Purdue vs Penn State Picks & Props
PUR vs PSU Picks
NCAAF PicksPlayable to 48%, this has hit in eight of Purdue's last 11 games due to their focus on establishing the run early. Penn State has allowed just two first-quarter touchdowns all season, and both trends should continue before things open up in the second half.
I'm on the Over 54.5 for this one, playable to 54%.
Both defenses struggle to hold opponents without points in the red zone, ranking 114th or worse, and Purdue's defense will allow Penn State's offense to find enough scoring to push this north of the total.
I'm taking Purdue and anything north of a touchdown, up to 54%.
Rocco Becht has yet to show he can handle the pressure of conference play, and the Boilermaker offense will put up points against a Penn State defense ranked 86th in EPA/rush.
Purdue's non-conference schedule tested Barry Odom's team and has them performing well in conference play. Penn State is likely to pick up the first conference win under Matt Campbell, but I'm not trusting the Nittany Lions to cover this elevated spread.
PUR vs PSU Consensus Picks
PUR vs PSU Props
Recent Form Trends
Over is 7-0 in Boilermakers last 7 games on grass.
Over is 5-0 in Boilermakers last 5 games following a bye week.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 8-1 in Boilermakers last 9 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Nittany Lions last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Boilermakers last 7 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-0 in Boilermakers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Penn State.