SPREAD
JAC
+3.0 spread
2.0
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
4.23%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
JAC
+3.0 spread
Close Modal
2.0
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
4.23%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
+2.5
-110
TOTAL
43.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
0.86%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
43.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
0.86%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
o42.5
-118
MONEYLINE
LAC
-140 moneyline
LAC
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
6.92%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
LAC
-140 moneyline
Close Modal
LAC
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
6.92%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
-140
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.72 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
24.2%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.72 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
24.2%
EV
At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in football (65.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.. The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.6 per game on average).. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.. The Jaguars defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to running backs: 0.33 per game this year.
+130
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.4 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
20.12%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.4 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
20.12%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. The Chargers defensive tackles rank as the best unit in the league this year with their run defense.
+255
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.53 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
7.58%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.53 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
7.58%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Travis Etienne has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 13.2% this year, which places him in the 90th percentile among RBs.. The Chargers defensive tackles rank as the best unit in the league this year with their run defense.
+110
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.36 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
0.35%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.36 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
0.35%
EV
At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in football (65.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.. The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.6 per game on average).. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.. The Jaguars defense has surrendered the 2nd-most touchdowns through the air in the league to tight ends: 0.78 per game this year.
+200
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.34 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-3.18%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.34 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-3.18%
EV
At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in football (65.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.. The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.6 per game on average).. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.. Opposing squads have rushed for the 6th-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.67 per game) versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.
+185
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.12 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-13.12%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.12 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-13.12%
EV
At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in football (65.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.. The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.6 per game on average).. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.. Justin Herbert has been one of the best touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging a remarkable 1.90 per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has given up the 3rd-most passing TDs in the NFL: 2.33 per game this year.
+600
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.1 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-19.7%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.1 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-19.7%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. The leading projections forecast Johnny Mundt to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this game (6.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).. The Chargers defensive tackles rank as the best unit in the league this year with their run defense.
+650
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.11 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.11 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. The Chargers defensive tackles rank as the best unit in the league this year with their run defense.
+375
RECEPTIONS MADE
4.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
14.63%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
4.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
14.63%
EV
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.7%) to WRs this year (59.7%).
u5.5
-118
RECEPTIONS MADE
4.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
8.69%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
4.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
8.69%
EV
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. The Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
u4.5
+110
RECEPTIONS MADE
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
8.34%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
8.34%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
o3.5
-176
RECEPTIONS MADE
1.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-8.59%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
1.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-8.59%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
o1.5
-165
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-10.78%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-10.78%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. The predictive model expects Travis Etienne to earn 3.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.. With a remarkable 9.2% Target Rate (77th percentile) this year, Travis Etienne stands as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in football.
o2.5
-133
RECEPTIONS MADE
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-16.32%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-16.32%
EV
At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in football (65.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.. The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.6 per game on average).. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.
o1.5
-145
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.37%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.37%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 54.3% red zone pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have just 126.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Chargers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.4 per game) this year.. With a lackluster 59.7% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence ranks as one of the least accurate QBs in football.
u1.5
-241
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-19.03%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
1.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-19.03%
EV
At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in football (65.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.. The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.6 per game on average).. In totaling a whopping 36.9 pass attempts per game this year, Justin Herbert ranks among the top QBs in the NFL (92nd percentile) in this respect.. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.. Justin Herbert has been one of the best touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging a remarkable 1.90 per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.
o1.5
-132
PASSING COMPLETIONS
20.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.8
DIFFERENCE
19.72%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
20.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.8
DIFFERENCE
19.72%
EV
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. This year, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed a puny 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-lowest rate in football.
u23.5
-115
PASSING COMPLETIONS
20.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
3.93%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
20.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
3.93%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. In totaling a staggering 32.2 pass attempts per game this year, Trevor Lawrence places among the top quarterbacks in football (81st percentile) in this statistic.
o19.5
-115
PASSING ATTEMPTS
31.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.7
DIFFERENCE
19.02%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
31.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.7
DIFFERENCE
19.02%
EV
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
u35.5
-124
PASSING ATTEMPTS
32.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.02%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
32.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.02%
EV
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have just 126.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Chargers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.4 per game) this year.
u33.5
-121
PASSING YARDS
238.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-15.1
DIFFERENCE
23%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
238.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-15.1
DIFFERENCE
23%
EV
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. This year, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed a puny 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-lowest rate in football.
u253.5
-115
PASSING YARDS
218.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.2
DIFFERENCE
16.83%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
218.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.2
DIFFERENCE
16.83%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. In totaling a staggering 32.2 pass attempts per game this year, Trevor Lawrence places among the top quarterbacks in football (81st percentile) in this statistic.
o208.5
-111
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
11.84%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
11.84%
EV
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. Jacksonville's defense grades out as the best in football this year as it relates to causing interceptions, compiling 1.27 per game.
u0.5
-126
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.68%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
0.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.68%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. In totaling a staggering 32.2 pass attempts per game this year, Trevor Lawrence places among the top quarterbacks in football (81st percentile) in this statistic.
o0.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
60.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.3
DIFFERENCE
25.82%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
60.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.3
DIFFERENCE
25.82%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
o47.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
11.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
12.51%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
11.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
12.51%
EV
At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in football (65.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.. The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.6 per game on average).. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.. The Jaguars defense has surrendered the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (38.0) versus running backs this year.. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency vs. RBs this year, conceding 7.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in football.
o9.5
-107
RECEIVING YARDS
16.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
12.07%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
16.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
12.07%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
o15.5
-110
RECEIVING YARDS
18.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
3.96%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
18.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
3.96%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. The predictive model expects Travis Etienne to earn 3.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.. With a remarkable 9.2% Target Rate (77th percentile) this year, Travis Etienne stands as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in football.
o17.5
-107
RECEIVING YARDS
61.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
1.1%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
61.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
1.1%
EV
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.7%) to WRs this year (59.7%).
u62.5
-115
RECEIVING YARDS
50.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.06%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
50.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.06%
EV
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. The Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
u51.5
-105
RUSHING YARDS
23.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.9
DIFFERENCE
25.08%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
23.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.9
DIFFERENCE
25.08%
EV
The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. Trevor Lawrence has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (15.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.3%).. Trevor Lawrence has run for quite a few more yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (11.0).
o16.5
-115
RUSHING YARDS
70.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.0
DIFFERENCE
16.12%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
70.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.0
DIFFERENCE
16.12%
EV
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.6 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
o66.5
-111
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
16.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
11.45%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
16.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
11.45%
EV
The model projects the Chargers to be the 3rd-least run-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 35.0% run rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.
u17.5
-115
RUSHING YARDS
62.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.5
DIFFERENCE
11.14%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
62.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.5
DIFFERENCE
11.14%
EV
The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. The leading projections forecast Travis Etienne to accumulate 15.1 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.. After comprising 43.1% of his offense's run game usage last season, Travis Etienne has been more involved in the run game this season, currently accounting for 55.7%.. Travis Etienne has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (66.0) this year than he did last year (37.0).
o59.5
-118
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
5.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
1.34%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
5.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
1.34%
EV
The model projects the Chargers to be the 3rd-least run-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 35.0% run rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.
u5.5
-142
RUSHING YARDS
25.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.76%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
25.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.76%
EV
The model projects the Chargers to be the 3rd-least run-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 35.0% run rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. This year, the strong Jaguars run defense has given up a feeble 96.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 8th-best in football.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.
u25.5
-120
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
4.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-6.61%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
4.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-6.61%
EV
The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. Trevor Lawrence has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (15.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.3%).
o3.5
-165
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
14.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-9.92%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
14.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-9.92%
EV
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 9th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have just 126.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The Chargers defensive tackles rank as the best unit in the league this year with their run defense.
u14.5
-144