Ethan Grunkemeyer Pas and Rus Yards Props • Penn State
E. Grunkemeyer
quarterback QB • Penn State
Penn State @ Clemson Picks & Props
PSU vs CLEM Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
CLEM -3.5 (+100)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Penn State's pass defense is solid, but its run defense has been the soft spot (45.5% success rate allowed), which gives Clemson a way to stay on schedule through two facets: short passes and runs between the tackles.
Clemson isn't untouched. WR Antonio Williams and multiple defenders are out, but their overall defensive efficiency has been better.
With Penn State likely forced into a conservative, run-heavy script and operating with an unsettled roster, Clemson needs to win the "manage the game" battle to cover a short number.
Receptions
AR
Andrew Rappleyea o1.5 Receptions (+140)
Projection 1.906 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
KH
Kyron Hudson o1.5 Receptions (+122)
Projection 1.9065 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
TP
Trebor Pena o3.5 Receptions (-105)
Projection 3.999 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
DR
Devonte Ross o2.5 Receptions (+122)
Projection 2.5507 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
EG
Ethan Grunkemeyer u1.5 TD Passes (-260)
Projection 0.8766 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
EG
Ethan Grunkemeyer o173.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 188.2044 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
Cade Klubnik u234.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 226.4902 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
KH
Kyron Hudson o13.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 27.8651 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
AR
Andrew Rappleyea o10.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 22.6922 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
DR
Devonte Ross o25.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 39.7445 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
PSU vs CLEM Consensus Picks
PSU vs CLEM Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
PSU vs CLEM Trends
Penn State Trends
Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Over
Under
Penn State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 58% ROI)
Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 58% ROI)
Over
Under
Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
Over
Under
Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
PSU
CLEM
Penn State has only hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (-41.95 Units / -69% ROI)
PSU
CLEM
Penn State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (-13.85 Units / -47% ROI)
PSU
CLEM
Penn State have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 14 games (-9.95 Units / -59% ROI)
PSU
CLEM
Penn State has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 14 games (-5.95 Units / -39% ROI)
Over
Under
Penn State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 15 games (-7.37 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Penn State has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (-5.60 Units / -3% ROI)
PSU
CLEM
Clemson Trends
Clemson has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
Clemson has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 5% ROI)
PSU
CLEM
Clemson has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Over
Under
Clemson have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 39% ROI)
PSU
CLEM
Clemson has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Over
Under
Clemson has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.05 Units / 3% ROI)
PSU
CLEM
Clemson have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 34% ROI)
PSU
CLEM
Clemson has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games at home (-45.75 Units / -35% ROI)
PSU
CLEM
Clemson has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 7 games at home (-5.85 Units / -73% ROI)
Clemson has only hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 5 games at home (-12.55 Units / -85% ROI)
PSU
CLEM
Clemson has only hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 12 games (-4.70 Units / -35% ROI)
Over
Under
Clemson has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 9 games (-3.90 Units / -37% ROI)
Over
Under
Clemson have only covered the Spread in 1 of their last 7 games at home (-5.60 Units / -73% ROI)
PSU
CLEM
Clemson has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.85 Units / -31% ROI)
Over
Under
