SPREAD
CIN
-3.5 spread
-5.9
PROJECTION
-2.4
DIFFERENCE
3.55%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
CIN
-3.5 spread
Close Modal
-5.9
PROJECTION
-2.4
DIFFERENCE
3.55%
EV
In this highly anticipated matchup, the Miami Dolphins will face off against the New England Patriots. The scheduled kickoff is at 7:00 PM ET, setting the stage for what promises to be an exciting clash.. Both teams come into this game with distinct strengths and weaknesses. The Dolphins have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly with their explosive offense, which ranks among the top in the league. This potent attack will be crucial in their quest for victory against a Patriots defense that has struggled to contain high-scoring teams.. On the other side, the Patriots have had their share of ups and downs this season. They will need to tighten up their defense if they hope to keep pace with the Dolphins' high-octane offense. Historically, the rivalry between these two teams has been fierce, and this game will be no different as both sides look to assert their dominance.. When it comes to betting lines, the Dolphins are likely to be favored given their recent form and offensive capabilities. Bettors should keep an eye on the point spread, as the Dolphins' ability to score quickly could play a significant role in covering the spread.. For those interested in the total points, considering the Dolphins' offensive prowess combined with the Patriots' defensive vulnerabilities could suggest a high-scoring affair. Ultimately, this matchup not only carries playoff implications but also offers an intriguing opportunity for sports bettors to capitalize on the trends and stats leading up to game day.
-3.5
-120
TOTAL
46.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
3.9%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
46.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
3.9%
EV
The New England Patriots come into this game with a strong defensive showing, currently sitting at 3rd in the league for points allowed per game. Their ability to limit scoring has kept them competitive, even when their offense has struggled. The Patriots' defensive line has been particularly effective, applying pressure and forcing turnovers, which could be crucial against the Jets' offense.. On the other side, the New York Jets have had their own challenges, ranking 28th in the league for points scored per game. The inconsistency of their quarterback position has hindered their offensive production, leading to a reliance on their defense to keep them in games. However, the Jets' defense has shown flashes of brilliance, currently positioned 6th in the league for yards allowed per game.. From a betting perspective, this matchup could lean towards a low-scoring affair given both teams' recent performances. The Patriots' defense could pose significant challenges for the Jets, while New England's offense will need to find rhythm against a Jets unit capable of making big plays.. Betting lines might reflect the Patriots as favorites, but the low point total suggests that oddsmakers anticipate a closely contested game. For bettors, keeping an eye on injury reports and any last-minute changes to starting lineups will be essential leading up to kickoff. With both teams fighting for playoff positioning, expect a hard-fought battle that could come down to the wire.
u48.0
-110
MONEYLINE
CIN
-200 moneyline
CIN
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
4.22%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
CIN
-200 moneyline
Close Modal
CIN
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
4.22%
EV
In this highly anticipated matchup, the Miami Dolphins will face off against the New England Patriots. The scheduled kickoff is at 7:00 PM ET, setting the stage for what promises to be an exciting clash.. Both teams come into this game with distinct strengths and weaknesses. The Dolphins have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly with their explosive offense, which ranks among the top in the league. This potent attack will be crucial in their quest for victory against a Patriots defense that has struggled to contain high-scoring teams.. On the other side, the Patriots have had their share of ups and downs this season. They will need to tighten up their defense if they hope to keep pace with the Dolphins' high-octane offense. Historically, the rivalry between these two teams has been fierce, and this game will be no different as both sides look to assert their dominance.. When it comes to betting lines, the Dolphins are likely to be favored given their recent form and offensive capabilities. Bettors should keep an eye on the point spread, as the Dolphins' ability to score quickly could play a significant role in covering the spread.. For those interested in the total points, considering the Dolphins' offensive prowess combined with the Patriots' defensive vulnerabilities could suggest a high-scoring affair. Ultimately, this matchup not only carries playoff implications but also offers an intriguing opportunity for sports bettors to capitalize on the trends and stats leading up to game day.
-200
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.75%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
2.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.75%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
u2.5
-110
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.11%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.11%
EV
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In this game, Mike Gesicki is projected by the model to rank in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.1 targets.. Mike Gesicki rates in the 81st percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 29.6 mark last year.. Mike Gesicki is positioned as one of the best TE receiving threats last year, averaging a terrific 4.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.
o2.5
+120
RECEPTIONS MADE
6.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.9%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
6.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.9%
EV
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 5.5 points.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in football.. The Cincinnati O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.. The Cleveland Browns pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (63.1%) vs. wideouts last year (63.1%).
u6.5
+100
RECEPTIONS MADE
5.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-7.56%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
5.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-7.56%
EV
The Browns are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are anticipated by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most on the slate this week.. With a terrific 5.9 adjusted catches per game (96th percentile) last year, David Njoku stands among the top pass-catching TEs in the league.. The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been gouged for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.6%) vs. tight ends last year (79.6%).
o4.5
-140
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-9.07%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-9.07%
EV
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In this week's contest, Chase Brown is expected by the projections to finish in the 90th percentile among running backs with 3.7 targets.. Chase Brown places in the 89th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 17.9 figure last year.. With a fantastic 3.4 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) last year, Chase Brown has been among the best pass-catching running backs in football.
o2.5
-130
RECEPTIONS MADE
4.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-17.26%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
4.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-17.26%
EV
The Browns are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are anticipated by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most on the slate this week.. The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a massive 62.0 plays per game.. Jerry Jeudy comes in as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers last year, averaging an exceptional 5.3 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.
o4.5
+100
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.87%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.87%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
u1.5
-125
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
2.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.9%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
2.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.9%
EV
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 5.5 points.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in football.. The Cincinnati O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.. Last year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has allowed a measly 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.
u2.5
-179
PASSING COMPLETIONS
21.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
4.87%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
21.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
4.87%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
u22.5
+114
PASSING COMPLETIONS
24.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
1.88%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
24.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
1.88%
EV
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 5.5 points.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in football.. The Cincinnati O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.. Last year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has allowed a measly 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.
u24.5
+105
PASSING ATTEMPTS
35.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.65%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
35.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.65%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
u36.5
-107
PASSING ATTEMPTS
37.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.52%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
37.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.52%
EV
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 5.5 points.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in football.
u37.5
-126
PASSING YARDS
218.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-24.9
DIFFERENCE
7.17%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
218.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-24.9
DIFFERENCE
7.17%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
u246.5
-115
PASSING YARDS
283.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.2
DIFFERENCE
5.71%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
283.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.2
DIFFERENCE
5.71%
EV
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In this week's contest, Joe Burrow is projected by the projection model to have the most pass attempts out of all QBs with 39.0. . With a stellar record of 297.0 adjusted passing yards per game (100th percentile), Joe Burrow rates among the leading passers in the NFL last year.. With an excellent 71.6% Adjusted Completion% (94th percentile) last year, Joe Burrow stands as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL.
o268.5
-110
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.21%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.21%
EV
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 5.5 points.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in football.. The Cincinnati O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.
u0.5
-120
RECEIVING YARDS
29.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.7
DIFFERENCE
7.26%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
29.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.7
DIFFERENCE
7.26%
EV
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In this game, Mike Gesicki is projected by the model to rank in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.1 targets.. In regards to air yards, Mike Gesicki ranks in the lofty 90th percentile among TEs last year, accruing a whopping 38.0 per game.. Mike Gesicki comes in as one of the best TEs in the pass game last year, averaging an exceptional 41.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.
o20.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
43.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.7
DIFFERENCE
5.21%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
43.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.7
DIFFERENCE
5.21%
EV
David Njoku grades out as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among TEs, averaging just 5.88 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 10th percentile.. David Njoku has been one of the worst tight ends in football at generating extra yardage, averaging just 3.92 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while grading out in the 25th percentile.
u51.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
59.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.0
DIFFERENCE
4.23%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
59.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.0
DIFFERENCE
4.23%
EV
The Bengals pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (63.9%) versus WRs last year (63.9%).
u66.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
14.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
3.25%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
14.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
3.25%
EV
With a lackluster 5.2 adjusted yards per target (24th percentile) last year, Jerome Ford stands among the worst pass-game running backs in the league.
u15.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
19.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-2.5%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
19.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-2.5%
EV
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In this week's contest, Chase Brown is expected by the projections to finish in the 90th percentile among running backs with 3.7 targets.. In regards to air yards, Chase Brown grades out in the lofty 97th percentile among running backs last year, accumulating an astounding 5.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).. Chase Brown places in the 89th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 17.9 figure last year.
o18.5
-110
RECEIVING YARDS
84.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.55%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
84.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.55%
EV
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 5.5 points.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in football.. The Cincinnati O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.
u85.5
-112
RUSHING YARDS
9.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.7
DIFFERENCE
5.92%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
9.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.7
DIFFERENCE
5.92%
EV
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 5.5 points.. The model projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Browns defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games last year, conceding 4.75 adjusted yards-per-carry.
o6.5
-125
RUSHING YARDS
47.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.9
DIFFERENCE
4.96%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
47.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.9
DIFFERENCE
4.96%
EV
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are anticipated by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most on the slate this week.. The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a massive 62.0 plays per game.. In this contest, Jerome Ford is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 11.4 carries.. While Jerome Ford has received 31.0% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Cleveland's ground game in this contest at 45.4%.. With an excellent rate of 4.92 adjusted yards per carry (84th percentile), Jerome Ford has been as one of the top RBs in football last year.
o42.5
-110
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
2.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.35%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
2.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.35%
EV
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to run on 35.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.. The Cleveland Browns linebackers rank as the best unit in the NFL last year when it comes to stopping the run.
u2.5
+118
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
10.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
3.38%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
10.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
3.38%
EV
The Browns are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 38.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
u11.5
-103
RUSHING YARDS
71.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.87%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
71.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.87%
EV
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 5.5 points.. The model projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The predictive model expects Chase Brown to notch 17.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.. Chase Brown has grinded out 63.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (87th percentile).. The Browns defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games last year, conceding 4.75 adjusted yards-per-carry.
o66.5
-110
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
16.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.82%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
16.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.82%
EV
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to run on 35.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.. The Cleveland Browns linebackers rank as the best unit in the NFL last year when it comes to stopping the run.
u16.5
-118