After splitting the first two games of the season series, the New York Liberty and Minnesota Lynx meet for the rubber match tonight at Target Center.
Rookie Olivia Miles is an elite scorer at home, and my Liberty vs. Lynx predictions and WNBA picks expect her to show out once again.
Read on to see why I’m taking Miles to score 20+ for the 21st time this season as she and Napheesa Collier lead the Lynx to victory in a high-scoring affair.
TOP PICK
Liberty vs Lynx prediction: Olivia Miles Over 19.5 points
Olivia Miles has been a more effective scorer at home, averaging 20.3 at Target Center and just 19.1 at all other venues. She’s scored 20+ in 20 of 38 games overall and 11 of 19 at home.
Miles has been an effective scorer with Napheesa Collier in the lineup to attract defensive attention, and the rookie has scored 20+ in eight of 12 games alongside the superstar.
New York ranks 14th in Defensive Rating on the road, and the Liberty have given up 92.8 ppg compared to just 81 surrendered at home.
Play to 21.5.
COVERS INTEL: Among players averaging 20+ minutes and 2+ 3PA at home, Miles ranks second in three-point percentage at a healthy 49.5%. Miles also ranks ninth in 3 PM at home (2.4), and New York has allowed the second-most 3 PM (10) and second-highest 3P% to opponents (38%) on the road.
Liberty vs Lynx combo
The Liberty sport the worst road ATS record in the W at 3-16, and NY has failed to cover in 12 straight road contests. Minnesota is 10-10 ATS at home, and the Lynx rank third with a 7.7-point differential. Play to 7.5.
Minnesota is 14-6 to the Over at home, and NY is 15-4 to the Over on the road. Both are top marks in the league, and the Over has hit in both H2H matchups this season.
Despite NY’s defensive struggles on the road, the team ranks third in Offensive Rating.
Liberty vs Lynx combo
- Olivia Miles Over 19.5 points
- Lynx -6.5
- Over 178.5
Want more basketball combos? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
- Top picks: 31-37, -8.53 units
- Combos: 7-61, -24.00 units
Liberty vs Lynx odds
- Spread: Liberty +6.5 | Lynx -6.5
- Moneyline: Liberty 28% | Lynx 72%
- Over/Under: Over 178.5 | Under 178.5
Liberty vs Lynx trend
New York has failed to cover the spread in 14 of its last 15 road games. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Liberty vs Lynx
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Friday, Sept. 18, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ION |
Liberty vs Lynx latest injuries
Liberty: Satou Sabally (OFS)
Lynx: Anastasiia Olairi Kosu (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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