Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi predictions take center stage on the UFC 331 main card this Saturday at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, where Choi is favored to continue his three-fight knockout streak against the former Bellator champion.
Check out the latest UFC odds and free picks for Saturday's featherweight showdown.
Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi predictions for UFC 331
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
| Who will win: Dooho Choi | 72% |
| Top pick: Choi by KO/TKO | 48% |
| Prop: Fight ends before Round 3 | 59% |
| Combo | 1.89x |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Who will win Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi: Choi (72% Probability)
When Patricio Pitbull finally arrived in the UFC, fans got the chance to see how one of Bellator's greatest fighters would fare against the promotion's featherweights. What's become increasingly clear is that this is no longer the version of Pitbull who dominated Bellator. His movement and output have declined, and that's a dangerous combination against a pressure striker like Choi. At this stage of their careers, Choi is the fresher and more dangerous offensive fighter.
Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi top pick: Choi by KO/TKO (48% Probability)
Choi by KO/TKO is my top pick. Pitbull still possesses tremendous experience and technical knowledge, but his recent UFC performances suggest his physical tools can no longer consistently support them.
Choi, meanwhile, has stopped each of his last three opponents and owns 14 knockouts in 17 career victories. If Pitbull can't discourage him early, Choi's pressure and heavier combinations should increasingly force the former Bellator champion onto the defensive until the damage finally adds up.
COVERS INTEL: Choi has recorded knockouts in 14 of his 17 career victories and enters UFC 331 riding three consecutive stoppage wins.Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi prop: Fight ends before Round 3 (59% Probability)
Too many indicators point toward a finish for me to trust this fight to reach the scorecards. Choi remains an aggressive finisher with legitimate power, while Pitbull's defensive reactions and ability to maintain his preferred pace have diminished with age.
I expect Choi's pressure and damage to produce a stoppage before the horn sounds to start Round 3.
Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi combo
Choi has the size, pressure, and punching power to force Pitbull into uncomfortable exchanges, while the former Bellator champion no longer appears mobile enough to consistently escape them.
The three legs tell the same story: Choi wins, does it with his hands, and gets Pitbull out of there early. If Choi establishes his pressure from the opening bell, I expect Pitbull's defense to deteriorate as the fight progresses, creating an opportunity for a knockout before the third round.
Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi odds
|
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Patricio Pitbull | Dooho Choi |
| To win outright | 30% | 70% |
| To win by KO/TKO | 16% | 48% |
| To win by decision | 24% | 40% |
| To win by submission | 16% | 17% |
| Fight goes the distance | Yes 51% |
No 85% |
Odds as of 9-17.
Choi is a commanding 70% favorite, and the market also makes his KO/TKO victory the most appealing individual outcome at 48%.
Pitbull still receives meaningful support in the decision market, but I'm siding with Choi's finishing upside rather than laying the outright price.
Pitbull's declining movement and output create a difficult matchup against Choi's pressure, size, and power.
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Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi tale of the tape
| Patricio Pitbull | Dooho Choi | |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Age | 35 |
| 5-foot-6 | Height | 5-foot-9 |
| Featherweight | Weight Class | Featherweight |
| 65.5 inches | Reach | 70 inches |
| 37-9 | Record | 17-4-1 |
| 12 | Wins by KO | 14 |
| 12 | Wins by submission | 1 |
Choi owns considerable physical advantages, standing three inches taller with a 4.5-inch reach advantage, and he's been the far more dangerous finisher lately.
Pitbull remains the more accomplished grappler, but at 39, his experience may not compensate for the size, youth, and offensive advantages Choi brings to this matchup.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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