Titans @ Browns &nbsp; Picks &amp; Props

Pick made: yesterday

+300

+320

+300

+305

I don’t usually double-dip in back-to-back weeks, but Harold Fannin and Shedeur Sanders are clicking, and the rookie tight end cashed a +425 TD for me last week in brutal weather, so I’m going back in Week 14 despite the price drop. Fannin has now led the team in receptions and targets in two straight games and profiles as a potential No. 1 option again against a weak Titans defense. Sanders looks comfortable, and this time he won’t be throwing in 30-mph winds. Fannin has fully taken over the TE1 role from David Njoku and has been more reliable than Jerry Jeudy. I’d play his TD down to +230.

Receptions Made

Tony Pollard u1.5 Receptions Made (+100)

Projection 1.3 (Under)

Best Odds

u1.5 +100

Pick made: 22 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 +100

u1.5 -115

The Titans have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.3 per game) this year.. Tony Pollard's 13.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 18.1.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cleveland's LB corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the NFL.

+100 at bet365

Passing Completions

Cam Ward u17.5 Passing Completions (-110)

Projection 15.09 (Under)

Best Odds

u17.5 -110

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u17.5 -110

u17.5 -115

u17.5 -114

u17.5 -125

-110 at DraftKings

Passing Yards

Shedeur Sanders o158.5 Passing Yards (-111)

Projection 170.91 (Over)

Best Odds

o158.5 -111

Pick made: 14 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o158.5 -111

o159.5 -110

o159.5 -114

o161.5 -115

o158.5 -112

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 66.8 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 58.8 plays per game.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in football versus the Titans defense this year (74.5% Adjusted Completion%).. The Titans pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency this year, conceding 8.39 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-most in football.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Tennessee's group of CBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

-111 at DraftKings

Passing Yards

Cam Ward u175.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Projection 166.14 (Under)

Best Odds

u178.5 -114

Pick made: 2 days ago

EV Model Rating

u175.5 -112

u173.5 -110

u178.5 -114

u176.5 -115

u177.5 -120

The Titans have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.3 per game) this year.. This year, the imposing Cleveland Browns defense has given up a measly 194.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

-114 at FanDuel

Interceptions Thrown

Shedeur Sanders u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+106)

Projection 0.41 (Under)

Best Odds

u0.5 +106

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +101

u0.5 +105

u0.5 +106

u0.5 +105

u0.5 +102

The Browns are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 50.2% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.. The Cleveland O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

+106 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Quinshon Judkins o6.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 12.4 (Over)

Best Odds

o5.5 -120

Pick made: 26 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o6.5 -110

o5.5 -120

o6.5 -107

-120 at BetMGM

Receiving Yards

Jerry Jeudy o31.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 38.43 (Over)

Best Odds

o29.5 -110

Pick made: 22 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o31.5 -110

o29.5 -110

o31.5 -114

o30.5 -118

o39.5 +124

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 66.8 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.. The Cleveland Browns have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 58.8 plays per game.. Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 90.9% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. This year, the anemic Titans pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 72.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the worst rate in football.. The Titans pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, giving up 9.81 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.

-110 at bet365

Receiving Yards

Chimere Dike o25.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 30.87 (Over)

Best Odds

o23.5 -114

Pick made: 16 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o25.5 -109

o25.5 -110

o23.5 -114

o25.5 -118

o24.5 -112

A throwing game script is suggested by the Titans being a -4-point underdog in this week's contest.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.5 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Cleveland's group of CBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Harold Fannin Jr. o36.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 40.13 (Over)

Best Odds

o36.5 -110

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o37.5 -110

o36.5 -110

o37.5 -114

o37.5 -115

o37.5 -117

-110 at bet365

Rushing Yards

Tony Pollard o45.5 Rushing Yards (-121)

Projection 64.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o43.5 -110

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o45.5 -111

o43.5 -110

o46.5 -114

o43.5 -110

o45.5 -121

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.5 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. In this game, Tony Pollard is expected by the predictive model to position himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.7 rush attempts.. Among all RBs, Tony Pollard grades out in the 94th percentile for carries this year, taking on 65.3% of the workload in his team's ground game.

-110 at bet365

Spread

74% picking Cleveland

26% 26%

74% 74%

Total Picks TEN 173, CLE 495

Spread

TEN

CLE

Spread

TEN vs CLE Props

Player

Prop

Projection

Best Odds

Projection Rating

Q. Judkins

running back RB • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.63

Best Odds

Yes

-105

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.63

Best Odds

Yes

-105

Yes

-105

-107

-115

-105

Projection Rating

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 66.8 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week. The Cleveland Browns have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 58.8 plays per game. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in football versus the Titans defense this year (74.5% Adjusted Completion%). When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Tennessee's DE corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.

C. Ward

quarterback QB • Tennessee

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.08

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+1000

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.08

Best Odds

Yes

+1000

Yes

+1000

+800

+750

+950

J. Thrash

wide receiver WR • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+1400

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

+1400

Yes

+1400

J. Ford

running back RB • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+450

V. Jefferson

wide receiver WR • Tennessee

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.08

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.08

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+550

C. Dike

wide receiver WR • Tennessee

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.33

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+375

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.33

Best Odds

Yes

+375

Yes

+375

+310

T. Spears

running back RB • Tennessee

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.13

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.13

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+320

I. Bond

wide receiver WR • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+900

+600

B. Whiteheart

tight end TE • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+2200

J. Jeudy

wide receiver WR • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.08

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+350

draftkings

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.08

Best Odds

Yes

+350

Yes

+325

+340

+350

+330

M. Kinsey

wide receiver WR • Tennessee

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+2200

G. Helm

tight end TE • Tennessee

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.08

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+600

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.08

Best Odds

Yes

+600

Yes

+600

+450

+390

+550

D. Njoku

tight end TE • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.27

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.27

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+550

+475

+500

S. Sanders

quarterback QB • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

draftkings

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+650

+800

+900

+800

G. Larvadain

wide receiver WR • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+2200

D. Sampson

running back RB • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.17

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.17

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+450

M. Corley

wide receiver WR • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+1600

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

+1600

Yes

+1600

H. Fannin Jr.

tight end TE • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.25

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.25

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+320

+305

+300

K. Mullings

running back RB • Tennessee

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+2200

E. Ayomanor

wide receiver WR • Tennessee

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.18

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+390

fanduel

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.18

Best Odds

Yes

+390

Yes

+375

+330

+290

+390

X. Restrepo

wide receiver WR • Tennessee

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+1100

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

+1100

Yes

+1100

J. Chestnut

running back RB • Tennessee

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+2200

T. Pollard

running back RB • Tennessee

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.17

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+280

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.17

Best Odds

Yes

+280

Yes

+280

+270

R. Sanders

running back RB • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

1.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+850

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

1.00

Best Odds

Yes

+850

Yes

+850

C. Tillman

wide receiver WR • Cleveland

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.25

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+500

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.25

Best Odds

Yes

+500

Yes

+500

+390

D. Martin-Robinson

tight end TE • Tennessee

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.08

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+3000

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.08

Best Odds

Yes

+3000

Yes

+3000

C. Okonkwo

tight end TE • Tennessee

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+650

caesars

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

+650

Yes

+650

TEN vs CLE Trends

Tennessee Trends

The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 26% ROI)

The Tennessee Titans have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.55 Units / 23% ROI)

TEN

CLE

Game Line - Spread - 4th Period

The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.60 Units / 6% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 17 games (+3.29 Units / 19% ROI)

TEN

CLE

Game Line - MoneyLine - 4th Period

The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+0.90 Units / 13% ROI)

TEN

CLE

Game Line - MoneyLine - 2nd Half

The Tennessee Titans have only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 20 games (-13.72 Units / -59% ROI)

TEN

CLE

Game Line - MoneyLine - Full Game

The Tennessee Titans have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 19 games (-11.25 Units / -52% ROI)

TEN

CLE

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Half

The Tennessee Titans have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 17 games (-11.05 Units / -62% ROI)

TEN

CLE

Game Line - MoneyLine - 2nd Period

The Tennessee Titans have only covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 19 games (-8.85 Units / -41% ROI)

TEN

CLE

Game Line - Spread - 1st Half

The Tennessee Titans have only hit the 1H Team Total Over in 6 of their last 19 games (-8.85 Units / -41% ROI)

Cleveland Trends

The Cleveland Browns have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 53% ROI)

TEN

CLE

Game Line - Spread - 2nd Period

The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.15 Units / 14% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.75 Units / 56% ROI)

TEN

CLE

Game Line - MoneyLine - 2nd Period

The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 4th Period

The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.55 Units / 25% ROI)

TEN

CLE

Game Line - Spread - 1st Half

The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.40 Units / 21% ROI)

The Cleveland Browns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 17 games (-9.35 Units / -47% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 2nd Period

The Cleveland Browns have only covered the Spread in 7 of their last 20 games (-7.25 Units / -33% ROI)

TEN

CLE

Game Line - Spread - Full Game

The Cleveland Browns have not hit the 2H Game Total Over in any of their last 7 games at home (-7.02 Units / -87% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 2nd Half

The Cleveland Browns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 17 games (-6.65 Units / -38% ROI)

TEN

CLE

Game Line - MoneyLine - 2nd Half

The Cleveland Browns have only covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 17 games (-6.45 Units / -33% ROI)

TEN

CLE

Game Line - Spread - 2nd Half

Spread

'tolro234' is picking Tennessee to cover (+4.0)

tolro234 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +7800 units on the season.

Spread

TEN

CLE

Spread

Total

'tolro234' picks Tennessee vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

tolro234 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +7800 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'griz55' picks Tennessee vs Cleveland to go Under (34.5)

griz55 is #2 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +6750 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'griz55' is picking Cleveland to cover (-4.0)

griz55 is #2 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +6750 units on the season.

Spread

TEN

CLE

Spread

Spread

'rinv49' is picking Cleveland to cover (-4.0)

rinv49 is #3 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +6580 units on the season.

Spread

TEN

CLE

Spread

Total

'rinv49' picks Tennessee vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

rinv49 is #3 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +6580 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'livelywee55' is picking Cleveland to cover (-4.0)

livelywee55 is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +7150 units on the season.

Spread

TEN

CLE

Spread

Total

'livelywee55' picks Tennessee vs Cleveland to go Over (33.5)

livelywee55 is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +7150 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'interfly' picks Tennessee vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

interfly is #6 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (7-4-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'interfly' is picking Tennessee to cover (+4.0)

interfly is #6 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (7-4-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Spread

TEN

CLE

Spread

Total

'pittsburghphil' picks Tennessee vs Cleveland to go Under (33.5)

pittsburghphil is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'pittsburghphil' is picking Tennessee to cover (+4.0)

pittsburghphil is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread

TEN

CLE

Spread

Spread

'cashbb1030' is picking Tennessee to cover (+4.0)

cashbb1030 is #7 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread

TEN

CLE

Spread

Total

'cashbb1030' picks Tennessee vs Cleveland to go Over (33.5)

cashbb1030 is #7 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'ggtra333' is picking Cleveland to cover (-4.0)

ggtra333 is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5010 units on the season.

Spread

TEN

CLE

Spread

Total

'LaQuora28' picks Tennessee vs Cleveland to go Under (34.5)

LaQuora28 is #8 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (11-1-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'ggtra333' picks Tennessee vs Cleveland to go Under (34.5)

ggtra333 is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5010 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'LaQuora28' is picking Cleveland to cover (-4.0)

LaQuora28 is #8 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (11-1-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread

TEN

CLE

Spread