable), Jade Melbourne (Questionable), Katie Lou Samuelson (Out), Ezi Magbegor (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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