Super Bowl LX will be played in an open-air venue, with Levi’s Stadium hosting the Big Game for the first time since 2021.
For someone who’s watched the weather and how it impacts NFL odds and outcomes all season, the thought of a Super Bowl LX weather breakdown is exciting (I know, I'm a nerd).
And we may actually see something besides that classic Santa Clara sunshine on Super Sunday.
Here’s my Seahawks vs. Patriots weather report and what it could mean for the Super Bowl odds ahead of February 8.
Seahawks vs Patriots weather forecast
The extended forecast for Levi’s Stadium looked clear last week, but as game day approaches, some weather models are now showing a chance of rain for Super Bowl LX.
Sunday afternoon in Santa Clara (6:30 p.m. ET / 3:30 p.m. PT) carries up to a 35% chance of precipitation, with any potential showers expected to move through as the game progresses into the evening.
Other weather services project a lower likelihood of rain for Super Bowl LX, putting the chances closer to 18-20%.
All forecasts agree on a cloudy Sunday, which should keep temperatures in the mid-60s during the first half before dipping into the high-50s over the final 30 minutes.
Sustained winds are expected to remain below 10 mph (4-7 mph), with gusts reaching up to 18 mph from the WNW, blowing end-to-end across Levi’s Stadium. Other models indicate lighter winds, with gusts staying under 10 mph.
As always, weather conditions can change quickly, so be sure to check the latest forecasts for Levi’s Stadium before placing your Big Game bets.
How Seahawks vs Patriots weather impacts the odds
Most meteorological models set up ideal conditions for the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots, especially considering the weather the AFC champs have faced in the postseason.
There is, however, the forecast produced by AccuWeather for February 8 that hints at a chance of rain for Super Bowl LX — at least in the first half.
While light showers are nothing new to teams from New England and Seattle, rain does have an impact.
Ball security is the biggest issue, as slick footballs can lead to botched snaps, decreased grip from quarterbacks, tougher touches by receivers, and a spike in fumbles from ball carriers.
The Seahawks led the NFL with 13 lost fumbles in the regular season but have yet to put the ball on the ground in two playoff games. Seattle’s defense has cooked up 10 takeaways via fumbles, with three of those coming in two postseason showings.
Meanwhile, the Patriots had eight lost fumbles in the regular season and have done so three times in their three playoff outings. New England’s defense has 11 total fumble recoveries, with two coming in the tournament.
As for receiver drops, Sam Darnold and Drake Maye are blessed with two of the more sure-handed receiving corps in the league. Darnold has seen his targets whiff on receptions at a 3.3% rate, while Maye’s drop percentage is the fourth lowest among regular starters (2.8%).
The playing surface at Levi’s Stadium is Bermuda grass and has been notorious for becoming slippery when temperatures drop and conditions turn wet. However, with the Super Bowl on the schedule and the World Cup coming this summer, the venue underwent a $200 million renovation during the offseason.
Those investments included significant upgrades to the field. Advanced heating and drainage systems were installed, along with LED lighting to promote turf growth and enhanced technology to monitor the integrity of the natural grass surface.
How to bet Super Bowl LX weather
The game total for Super Bowl LX opened as high as 46.5 and has since dipped to 45.5 O/U as of this writing. If rain does materialize and impacts the outcome, its influence would most likely be felt in the first half.
Derivative markets list the first-half total at 22.5 points, while first-quarter numbers range from 7.5 to 9.5 O/U, depending on the sportsbook and vig.
I tend to lean Under in the first quarter of most Super Bowls. Teams are coming off a two-week layoff, and emotions and nerves are usually at their peak. Quarterbacks can look tight on early throws, receivers sometimes let Big Game jitters turn into drops, and defensively, players are flying around looking to make an early statement before things settle down.
In fact, just 130 total points have been scored in the first quarter of the past 18 Super Bowls — an average of 7.2 points per opening frame. Light rain in Santa Clara could further suppress scoring early in Super Bowl LX.
Seattle has been the league’s best first-quarter offense, averaging 7.0 points in the opening frame. Their defense has been just as strong, allowing only 2.8 first-quarter points per game. The Seahawks went 9-10 O/U against the first-quarter total during the regular season and are 2-0 O/U in that market during the playoffs.
New England averages 6.5 first-quarter points while allowing 4.2 points against. The Patriots were the top first-quarter Over team in the regular season at 13-7 O/U and have gone 1-2 O/U in the first quarter during the postseason.
Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
