Before Super Bowl 60 gets underway, we’ve gathered our top same-game parlays & NFL picks from our lead betting experts for Sunday, February 8.
Jason Logan's best Seahawks vs Patriots SGP for Super Bowl LX
Say what you will about the New England Patriots’ schedule, but there’s no denying they’ve yet to face a two-way team as dominant as the Seattle Seahawks.
Seattle has multiple ways to win this game and a much clearer path to the confetti, while the Patriots will need some game-changing plays to pull off an upset.
Rashid Shaheed has seen his output limited by zone-heavy schemes since arriving in Seattle at the trade deadline. Now, the speedy wide receiver faces a Patriots secondary that relies on man coverage, giving him plenty of one-on-one opportunities with defenses keyed on JSN. Projections sit as high as 30 yards.
Sam Darnold’s performance in the NFC title game hasn’t gotten enough credit. The Seattle quarterback has recovered from his oblique injury and thrives against man-heavy secondaries. He’s completed fewer than 20 passes only twice in his past seven games and will lead the Seahawks to Big Game glory.
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Josh Inglis' best Seahawks vs Patriots SGP for Super Bowl LX
Rhamondre Stevenson has cleared his rushing total in eight consecutive games, including the AFC title game where he had a monster 25-carry, 71-yard day against the Denver Broncos.
Yet books have hardly moved his rushing line, which shows a surprising lack of respect.
With Stevenson accounting for 77% of the New England Patriots' running back rushing yards this postseason, I'm happy to anchor my SGP with his rushing yards Over.
The Seattle Seahawks are the Super Bowl favorite and are therefore projected to play with the lead. I'm looking for a "Seattle runs, New England passes" game script that should have Kenneth Walker III very busy. He projects for 88 yards on the ground this Sunday.
George Holani should get the third-down pass-catching work fresh off a four-target game vs. the Los Angeles Rams.
Drake Maye will be passing, and Mack Hollins will be surprising many. Hollins could even lead the team in targets.
Rohit Ponnaiya's best Seahawks vs Patriots SGP for Super Bowl LX
The primary reason I expect the Seattle Seahawks to cover as 4.5-point favorites is that their elite defense should shut down the New England Patriots.
New England's poor blocking and lack of offensive playmakers have been exposed in the playoffs, where the Pats have averaged just 4.3 yards per play with Drake Maye taking 15 sacks.
On the other side of the ball, Seattle could have a tough time running the ball against a stout Pats run defense. However, they should have more success through the air against a defense that finished the regular season 15th in the league in dropback success rate.
The Pats benefitted from piss-poor quarterback play the last two weeks, but that won't be the case against Sam Darnold, who's coming off his second-straight Pro Bowl season. He threw for 364 yards in the NFC Championship Game, and I expect him to eclipse his passing yards prop in the Super Bowl.
He'll throw plenty of passes to Cooper Kupp since No. 1 wideout Jaxon Smith-Njigba will be shadowed by Christian Gonzalez. Kupp had five catches for 60 yards in the Divisional Round before reeling in four of six targets for 36 yards in the NFC Championship.
Neil Parker's best Seahawks vs Patriots SGP for Super Bowl LX
The Seattle Seahawks finished with the third-highest, single-season DVOA dating back to the 2018 campaign, and then they scored 72 points across their first two playoff games while ranking first in EPA per play.
The Seahawks also send out the No. 1 stop unit by defensive DVOA, so this is a tough matchup for the New England Patriots.
New England hasn’t faced an offense as complete as the Seahawks, and the Pats haven’t clicked on offense the past three weeks with just five touchdowns while ranking 10th of the 14 postseason teams in EPA per play.
Of course, the Seahawks have also covered the number in 14 of their past 18 games.
New England will need to contain Seahawks star receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba, which will open opportunities through the air for wideouts Cooper Kupp and Rashid Shaheed, and I have full confidence in Seattle quarterback Sam Darnold capitalizing on the New England secondary in Super Bowl LX.
Darnold has paced the postseason in adjusted EPA per play, success rate, and completion percentage, after all.
Additionally, Kupp has hauled in nine of 11 postseason targets for 96 yards to clear this total in consecutive games, and Shaheed is a speedy downfield threat with 27.5 and 23.0 aDoTs to start the playoffs.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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