Jets vs Steelers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Friday's NFL Preseason Game

Rob Paul - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rob Paul • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 20, 2026 , 11:27 AM ET • 4 min read

In a game that will likely feature young QBs taking the bulk of the snaps, the defense with more depth gets the clear advantage, especially on its home field.

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Match starts: 29 hrs
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Drew Allar Pittsburgh Steelers NFL preseason
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Drew Allar throws a pass.

Although the Pittsburgh Steelers and New York Jets are both expected to play some of their starters when they meet at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh on Friday at 7 p.m. ET (NFL Network), young QBs are likely to be the focal point of the matchup.

New York is a 1.5-point road favorite, as Pittsburgh has already announced that neither Aaron Rodgers nor Mason Rudolph will play. But my Jets vs. Steelers prediction and NFL picks back Mike McCarthy's team to win a second straight preseason game behind its defensive depth.

Jets vs Steelers prediction

Pick Kalshi
Probabillity
Steelers ML 49%
Under 36.5 50%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Who will win Jets vs Steelers: Steelers moneyline

Kalshi probability: 49%

New York Jets head coach Aaron Glenn wasn't exactly clear when asked who would play against the Pittsburgh Steelers. "The players are going to play," he said. "Things can change as we get closer to game time."

That seems to imply Geno Smith and Co. will be on the field, but for how long? New York is already dealing with injuries to star Breece Hall and first-round pick Kenyon Sadiq, so that could mean playing it safe and going to the backups after a drive or two.

The Steelers are also expected to play a few starters, with second-year QB Will Howard and rookie Drew Allar likely both playing a half. The pair combined to go 17-for-22 for 239 passing yards and three total TDs in Week 1 of the preseason.

However, the Steelers' defense should make the difference. Pittsburgh's backups dismantled the Green Bay Packers' second- and third-string O-line last week to the tune of five sacks and seven TFLs while holding them to six points after the starters were pulled. 

Jets rookie QB Cade Klubnik could be in for a long night.

Jets vs Steelers Over/Under pick: Under 36.5

Kalshi probability: 50%

New York's QB room is uninspiring, especially once Smith is pulled. Klubnik took just eight dropbacks last week against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and there wasn't much to take away from the performance. His biggest play came on a throw when Garrett Wilson bailed him out with a great catch.

This week will be a different story with the Steelers' second-string defense full of proven veterans who shut down the Packers' backups last week. Klubnik, Brady Cook, and Bailey Zappe managed just 16 points against the Buccaneers' backups a week ago.

And while Howard and Allar offer a little more upside, both took advantage of a vanilla Packers defense in Week 1 that was constantly being called for holding and DPI. Pittsburgh's second- and third-string offense is predominantly made up of rookies, and that youth could hurt the team's ability to score consistently.

The Under has been a strong bet in the preseason, going 12-4 in Week 1.

Jets vs Steelers live odds

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Jets vs Steelers weather

While weather isn't expected to have much impact during the game, rain in Pittsburgh earlier in the day could affect field conditions, with Acrisure Stadium having a grass field.

How to watch Jets vs Steelers

Location Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Date Friday, Aug. 21, 2026
Kickoff 7 p.m. ET
TV NFL Network

Jets vs Steelers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Rob Paul - Contributor at Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Rob Paul has worked in the sports betting industry for several years, primarily covering collegiate sports with a sprinkle of NFL, NBA, WNBA, and CFL. He uses a combination of advanced stats and film to find betting value, and aims to exploit specific matchups with plus-money player props.

A college sports junky, Rob's betting process tends to revolve around which games he plans on watching on a given day/week. He begins the process by looking at the college football/basketball schedule and making a list of what he plans on watching before diving into advanced numbers to help inform how to bet each matchup.

Typically, Rob bets at FanDuel and bet365, as they tend to offer a wider array of collegiate player props. Rob loves the way sports betting can act as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly Group of Six and FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball.

Before joining Covers, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network, building his college football and NFL experience and expertise while working as a full-time local community journalist.

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