The Las Vegas Aces are as much as -15.5 point favorites when they host the Connecticut Sun tonight at Michelob ULTRA Arena.
The game total has dipped considerably from its 169.5-point opener, and my Sun vs. Aces predictions and WNBA picks are expecting a higher-scoring game tonight.
Sun vs Aces prediction
Sun vs Aces best bet: Over 166.5 -105
The Connecticut Sun and Las Vegas Aces have both been inefficient lately, but tonight’s game total has dropped far enough to create value on the Over.
The Sun have scored 92.9 points per 100 possessions over their last five games, yet the Aces own a below-average 113.6 defensive rating during that span.
Las Vegas has also allowed opponents to shoot 48.4% from the field and 38.6% from three. With A’ja Wilson capable of carrying Vegas offensively, Connecticut only needs modest improvement for this game to clear 167.5 points.
That makes the dipping game total worth attacking to 168.5 points tonight.
COVERS INTEL: Across their last five games, the Sun have allowed 18 points per game from turnovers. They meet a Vegas group averaging 26 ppg in the paint during that same span.
Sun vs Aces same-game parlay
I like the Over, and since the game total dipped, the scoring props for A’ja Wilson and Olivia-Nelson Ododa are prime to attack.
The Sun are allowing nearly 39 paint points per game across the last five, and the incomparable Wilson has scored at least 25 points in five of her previous eight games.
Nelson-Ododa has seen a major spike in minutes and has scored at least 13 points in her past two. She faces an Aces defense that has surrendered 43.6 paint points per game in their previous five contests.
Sun vs Aces SGP +400
- Over 166.5
- A'ja Wilson Over 24.5 points
- Olivia Nelson-Ododa Over 13.5 points
Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
- Best bet: 15-11-1, +0.91 units
- SGP: 6-21, +1.10 units
- Player prop: 4-9, -4.65 units
Sun vs Aces odds
- Spread: Sun +13.5 | Aces -13.5
- Moneyline: Sun +600 | Aces -900
- Over/Under: Over 170.5 | Under 170.5
Sun vs Aces trend
Aces are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Sun vs Aces
| Location | Mohegan Sun Arena, Paradise, NV |
| Date | Thursday, Aug. 20, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCSB, KMCC |
Sun vs Aces latest injuries
Sun: Aaliyah Edwards (GTD), Brittney Griner (GTD).
Aces: Dana Evans (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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