Penn State Nittany Lions Picks
16th in Big Ten
(3 - 4)
Next Game
PUR @ PSU Picks
NCAAF PicksPlayable to 48%, this has hit in eight of Purdue's last 11 games due to their focus on establishing the run early. Penn State has allowed just two first-quarter touchdowns all season, and both trends should continue before things open up in the second half.
I'm on the Over 54.5 for this one, playable to 54%.
Both defenses struggle to hold opponents without points in the red zone, ranking 114th or worse, and Purdue's defense will allow Penn State's offense to find enough scoring to push this north of the total.
I'm taking Purdue and anything north of a touchdown, up to 54%.
Rocco Becht has yet to show he can handle the pressure of conference play, and the Boilermaker offense will put up points against a Penn State defense ranked 86th in EPA/rush.
Purdue's non-conference schedule tested Barry Odom's team and has them performing well in conference play. Penn State is likely to pick up the first conference win under Matt Campbell, but I'm not trusting the Nittany Lions to cover this elevated spread.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus
46% picking Purdue
Total Picks PUR 134, PSU 158
PUR @ PSU · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
R. Becht
(QB)
u254.5 Passing Yards
237.24 UNDER
PROJECTION
-17.3
DIFFERENCE
25.34%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
PUR
F. Ijeboi
(RB)
o69.5 Rushing Yards
79.29 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.8
DIFFERENCE
26.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
PSU
J. Peoples
(RB)
o31.5 Rushing Yards
45.11 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.6
DIFFERENCE
25.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
PSU
C. Hansen
(RB)
u64.5 Rushing Yards
63.27 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
5.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PUR
X. Townsend
(WR)
o36.5 Receiving Yards
43.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.4
DIFFERENCE
23.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PUR
C. Magwood
(WR)
o35.5 Receiving Yards
37.08 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
22.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PSU
C. Sowell
(WR)
o69.5 Receiving Yards
77.38 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.9
DIFFERENCE
21.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PSU
A. Rappleyea
(TE)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
43.75 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.3
DIFFERENCE
17.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PUR
A. Waseem
(WR)
o59.5 Receiving Yards
61.83 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.3
DIFFERENCE
13.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PSU
B. Eskildsen
(WR)
o44.5 Receiving Yards
44.96 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-14.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PUR
G. Burhenn
(TE)
o15.5 Receiving Yards
15.76 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
PUR
G. Burhenn
(TE)
u1.5 Receptions
1.39 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
15.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
PUR
X. Townsend
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
3.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-8.05%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
PUR
C. Magwood
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
2.88 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-9.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
PUR
F. Ijeboi
(RB)
o17.5 Carries
17.56 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.17%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
PUR @ PSU · Trends
Top User Picks
More Picks
'teslaxyz' is picking Penn State to cover (-7.5)
teslaxyz is #10 on picking games that Purdue is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.
'Alexandr1966' is picking Purdue to cover (+7.5)
Alexandr1966 is #2 on picking games that Purdue is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.
'53Defense' is picking Purdue to cover (+7.5)
53Defense is #7 on picking games that Purdue is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.
'PaullyWallnuts' is picking Purdue to cover (+7.5)
PaullyWallnuts is #8 on picking games that Purdue is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.
'chuluckus' is picking Purdue to cover (+9.5)
chuluckus is #9 on picking games that Purdue is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.