Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Dustin Saracini -  - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Dustin Saracini • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 19, 2026 , 09:55 AM ET • 4 min read

Rays righty Drew Rasmussen has been electric, but veteran Blue Jays hurler Max Scherzer has righted the ship lately, leading to a potential pitcher's duel at The Trop.

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
TOR
38 %
TB
63 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
TOR @ TB u8.0 (-120)
Bet Now
Max Scherzer Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Max Scherzer (31) pitches against the Toronto Blue Jays during the first inning at Rogers Centre

After exploding for 15 runs last night, offense will be tough to find in Game 2 as part of my Blue Jays vs. Rays prediction.

Yes, the Toronto Blue Jays, who come into this one as +175 underdogs at BET99, will be in tough against Tampa Bay Rays ace Drew Rasmussen, but they should do enough to keep it close as they continue their tear toward the postseason.

Let’s dive into my MLB picks for Wednesday, Aug. 19, and cash another same-game parlay, shall we?

Blue Jays vs Rays predictions

Blue Jays vs Rays best bet: Under 8 (-120)

We all know Tampa Bay Rays ace Drew Rasmussen, but it's actually Max Scherzer of the Toronto Blue Jays who ultimately led me to hit this button.

After struggling to begin the season, Scherzer has found his footing over his last three starts, allowing just four earned runs in 16 1/3 innings.

He continues to shine while the Jays battle for the final Wild Card, and his chase rate has actually been elite, leaving hitters guessing at a 34% clip. He should do enough to limit the Rays' potent offense and keep us under the number here.

Rasmussen has pitched at a Cy Young level this season and has coughed up just two runs across his last 25 innings. Scary stuff if you're a Blue Jays fan.

Toronto will have to earn it today, as Rasmussen's 4.5% walk rate is the lowest of his career and puts him in the 98th percentile among pitchers. This is shaping up to be a pitcher's duel.

I'd play this up to -130.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Can Alejandro Kirk be stopped? He's registered 12 hits, two homers, and seven RBI during his seven-game hit streak, and has some of the best numbers against Rasmussen in this lineup, owning a .278 xBA.

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Blue Jays vs Rays same-game parlay (SGP)

You know my reasoning behind this potential pitcher's duel, but Kirk has been arguably the hottest hitter in baseball over the last couple of weeks — he sees a strong matchup for him tonight, too.

Rasmussen throws his sinker 22% of the time, a pitch Kirk loves to see, owning a .275 xBA and 42% hard-hit rate against it. With a low-scoring game on deck, I'll take the Jays to keep this one close as they aim for their seventh straight series win.

We cashed last night, so let's do it again.

Blue Jays vs Rays SGP

  • Under 8
  • Alejandro Kirk 2+ hits + runs + RBI
  • Blue Jays +1.5

Covers Alberta: Sports betting is now live!

Regulated Alberta sports betting has officially launched, allowing sportsbooks to operate under provincial oversight.

You can sign up and join BET99 — one of the best Alberta betting apps — now to get in on the Blue Jays action!

Blue Jays vs Rays home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+550)

Can Kazuma Okamoto stay hot? He's coming off a bomb last night, which set a new Blue Jays rookie home run record with his 25th of the season, breaking a tie with Eric Hinske. He's hit one of those against Rasmussen, against whom he owns a .544 xSLG. If we're looking for edges in this specific matchup, I'll run with Okamoto at this price.

2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets: 4-4, +2.91 units 
  • SGPs: 1-6, -0.7 units
  • HR picks: 0-7, -1.6 units

Blue Jays vs Rays odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto (+175) | Tampa Bay (-215)
  • Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-120) | Tampa Bay -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-110)  | Under 7.5 (-110)

Blue Jays vs Rays trend

The Under is 4-1 in the Blue Jays' last five games vs. the American League East. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Rays.

How to watch Blue Jays vs Rays and game info

Location Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
Date Wednesday, Aug. 19, 2026
First pitch 6:40 p.m. ET
TV Sportsnet, Rays.TV
Blue Jays starting pitcher Max Scherzer
(1-5, 6.59 ERA)
Rays starting pitcher Drew Rasmussen
(12-5, 2.78 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Rays latest injuries

Blue Jays vs Rays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Dustin Saracini
Betting Analyst

Dustin Saracini is a betting analyst at Covers with over 14 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Throughout his career, Dustin has hosted multiple betting shows- breaking down NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB markets alongside top handicappers - and has appeared as a Super Bowl consultant for CNN. A disciplined daily bettor who extensively line-shops across FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, his sharpest edges lie in MLB and the NFL (followed closely by the NHL and NBA). A self-proclaimed NRFI guru targeting his second straight +10u MLB season, Dustin holds a Broadcast Journalism degree from Western University (2014). For daily picks, market strategies, and insights, follow him on X (Twitter) @DustinSaracini.

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