Oilers vs Stars Picks & Props

Connor McDavid ranks second in the playoffs with 50 scoring chances to date and his expected goal output sits at 6.82. That has only translated to three goals. Call me crazy but I don’t think the best player in the world will continue to generate opportunities at will, yet convert on such a low percentage. Stiff competition or not, it’s a stretch to assume a career 15% shooter will continue to score on just 6.98% of his shots.

Mason Marchment is a home ice merchant. He has posted a 64% hit rate on the season but his numbers are much, much, better when playing in Dallas. Marchment has managed a 79% hit rate on home ice while averaging 2.4 shots on 4.3 attempts. Marchment’s line should spend plenty of time in the offensive zone, giving him a handful of looks to get a couple of shots on target.

Stars forward Matt Duchene will be slotted down the middle of the ice with Wyatt Johnston and Jason Robertson on his flanks. That’s a trio that should be plenty dangerous. Robertson is one of the most natural goal scorers in the league while Johnston has piled up the points whenever he’s played with Duchene. He averaged more than four points per 60 minutes of play with Duchene during the regular season. Remarkable production.