San Francisco 49ers

NFL Player Props

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 134.7 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer. The projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 38.0 passes this week, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks. With an exceptional rate of 2.10 per game (100th percentile), Matthew Stafford rates among the best TD passers in the league this year.

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 134.7 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer. With an elite 13.0% Red Zone Target Rate (89th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams rates among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume near the end zone in the league. Kyren Williams has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (9.0 per game) than he did last season (-2.0 per game).

The 49ers may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones. At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are expected by the model to call 68.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. The 49ers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.

The 49ers may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones. At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are expected by the model to call 68.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. The 49ers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 134.7 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer. The projections expect Puka Nacua to be a much bigger part of his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (26.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.8% in games he has played). After averaging 75.0 air yards per game last year, Puka Nacua has gotten better this year, now boasting 94.0 per game.

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 134.7 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer. This year, the strong San Francisco 49ers run defense has conceded a meager 0.56 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 6th-smallest rate in the league. The 49ers safeties rank as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

The 49ers may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones. At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are expected by the model to call 68.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. The 49ers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.