Ravens @ Vikings Picks & Props

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A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.8% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. While Zay Flowers has been responsible for 17.4% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Baltimore's offense near the goal line in this week's game at 23.7%.. Zay Flowers slots into the 94th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) with an impressive 68.3 mark this year.. Zay Flowers's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 65.7% to 77.7%.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Derrick Henry has posted a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Lamar Jackson's throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 67.6% to 72.6%.. With an excellent rate of 2.00 per game (98th percentile), Lamar Jackson places among the leading TD throwers in the NFL this year.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Mark Andrews's 34.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the league: 84th percentile for tight ends.. With an impressive ratio of 0.40 per game through the air (89th percentile), Mark Andrews has been as one of the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among TEs this year.. The Vikings defense has been torched for the 6th-most receiving touchdowns in football to TEs: 0.62 per game this year.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. In this contest, Zay Flowers is forecasted by the predictive model to find himself in the 97th percentile among wide receivers with 9.8 targets.. With a remarkable 30.4% Target Rate (95th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers has been among the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.. With an outstanding 4.6 adjusted catches per game (92nd percentile) this year, Zay Flowers ranks as one of the leading pass-catching WRs in the NFL.. Zay Flowers's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 65.7% to 77.7%.

The model projects the Ravens to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Vikings linebackers project as the 9th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.. This week, T.J. Hockenson is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.9 targets.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.. The model projects Aaron Jones to notch 4.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.. With an impressive 96.8% Route Participation Rate (99th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson rates as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in football.

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4 points.. Right now, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in football (59.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Ravens.. The leading projections forecast the Ravens offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.81 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Minnesota Vikings, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.6 per game) this year.. When talking about pass protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Ravens ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.

The model projects the Ravens to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Lamar Jackson's throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 67.6% to 72.6%.. With an excellent rate of 2.00 per game (98th percentile), Lamar Jackson places among the leading TD throwers in the NFL this year.. The Vikings cornerbacks rank as the 9th-worst CB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.. This year, the porous Baltimore Ravens defense has been torched for a staggering 74.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-biggest rate in the league.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Lamar Jackson's throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 67.6% to 72.6%.. The Vikings cornerbacks rank as the 9th-worst CB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.. Opposing offenses have passed for the 5th-most adjusted yards in football (266.0 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Lamar Jackson's throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 67.6% to 72.6%.. With an excellent 9.07 adjusted yards-per-target (92nd percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson rates as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL.. The Vikings cornerbacks rank as the 9th-worst CB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

With respect to a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.50 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 3rd-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.. When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Baltimore's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4 points.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 54.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast the Ravens offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.81 seconds per snap.. In logging a paltry 17.3 pass attempts per game this year, Lamar Jackson places among the bottom QBs in football (15th percentile) in this regard.. Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Minnesota Vikings, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.6 per game) this year.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Derrick Henry has posted a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Derrick Henry grades out as one of the top RBs in football at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging an excellent 8.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 89th percentile.. The Vikings linebackers project as the 9th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.8% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.. Jordan Mason's 91.9% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 79.3% rate.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.. With an impressive 96.8% Route Participation Rate (99th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson rates as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in football.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. In this contest, Zay Flowers is forecasted by the predictive model to find himself in the 97th percentile among wide receivers with 9.8 targets.. With a remarkable 30.4% Target Rate (95th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers has been among the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.. Zay Flowers's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 65.7% to 77.7%.. This year, the shaky Minnesota Vikings defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a monstrous 9.19 yards.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.. This week, T.J. Hockenson is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.9 targets.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.. The model projects Aaron Jones to notch 4.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Mark Andrews's 34.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the league: 84th percentile for tight ends.. The Vikings linebackers project as the 9th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Our trusted projections expect Jordan Mason to garner 15.2 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile among running backs.. After making up 43.8% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Jordan Mason has had a larger role in the ground game this year, now accounting for 57.3%.. This year, the porous Baltimore Ravens run defense has allowed a staggering 129.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 8th-worst in football.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's group of DEs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league. in the league.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to run on 38.1% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.. With respect to a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.50 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 3rd-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to run on 38.1% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.. With respect to a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.50 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 3rd-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.