Carolina @ New York Picks & Props

Right now, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (60.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Carolina Panthers. The Carolina Panthers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 59.5 plays per game. This year, the deficient New York Jets defense has allowed a monstrous 1.00 receiving TDs per game to opposing tight ends: the highest rate in the NFL. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's group of DTs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

The Jets have been the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. This year, the porous Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed a massive 90.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 2nd-biggest rate in football. This year, the shaky Carolina Panthers defense has allowed a colossal 0.67 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-largest rate in football. The Panthers defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The Jets have been the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. While Josh Reynolds has been responsible for 9.1% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of New York's offense near the goal line in this game at 19.6%. The Panthers defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The Jets have been the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. Breece Hall has posted a whopping 10.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This may not seem too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage). Breece Hall's 23.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) ranks among the league leaders: 97th percentile for running backs. Breece Hall's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 76.6% to 84.9%. The rushing touchdown line reads "0" on Breece Hall's stats page this year.

Right now, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (60.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Carolina Panthers. The Carolina Panthers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 59.5 plays per game. While Rico Dowdle has garnered 2.9% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Carolina's passing offense near the end zone this week at 9.5%. When talking about air yards, Rico Dowdle ranks in the towering 85th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a superb 2.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). Rico Dowdle's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 80.0% to 86.0%.

Right now, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (60.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Carolina Panthers. The Carolina Panthers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 59.5 plays per game. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's group of DTs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

The Jets have been the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. This year, the feeble Carolina Panthers defense has conceded a monstrous 1.67 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 10th-largest rate in the league. The Panthers defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Right now, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (60.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Carolina Panthers. The Carolina Panthers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 59.5 plays per game. Comprising a measly 0.0% of his offense's red zone carries this year (3rd percentile when it comes to QBs), Bryce Young's lack of mobility makes him no threat in Carolina's rushing attack near the goal line. The New York Jets defense has been torched for the 7th-most TDs through the air in football: 2.00 per game this year. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's group of DTs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.