CHI 7.5 o43.0
PHI -7.5 u43.0
JAC -6.0 o42.0
TEN 6.0 u42.0
ATL -2.5 o39.5
NYJ 2.5 u39.5
LA -10.5 o45.0
CAR 10.5 u45.0
NO 6.0 o42.0
MIA -6.0 u42.0
ARI 3.5 o44.5
TB -3.5 u44.5
SF -4.5 o36.5
CLE 4.5 u36.5
HOU 3.5 o45.0
IND -3.5 u45.0
MIN 13.0 o41.0
SEA -13.0 u41.0
BUF -3.5 o46.0
PIT 3.5 u46.0
LV 10.0 o41.0
LAC -10.0 u41.0
DEN -5.5 o42.5
WAS 5.5 u42.5
NYG 7.5 o46.5
NE -7.5 u46.5
Final Nov 27
GB 31 3.0 o48.0
DET 24 -3.0 u48.0
Final Nov 27
KC 28 -3.5 o53.0
DAL 31 3.5 u53.0
Final Nov 27
CIN 32 7.5 o52.5
BAL 14 -7.5 u52.5
Los Angeles 1st NFC West9-2
Carolina 2nd NFC South6-6

Los Angeles @ Carolina Picks & Props

LA vs CAR Picks

NFL Picks
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Los Angeles Rams logo LA -10.5 (-106)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Rams are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six games with four of their victories during that span coming by 14+ points. Meanwhile, Carolina has lost three of its last five games by double digits. Bryce Young has thrown for less than 200 yards in nine of 11 games this year and L.A. is second in the league in defensive dropback EPA. The Rams are also rolling on offense with weapons like Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, and Kyren Williams surrounding MVP favorite Matthew Stafford. They should move the ball against a Panthers defense that is 24th in the league in EPA and will likely be missing three starters.

Score a Touchdown
Blake Corum logo Blake Corum Score a Touchdown (Yes: +310)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The L.A. backup logged seven carries last week while Kyren Williams had 12 for 46 yards, but seven of Williams’ attempts came in the fourth quarter. Corum remains heavily involved in this offense, and with Bryce Young crashing back to earth, the Rams could control the clock on Sunday. Since Week 6, Corum has 58 carries to Williams’ 88, giving him roughly 40% of the workload. This TD price doesn’t reflect that split when Williams is sitting around -140. The red-zone work has also been close. Over the last three games, Corum has four carries inside the five to Williams’ two, and overall red-zone carries sit at seven to six in Williams’ favor. If Corum is getting 40% of the carries and better than half of the red-zone work, he should be priced closer to +200 to +240.

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Carolina Panthers logo CAR +10.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Recency bias has bumped this Week 13 spread from a look-ahead line of Panthers +9.5 to an official opener of +10.5. Given we’re getting a half-point hook on the key number with the home side, I’ll bite on Carolina. While the Panthers offense looked blinded by the primetime lights in San Francisco, the defense held up for as long as it could despite playing almost 38 minutes and missing stud CB Jaycee Horn in the second half (concussion). Carolina scored three takeaways (two from Horn) and checked the 49ers to 2-of-6 success in the red zone. After playing back-to-back road games and three of their last four away from home, Bank America Stadium is a sight for sore eyes for the Panthers. They’ve been much more competitive in Carolina (-1.0 MoV) and get a real home-field edge in Week 13, with L.A. playing a 1 p.m. ET start (10 a.m. PT) and possibly doing so in the rain. 

Score a Touchdown
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams Score a Touchdown (Yes: -125)
Projection 0.82 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per play.. With an extraordinary 12.7% Red Zone Target% (89th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams ranks as one of the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league.. After averaging -2.0 air yards per game last year, Kyren Williams has seen marked improvement this year, now averaging 8.0 per game.. With a remarkable ratio of 0.25 per game through the air (95th percentile), Kyren Williams places among the best receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to RBs this year.
Passing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o192.5 Passing Yards (-105)
Projection 218.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects Bryce Young to throw 35.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-most out of all QBs.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
Passing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o251.5 Passing Yards (-117)
Projection 263.01 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per play.. Matthew Stafford has attempted 32.2 throws per game this year, ranking in the 78th percentile among QBs.. With an outstanding rate of 247.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), Matthew Stafford ranks as one of the best quarterbacks in football this year.. Matthew Stafford profiles as one of the most efficient QBs in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 7.95 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 88th percentile.
Receiving Yards
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Tetairoa McMillan o56.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 71.44 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been torched for the 9th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (155.0) versus wideouts this year.
Receiving Yards
Colby Parkinson logo
Colby Parkinson o24.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 32.27 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per play.. The model projects Colby Parkinson to be much more involved in his offense's air attack this week (12.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.1% in games he has played).. Colby Parkinson's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.2% to 91.9%.. The Carolina Panthers defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (67.0) to TEs this year.
Receiving Yards
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams o10.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 15.45 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per play.. Kyren Williams has run a route on 56.1% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.. In this game, Kyren Williams is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 76th percentile among running backs with 2.9 targets.. After averaging -2.0 air yards per game last year, Kyren Williams has seen marked improvement this year, now averaging 8.0 per game.
Receiving Yards
Rico Dowdle logo
Rico Dowdle o16.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 21.94 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.. In this week's game, Rico Dowdle is projected by the projections to place in the 93rd percentile among running backs with 4.6 targets.. Rico Dowdle has been a key part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 9.5% this year, which puts him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Rico Dowdle comes in as one of the best running backs in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 18.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
Rushing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o0.5 Rushing Yards (+158)
Projection 1.39 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Rams, who are a heavy favorite by 10 points.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per play.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Carolina's LB corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in football. in football.
Rushing Yards
Rico Dowdle logo
Rico Dowdle o59.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 66.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects Rico Dowdle to notch 16.8 carries this week, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.. Rico Dowdle has garnered 56.9% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Rico Dowdle has picked up 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the league when it comes to RBs (91st percentile).. With an exceptional record of 4.88 adjusted yards per carry (77th percentile), Rico Dowdle has been among the best running backs in football this year.. With a remarkable tally of 3.51 yards after contact (87th percentile), Rico Dowdle has been as one of the tenacious running backs in the league this year.
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LA vs CAR Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

LA vs CAR Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyren Williams Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams

Kyren Williams
K. Williams
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.82
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.82
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per play. With an extraordinary 12.7% Red Zone Target% (89th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams ranks as one of the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league. After averaging -2.0 air yards per game last year, Kyren Williams has seen marked improvement this year, now averaging 8.0 per game. With a remarkable ratio of 0.25 per game through the air (95th percentile), Kyren Williams places among the best receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to RBs this year.

Kyren Williams logo

Kyren Williams

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.82
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.82

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per play. With an extraordinary 12.7% Red Zone Target% (89th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams ranks as one of the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league. After averaging -2.0 air yards per game last year, Kyren Williams has seen marked improvement this year, now averaging 8.0 per game. With a remarkable ratio of 0.25 per game through the air (95th percentile), Kyren Williams places among the best receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to RBs this year.

Puka Nacua Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams

Puka Nacua
P. Nacua
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.56
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.56
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per play. While Puka Nacua has earned 14.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing offense near the end zone in this game at 23.5%. Puka Nacua has posted far more air yards this year (81.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game). Puka Nacua's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 76.1% to 84.8%.

Puka Nacua logo

Puka Nacua

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.56
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.56

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per play. While Puka Nacua has earned 14.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing offense near the end zone in this game at 23.5%. Puka Nacua has posted far more air yards this year (81.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game). Puka Nacua's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 76.1% to 84.8%.

DeeJay Dallas Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

DeeJay Dallas
D. Dallas
running back RB • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

LA vs CAR Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Rossi35' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-9.5)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +6800 units on the season.

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'Rossi35' picks L.A. Rams vs Carolina to go Over (45.5)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +6800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'APPLEST' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-10.5)

APPLEST is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +5400 units on the season.

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CAR
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'usarmy69-71' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-10.5)

usarmy69-71 is #10 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +4350 units on the season.

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CAR
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'zillagod' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-10.5)

zillagod is #10 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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'usarmy69-71' picks L.A. Rams vs Carolina to go Under (45.5)

usarmy69-71 is #10 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +4350 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'campellnyr917' is picking Carolina to cover (+9.5)

campellnyr917 is #2 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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CAR
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'campellnyr917' picks L.A. Rams vs Carolina to go Under (45.5)

campellnyr917 is #2 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'1003008gl' picks L.A. Rams vs Carolina to go Over (45.5)

1003008gl is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-3-1) and +5250 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'1003008gl' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-9.5)

1003008gl is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-3-1) and +5250 units on the season.

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CAR
Total

'culp5050' picks L.A. Rams vs Carolina to go Over (45.5)

culp5050 is #5 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'Noonball' picks L.A. Rams vs Carolina to go Under (45.5)

Noonball is #5 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-3-1) and +5250 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'Noonball' is picking Carolina to cover (+9.5)

Noonball is #5 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-3-1) and +5250 units on the season.

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CAR
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'culp5050' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-9.5)

culp5050 is #5 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'pastorhollywood' picks L.A. Rams vs Carolina to go Under (45.5)

pastorhollywood is #6 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'pastorhollywood' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-9.5)

pastorhollywood is #6 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'timstutler25' is picking Carolina to cover (+9.5)

timstutler25 is #7 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-4-0) and +4700 units on the season.

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CAR
Total

'timstutler25' picks L.A. Rams vs Carolina to go Over (46.0)

timstutler25 is #7 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-4-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'nextclique' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-10.5)

nextclique is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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Total

'nextclique' picks L.A. Rams vs Carolina to go Over (44.5)

nextclique is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'saintsnola15' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-9.5)

saintsnola15 is #9 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4350 units on the season.

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CAR
Total

'saintsnola15' picks L.A. Rams vs Carolina to go Under (45.5)

saintsnola15 is #9 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4350 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under

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