San Francisco 49ers
Picks

3rd in NFC West (5 - 3 - 0)

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SFSan Francisco

at

Sun, Nov 2 13:00 ET

SF @ NYG Picks

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SF -2.5 (-116)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 days ago

The Niners are coming off a one-sided loss to a very stout Houston team and while San Francisco stays on the road – travelling all the way to New Jersey for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff – it’s in a much better spot than the Giants. New York suffered a gutting loss at Philadelphia on Sunday, not just getting slammed by a vengeful defending champion but watching electric rookie RB and unofficial mascot Cam Skattebo go down with a gruesome ankle injury. While the G-Men are losing bodies, the 49ers are getting them back. Quarterback Brock Purdy has a good shot at returning under center after another week of practice and the pressure of Sunday’s loss forcing a change at QB. New York’s defense was already dealing with injuries in Week 8 and could be down two starting defensive backs. The Giants have allowed 26, 33 and 38 points in three of their last four contests.

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Receiving Yards

Wan'Dale Robinson o51.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 62.67 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. Our trusted projections expect Wan'Dale Robinson to total 9.3 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.. After averaging 41.0 air yards per game last season, Wan'Dale Robinson has gotten better this season, now pacing 69.0 per game.. The Giants O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Receiving Yards

George Kittle u57.5 Receiving Yards (-118)

Projection 47 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

In regards to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the San Francisco 49ers grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year.. George Kittle has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (76.0).. George Kittle's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 85.6% to 80.8%.. George Kittle's 7.5 adjusted yards per target this year signifies an impressive regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 12.5 rate.. This year, the strong New York Giants defense has yielded a puny 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.

Receiving Yards

Theo Johnson o34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 43.34 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The Giants O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.. The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Rushing Yards

Tyrone Tracy Jr. o50.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 66.45 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to run on 46.7% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The 49ers defensive tackles grade out as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Rushing Yards

Christian McCaffrey o67.5 Rushing Yards (-118)

Projection 76.31 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 136.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. The 49ers have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.. This week, Christian McCaffrey is expected by the model to position himself in the 99th percentile among RBs with 20.6 rush attempts.. Christian McCaffrey has been a more integral piece of his team's run game this season (69.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (58.1%).. The Giants defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, conceding 5.83 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Rushing Attempts

Tyrone Tracy Jr. o13.5 Rushing Attempts (+100)

Projection 16 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to run on 46.7% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The 49ers defensive tackles grade out as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Rushing Yards

Jaxson Dart u38.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 35.36 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The San Francisco 49ers defense owns the 9th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 4.16 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Total

62% picking San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Under

38% 38%

62% 62%

Total PicksSF 134, NYG 223

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Top User Picks

More Picks

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'Batch9' is picking San Francisco to cover (-3.0)

Batch9 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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SF

NYG

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'Batch9' picks San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (48.5)

Batch9 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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'Monsmon45' picks San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (48.5)

Monsmon45 is #5 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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'blueminer000' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+3.0)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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SF

NYG

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'blueminer000' picks San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (45.5)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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'swtknguy' picks San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (45.5)

swtknguy is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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Spread

'swtknguy' is picking San Francisco to cover (-3.0)

swtknguy is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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SF

NYG

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'Patrick9' is picking San Francisco to cover (-2.5)

Patrick9 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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SF

NYG

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'Patrick9' picks San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (48.5)

Patrick9 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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Over

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