 
        North Texas is great offensively, but the defense cannot stop the run. USF put up over 300 yards on the ground in its win, and Army picked up 387 at 5.7 yards a clip.
Navy ranks first nationally in success rate and fifth in run rate over expected, an area where North Texas is seeing the third-highest mark nationally. The Mean Green also struggle to get stops on third down.
The Middies will shorten this game with long, clock-draining drives and wear down the Mean Green defense as they get the victory late.