Miami @ Portland Picks & Props

Donovan Clingan has successfully made 53.1% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Donovan Clingan has successfully made 42.9% of his treys over the last 10 games, 9.5% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. The rate of three-point shots sunk against Bam Adebayo has been very high (51.1%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Donovan Clingan will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player performance for all stats.

Haywood Highsmith has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Portland is a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Trail Blazers are playing at home (7th-most in the league).

Shaedon Sharpe has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 12 games while on his home court, 0.8 more than he's been called for over the course of the season at home. The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Heat). Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 51.5% on field goals (highest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, creating a strong matchup. Terry Rozier has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's made in all games this year. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

Anfernee Simons has sunk 4.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Anfernee Simons slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 29.9 minutes per game at home this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have registered 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Anfernee Simons has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.5% more than he's converted overall this season.

Deni Avdija has notched 20.6 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.5 higher than he's notched in all games this year at home. Deni Avdija has converted 60.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 18.2% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while at home. Deni Avdija has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%). The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Deandre Ayton has converted a whopping 20.2% of his three-point shots this season, a significant increase from his 11.1 mark last season. Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 30.1 minutes per game this year. The rate of three-point shots sunk against Bam Adebayo has been very high (51.1%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Deandre Ayton will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise stat production in all facets of the game.

Compared to last year's 8.1 mark, Tyler Herro's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this year to 9.5 per game. Tyler Herro has played 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 95th percentile. In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. Tyler Herro has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 6.5 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 25.7% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup against Portland is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when the Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (8.4). The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers). The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 84th percentile for shots, logging 13.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.4 minutes per game this year. In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo lands in the 90th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, tallying a monstrous 4.1 foul shot attempts per game while on the road this year. The matchup against Donovan Clingan is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when Clingan is at home other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.9 free throws per game (100th percentile).

Scoot Henderson has attempted 5.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Scoot Henderson has converted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Scoot Henderson is expected to see a spike in efficiency for all stats as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Toumani Camara has converted 5.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Toumani Camara comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Toumani Camara has successfully made 93.3% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 14.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while playing at home.

Nikola Jovic has attempted 5.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Nikola Jovic has averaged 27.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's impressive 36.7% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's converted over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Kris Murray has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Duncan Robinson has gone over 8.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Dalano Banton has gone over 7.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Kel'el Ware has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.