Baltimore @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week. Lamar Jackson ranks as one of the most on-target passers in the NFL this year with an excellent 69.8% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 82nd percentile. Lamar Jackson has been one of the top touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging an exceptional 2.14 per game while grading out in the 97th percentile. Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.33 per game) vs. the Browns defense this year. The Cleveland defensive ends grade out as the best collection of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.

This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football. Jerry Jeudy has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 18.2% this year, which places him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week. While Zay Flowers has received 17.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Baltimore's passing offense near the goal line in this game at 23.3%. Zay Flowers's 66.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 93rd percentile for wide receivers. Zay Flowers's 76.7% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a noteworthy progression in his receiving talent over last season's 65.7% rate. The Cleveland Browns defense has been torched for the 8th-most TDs through the air in the league to wideouts: 1.11 per game this year.

This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football. This year, the shaky Baltimore Ravens pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 90.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week. Mark Andrews has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 24.1% this year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs. Mark Andrews's 36.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 86th percentile for tight ends. With an exceptional ratio of 0.50 per game through the air (95th percentile), Mark Andrews rates as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in football among tight ends this year. Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.33 per game) vs. the Browns defense this year.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week. While Derrick Henry has garnered 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Baltimore's pass game near the goal line in this week's contest at 7.6%. When talking about air yards, Derrick Henry ranks in the lofty 78th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a remarkable 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards). Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.33 per game) vs. the Browns defense this year. The Cleveland defensive ends grade out as the best collection of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.

This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.