The Indiana Fever limp into Mortgage Matchup Arena to face the Phoenix Mercury on the second leg of a back-to-back set. Missing Caitlin Clark, they’ll look to get back in the win column following a loss to the Los Angeles Sparks on Wednesday.
Kahleah Copper hasn’t met a shot she didn’t like this season, and my Fever vs. Mercury predictions expect Copper to be gold for the Mercury in a favorable home matchup against a shorthanded team with tired legs.
Read on in my WNBA picks to see why I’m taking the Over on Copper’s points prop and how I’m crafting a +600 SGP with Kelsey Mitchell’s three-pointers and a plus-money Aliyah Boston combo for Thursday, July 9.
Fever vs Mercury prediction
Fever vs Mercury best bet: Kahleah Copper Over 20.5 points (+110)
Volume has been king for Kahleah Copper this season, as she ranks second in FGA (16.1), eighth in three-point attempts (6.3) and third in free throw attempts (7.2).
Her ability to draw contact and get to the line will be highly beneficial tonight, as the Indiana Fever allow the most FTA to opponents at 25.5 per game.
Over the last eight games, no player has put up Copper’s 26.8 points per game, and she scored 21+ six times in that span. Indiana has allowed the fourth-most ppg to opponents, making this one playable to 23.5.
COVERS INTEL: Kahleah Copper has averaged just 17.5 points per game on the road, but her 24.4 points per game at home ranks second in the WNBA behind only A’ja Wilson.
Fever vs Mercury same-game parlay
Copper ranks first in PPG over the last eight games, and Kelsey Mitchell is right behind her at 25.4. In that span, Mitchell also ranks second in three-pointers made at a healthy 3.8 on 51.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Phoenix Mercury have allowed the second-highest three-point percentage at 36.9. Play to 3.5.
Natasha Mack ranks 15th in Defensive Rating and third in Rebound Percentage among players averaging 25+ mpg this season. Her absence opens up the paint for Aliyah Boston, who posted 23 points and nine boards in her last tilt against Phoenix sans Mack.
Fever vs Mercury SGP
- Kahleah Copper Over 20.5 points
- Kelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 three-pointers
- Aliyah Boston to Record a Double-Double
- Best bet: 15-18, -4.47 units
- SGP: 4-29, -7.4 units
- Player prop: 3-4, -1.41 units
Fever vs Mercury odds
- Spread: Indiana +1.5 | Phoenix -1.5
- Moneyline: Indiana +100 | Phoenix -120
- Over/Under: Over 170.5 | Under 170.5
Fever vs Mercury trend
Phoenix has won three of the last four head-to-head matchups with Indiana. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Fever vs Mercury
| Location | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date | Thursday, July 9, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Fever vs Mercury latest injuries
Fever: Caitlin Clark (back) ruled out.
Mercury: Natasha Mack (foot) ruled out.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
