Dolphins @ Colts Picks & Props

As the Patriots prepare to take on the Dolphins, both teams are looking to find their footing in a competitive AFC landscape. The New England Patriots have struggled recently, particularly on the offensive side, while the Miami Dolphins are riding high on their recent performances.. In terms of betting lines, the Dolphins enter this game with a solid reputation, boasting an impressive record that has made them a popular choice among bettors. Meanwhile, the Patriots have been a bit of a wild card, often surprising the betting public with their inconsistencies. Sportsbooks are likely to see significant action on both sides, given the historical rivalry between these two franchises.. The Dolphins have shown a penchant for explosive plays, which could pose challenges for the Patriots’ defense. New England will need to shore up its secondary to contain Miami’s playmakers. Additionally, the Patriots’ offensive line will be under pressure to protect their quarterback and establish a run game against a Dolphins defense that has been known to be aggressive.. As the game approaches, bettors will want to keep an eye on injury reports and weather conditions, which could impact the outcome. The Patriots will look to capitalize on their experience and strategic play calling, while the Dolphins aim to maintain their momentum and home-field advantage. With both teams having something to prove, this matchup promises to be an intriguing contest for fans and bettors alike.

As the Patriots prepare to take on the Dolphins, both teams are looking to find their footing in a competitive AFC landscape. The New England Patriots have struggled recently, particularly on the offensive side, while the Miami Dolphins are riding high on their recent performances.. In terms of betting lines, the Dolphins enter this game with a solid reputation, boasting an impressive record that has made them a popular choice among bettors. Meanwhile, the Patriots have been a bit of a wild card, often surprising the betting public with their inconsistencies. Sportsbooks are likely to see significant action on both sides, given the historical rivalry between these two franchises.. The Dolphins have shown a penchant for explosive plays, which could pose challenges for the Patriots’ defense. New England will need to shore up its secondary to contain Miami’s playmakers. Additionally, the Patriots’ offensive line will be under pressure to protect their quarterback and establish a run game against a Dolphins defense that has been known to be aggressive.. As the game approaches, bettors will want to keep an eye on injury reports and weather conditions, which could impact the outcome. The Patriots will look to capitalize on their experience and strategic play calling, while the Dolphins aim to maintain their momentum and home-field advantage. With both teams having something to prove, this matchup promises to be an intriguing contest for fans and bettors alike.

As the Patriots prepare to take on the Dolphins, both teams are looking to find their footing in a competitive AFC landscape. The New England Patriots have struggled recently, particularly on the offensive side, while the Miami Dolphins are riding high on their recent performances.. In terms of betting lines, the Dolphins enter this game with a solid reputation, boasting an impressive record that has made them a popular choice among bettors. Meanwhile, the Patriots have been a bit of a wild card, often surprising the betting public with their inconsistencies. Sportsbooks are likely to see significant action on both sides, given the historical rivalry between these two franchises.. The Dolphins have shown a penchant for explosive plays, which could pose challenges for the Patriots’ defense. New England will need to shore up its secondary to contain Miami’s playmakers. Additionally, the Patriots’ offensive line will be under pressure to protect their quarterback and establish a run game against a Dolphins defense that has been known to be aggressive.. As the game approaches, bettors will want to keep an eye on injury reports and weather conditions, which could impact the outcome. The Patriots will look to capitalize on their experience and strategic play calling, while the Dolphins aim to maintain their momentum and home-field advantage. With both teams having something to prove, this matchup promises to be an intriguing contest for fans and bettors alike.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league last year, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather in this week's game.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league last year, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather in this week's game.. Jonathan Taylor is positioned as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among running backs, catching a measly 56.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 3rd percentile.. Last year, the imposing Dolphins defense has given up a feeble 74.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the best rate in the NFL.

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.. The model projects Josh Downs to notch 7.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.. Josh Downs has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 25.8% last year, which puts him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a fantastic 5.1 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) last year, Josh Downs ranks as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers in the league.. Last year, the anemic Miami Dolphins pass defense has surrendered a staggering 70.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins last year (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Tyreek Hill to accumulate 8.7 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.. Tyreek Hill checks in as one of the best WRs in the game last year, averaging an excellent 4.8 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.. The Colts pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.4%) to wide receivers last year (70.4%).

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins last year (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).. Last year, the feeble Colts pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 83.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst rate in the league.. The Colts linebackers profile as the 4th-worst LB corps in football last year in pass coverage.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the least pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 48.8% red zone pass rate.. The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league last year, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather in this week's game.. With a lackluster 63.4% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) last year, Daniel Jones stands among the least accurate QBs in the NFL.. Last year, the fierce Miami Dolphins defense has conceded a meager 1.29 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-lowest rate in football.

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The model projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.7% red zone pass rate.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins last year (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).. Tua Tagovailoa grades out as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the league last year with an impressive 73.5% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 100th percentile.. Last year, the poor Colts defense has been torched for a staggering 76.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the worst rate in football.

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins last year (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 36.5 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most out of all quarterbacks.. Tua Tagovailoa grades out as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the league last year with an impressive 73.5% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 100th percentile.. Last year, the poor Colts defense has been torched for a staggering 76.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the worst rate in football.

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.. Daniel Jones has attempted 36.2 throws per game last year, grading out in the 90th percentile when it comes to QBs.. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 4th-best in the league last year.. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Miami's collection of LBs has been awful last year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins last year (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 36.5 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league last year, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather in this week's game.. With a lackluster 63.4% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) last year, Daniel Jones stands among the least accurate QBs in the NFL.. Daniel Jones is positioned as one of the least efficient quarterbacks in the NFL last year, averaging a measly 6.13 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 6th percentile.. Last year, the fierce Miami Dolphins defense has yielded the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a paltry 7.5 yards.

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins last year (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 36.5 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most out of all quarterbacks.. With an exceptional total of 268.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa places as one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL last year.. Last year, the poor Colts defense has been torched for a staggering 76.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the worst rate in football.

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins last year (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 36.5 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most out of all quarterbacks.. The Colts linebackers profile as the 4th-worst LB corps in football last year in pass coverage.

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.. Daniel Jones has attempted 36.2 throws per game last year, grading out in the 90th percentile when it comes to QBs.. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 4th-best in the league last year.. The Miami Dolphins have intercepted 0.60 balls per game last year, grading out as the 9th-worst defense in the league by this metric. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Miami's collection of LBs has been awful last year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league last year, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather in this week's game.

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.. Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 61.8% of his offense's dropbacks last year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.. Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to total 2.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 4th-best in the league last year.. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Miami's collection of LBs has been awful last year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.. The model projects Josh Downs to notch 7.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.. Josh Downs has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 25.8% last year, which puts him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 4th-best in the league last year.. With a terrific 55.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (76th percentile) last year, Josh Downs places among the leading wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins last year (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).. Last year, the weak Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed a staggering 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-most in football.. Last year, the feeble Colts pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 83.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst rate in the league.. The Colts linebackers profile as the 4th-worst LB corps in football last year in pass coverage.

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins last year (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Tyreek Hill to accumulate 8.7 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.. Tyreek Hill is positioned as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL last year, averaging a terrific 57.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.. The Colts pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.4%) to wide receivers last year (70.4%).

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins last year (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).. The predictive model expects Devon Achane to accumulate 5.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.. With a top-tier 15.3% Target Rate (99th percentile) last year, Devon Achane places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in football.. Devon Achane grades out as one of the top pass-game RBs last year, averaging an excellent 36.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to run on 45.3% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.. The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league last year, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather in this week's game.. In this game, Daniel Jones is expected by our trusted projection set to total the 5th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 7.3. . Accounting for 22.9% of his team's rushing play calls last year (91st percentile among quarterbacks), Daniel Jones's mobility makes him a major weapon on the ground.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins last year (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).. In this week's game, Devon Achane is expected by the projections to find himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.0 carries.. While Devon Achane has been responsible for 46.4% of his offense's carries in games he has played last year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Miami's ground game in this contest at 56.7%.. Devon Achane has averaged 49.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (75th percentile).

The model projects the Dolphins to be the 2nd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.. The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the league last year when it comes to defending the run.

The model projects the Dolphins to be the 2nd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.. In this week's game, Tua Tagovailoa is projected by the projection model to accrue the 5th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 1.7. . Taking on a mere 4.4% of his offense's rushing play calls last year (20th percentile when it comes to QBs), Tua Tagovailoa's immobility makes him no threat with his legs.. The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the league last year when it comes to defending the run.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to run on 45.3% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.. The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league last year, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather in this week's game.. In this game, Daniel Jones is expected by our trusted projection set to total the 5th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 7.3. . Accounting for 22.9% of his team's rushing play calls last year (91st percentile among quarterbacks), Daniel Jones's mobility makes him a major weapon on the ground.

The model projects the Dolphins to be the 2nd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.. In this week's game, Tua Tagovailoa is projected by the projection model to accrue the 5th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 1.7. . With a very bad total of 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (18th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa places as one of the weakest rushing QBs in football last year.. The Colts defense has produced the 9th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks last year, conceding just 4.37 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

The Dolphins defensive ends project as the 2nd-best unit in the league last year in regard to defending the run.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to run on 45.3% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.. The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league last year, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather in this week's game.. In this week's contest, Jonathan Taylor is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 19.9 rush attempts.. Jonathan Taylor has grinded out 100.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the biggest figures in football when it comes to RBs (98th percentile).