UFC Fight Night: Baeza vs Sato picks and predictions

Nov 22, 2020 |
UFC Fight Night: Baeza vs Sato picks and predictions
Takashi Sato spent most of his MMA career outside of the UFC, but he is 7-2 in his previous nine fights—with all seven victories coming by knockout.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Takashi Sato spent most of his MMA career outside of the UFC, but he is 7-2 in his previous nine fights—with all seven victories coming by knockout.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Miguel Baeza vs. Takashi Soto is on the main card at UFC Fight Night betting on Saturday, November 28 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.  

This fight should have plenty of fireworks as two exciting and powerful strikers enter the octagon. UFC odds have Baeza installed as a -188 favorite while Soto comes back at +152. 

We break down the UFC betting odds for this welterweight war as we bring you our picks and predictions for Baeza vs. Soto at UFC Fight Night on November 28.

Baeza vs Sato Fight Odds

Method of Victory Miguel Baeza Takashi Sato
Win outright -184 +154
Win by KO/TKO +125 +270
Win by points +470 +550
Win by submission +1,200 +1,800
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel

Baeza vs Sato Betting Preview

Miguel “Caramel Thunder” Baeza is coming off a second-round knockout over UFC veteran Matt Brown in May. The 28-year-old is now 9-0 in his career, including 2-0 since entering the UFC.

Baeza is a dangerous striker with explosive knockout power, as seven of his nine career wins have come by KO/TKO. 

 

Sato is fresh off an impressive 48-second TKO win over UFC newcomer Jason Witt in June. That victory allowed him to bounce back from a submission loss to Belal Muhammed last September and improved his record to 2-1 at the UFC level.

The 30-year-old has spent much of his MMA career with Japanese promotions like Pancrase and is 7-2 in his previous nine fights—with all seven victories coming by knockout. Like Baeza, Sato prefers to stand up and rely on his high-volume striking and heavy hands. 

Baeza vs Sato Tale of the Tape

Miguel Baeza   Takashi Sato
28 Age 30
6-foot-2 Height 5-foot-10
170 lbs Weight 170 lbs
75.5 inches Reach 73 inches
9-0-0 (7 KO) Record 16-3-0 (11 KO)

Baeza vs Sato UFC Prediction and Betting Pick

PREDICTION: Sato to win +152 - This should be a terrific fight between a pair of fighters with dynamite in their hands. Although Baeza is fresh off a victory over a fairly big name in Brown, the 39-year-old Brown is on the decline of his career and still almost picked up a first-round knockout when Baeza began the fight tentatively.

If Baeza comes out flat again he could be on the back foot against a pressure fighter like Sato, who likes to bang and string together combos. Sato definitely has a puncher's chance in this one, which gives him great value at +152 against a relatively inexperienced fighter like Baeza.

 

Where Can I Bet on UFC Fight Night Odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available. 

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