Sunday always feels a little different during the NHL season, but with just one losing day so far on the calendar, I’m hoping even Sunday can’t slow down my NHL predictions.
Cole Perfetti should be priced a lot closer to his linemates, Anton Lundell gets the chance to play BIG minutes with a top-unit power-play role, and I'll take goals in the nightcap as part of my NHL picks.
Let's break it all down for Sunday, Oct. 4.
Today's top NHL predictions
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Cole Perfetti Over 0.5 pts |
50% |
 Anton Lundell Over 0.5 points |
42% |
  Golden Knights vs. Canucks Over 6.5 |
53% |
Percentages courtesy of Novig, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Pick #1: Cole Perfetti Over 0.5 points
Even money for a Cole Perfetti point is great value in the Sunday early game. The winger played over 17 minutes on the top line and first power-play unit, finishing with an assist and four shots on goal, three of which came on the man advantage. That was against a very stingy Boston team.
Now the Winning Jets face the Detroit Red Wings, which could be one of the worst teams in hockey, with Dylan Larkin out, no center depth, and defenseman Simon Edvinsson also missing after playing 20-plus minutes per game last year.
Perfetti’s linemates, who also play on the top power play, are priced around 65-70% for a point, which is a huge difference for similar scoring opportunities. Fade the Red Wings as much as you can, and this Winnipeg offense surprised me in its opener. Hopefully, it can flirt with 3-4 goals again today on the road, where the Wings fans aren’t exactly in a great place.
- Matchup: Jets vs. Red Wings
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan
- TV: TSN3
Pick #2: Anton Lundell Over 0.5 points
With the loss of Alex Barkov, it should be Anton Lundell jumping up to the top line and taking on more minutes for the Florida Panthers. He played over 20 minutes in the 4-3 loss to the San Jose Sharks on Thursday while moving up to the top power play, which has already played 22:19 over two games — the most in the league per game.
The Ducks almost collapsed on Friday after holding a 4-0 third-period lead, eventually escaping with a 4-3 victory. There should be plenty of two-way scoring in this Sunday matchup.
Lundell will get opportunities that aren’t priced in here. If the point isn’t at a price you like, I’ll happily suggest an assist at plus money.
- Matchup: Panthers vs. Ducks
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, California
- TV: ESPN+
Pick #3: Golden Knights vs. Canucks Over 6.5
Both teams here have started profitably to the Over to begin the season, and these are two of my favorite Over targets that aren’t named the Edmonton Oilers.
The Vegas Golden Knights hit an Over against a terrible Chicago offense in their opener, then trailed 4-0 to the Ducks on Friday before showing up and scoring three third-period goals to push the game Over 6.5. Their goaltending is subpar, and that power play can erase a deficit, with goals in each game to begin the season.
The Vancouver Canucks’ offense is still being slept on and put up 13 goals in two games against the Oilers, and another four last night versus the Calgary Flames.
Hockey is still sloppy to begin the season, but Overs are hitting at 57% so far, with an even higher hit rate on the West Coast. Sunday night goals are coming.
- Matchup: Golden Knights vs. Canucks
- Time: 9 p.m. ET
- Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, British Columbia
- TV: Prime Video
- Top picks: 6-6, +1.6 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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