Gable Steveson enters UFC 331 as a massive 92% favorite against Sean Sharaf, and my Steveson vs. Delgado predictions break down why he’ll achieve an early finish in Los Angeles.
Check out the latest UFC odds and our free picks for UFC 331 on Saturday, Sept. 19, which will broadcast live from Crypto.com Arena on Paramount+.
Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf predictions for UFC 331
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
| Who will win: Steveson | 92% |
| Top pick: Fight to end by KO | 68% |
| Prop: Fight to end before Round 2 | 74% |
| Combo | 1.49x |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Who will win Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf: Steveson (92% Probability)
Gable Steveson is being hyped up as one of the next big things in a currently lackluster heavyweight division, and tonight’s bout against Sean Sharaf should serve as just another stepping stone for the 92% favorite.
Steveson is an Olympic gold medalist in freestyle wrestling and a two-time NCAA Division I champion. He’s also been training under UFC legend Jon Jones, who is expected to be in his corner at UFC 331.
Sean Sharaf has lost each of his first two UFC fights and won't stand a chance against Steveson's powerful striking and elite wrestling.
Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf top pick: Fight to end by KO (68% Probability)
We’re getting better odds for either fighter to win by KO than for a Steveson KO (73%), so why not cover both bases?
Steveson is 4-0 in his professional MMA career, with each win coming by first-round knockout. Sharaf is 4-2, with all six of his bouts ending by KO.
The massive favorite will be looking for a highlight-reel finish, and if Steveson gets too cocky, Sharaf could also find his chin.
COVERS INTEL: Steveson boasts a significant strike differential of +11.12 per minute, while Sharaf sits at -7.59.Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf prop: Fight to end before Round 2 (74% Probability)
Steveson has never seen the second round in his professional career, while four of Sharaf’s six bouts have ended within the first five minutes.
Steveson, who turned 26 in May and only made his MMA debut a year ago, is improving every time he steps into the cage.
The former Buffalo Bills defensive tackle should find another early finish against Sharaf, who’s been knocked out in both of his prior UFC tilts.
Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf combo
I’m expecting Steveson to make easy work of Sharaf, but it makes sense to cover both bases for a knockout finish.
However, if everything goes according to plan for Steveson, it’ll be an easy night and another first-round KO added to his resume.
Playable up to 72%.
Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf odds
|
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Gable Steveson | Sean Sharaf |
| To win outright | 92% | 8% |
| To win by KO/TKO | 73% | 9% |
| To win by decision | 6% | 5% |
| To win by submission | 15% | 3% |
| Fight to go the distance | Yes 10% |
No 93% |
Odds as of 9-18.
Oddsmakers and bettors are leaning heavily toward Steveson, who is being hyped as an exciting up-and-comer in the promotion.
A Steveson knockout is also the most likely outcome at Kalshi (73%), which lines up with his track record of four straight wins by KO.
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Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf tale of the tape
| Gable Steveson | Sean Sharaf | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Age | 33 |
| 6-foot-1 | Height | 6-foot-3 |
| Heavyweight | Weight Class | Heavyweight |
| 74 inches | Reach | 77 inches |
| 4-0 | Record | 4-2 |
| 4 | Wins by KO | 4 |
| 0 | Wins by submission | 0 |
Sharaf will have an advantage in both height and reach, but those are the only edges he'll have against Steveson, who is by all accounts the better athlete and the much younger man.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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